Maryland at Michigan
We’re all assuming (correctly) that Michigan is going to lose to Ohio State, so any hopes the Wolverines have of making it to any sort of bowl game whatsoever rest on beating the Terps in the Big House.
That really should be a given, but nothing is a given with these Wolverines. It’s tempting to look at Michigan’s 5-5 record and consider it a symbol of mediocrity, but the Wolverines are not mediocre. Mediocre teams win and lose games you don’t expect them to. None of Michigan’s losses are all that surprising. Their only slightly shocking win is over Penn State, a game won on the back of kicker Matt Wile. No, Michigan is not a mediocre football team, it’s a bad one.
Maryland’s 6-4 record doesn’t look a whole lot different than Michigan’s 5-5, but the Terps aren’t mediocre. Their record reflects what they are: a slightly above-average football team capable of playing a little over its head with proper inspiration. They’ve played four solid teams this season (West Virginia, Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Michigan State) and lost to them all. They’ve played five bad-to-mediocre FBS teams and one FCS squad. Those games went exactly as you’d expect.
Since we’ve already established that (a) Maryland can beat bad football teams, either at home or on the road, and (b) Michigan is a bad football team, there’s really no mystery here, is there?
The pick: Maryland 28, Michigan 20