College Football Thanksgiving Weekend Picks, Point Spreads, and Over-Unders

This week is a very important one in college football as many games will decide division champions among conferences and who will play in the national championship game gets a little more clear. With so many rivalry games being played it should make for another great weekend of college football.

The marquee matchup of this holiday weekend is another big game in the SEC West Division as #3 Arkansas heads to Death Valley to take on #1 LSU.

Here are the point spreads and picks, as well as relevant information, for this weekend’s top games.

College Football Picks and Spreads for Thanksgiving Weekend

Thanksgiving Day, November 24

#25 Texas (6-4) v Texas A&M (6-5)

  • Texas-Texas A&M spread: Texas A&M -8
  • Texas-Texas A&M over/under 54

This is one of oldest rivalries in college football and will more than likely be last time these teams meet in the regular season for awhile.  Both of these teams have had disappointing seasons and really need a win in this game to improve their bowl status.

Texas has an outstanding defense and teams are only averaging 20.6 points per game (26th in NCAA) against them, which is among the best in the Big 12.  As good as their defense has been, the same cannot be said about their offense as they have only scored 18 points in their last 2 games.

Texas A&M’s offense has been one of the best in college football and they are averaging 512 yards per game (6th in NCAA) and 40.9 points per game (10th in NCAA).  With the Aggies outstanding offense and the Longhorn’s lack of ability to score is why I am going to lay the points with Texas A&M.

  • Texas-Texas A&M spread pick: Texas A&M -8

Black Friday, November 25

Follow the link to see the complete Black Friday college football viewing schedule.


#3 Arkansas (10-1) v #1 LSU (11-0)

  • Arkansas-LSU spread: LSU -12
  • Arkansas-LSU over/under 52

This is by far the best game of the weekend, and if Arkansas wins this will create even more havoc in the BCS.  LSU has not been easy to beat at home over the years and the Razorbacks will have their hands full in this game.

At this point in the season everyone knows the Tigers’ reputation on defense, and they are only allowing teams to score 10 points per game  (2nd in NCAA).  They have shut down some very good offenses this season and will look to do it again in this game.

The Razorbacks have a very good offense, averaging 39.3 points per game (13th in NCAA), and it all starts with their quarterback Tyler Wilson (3,215 YDS,21 TD and 5 INT).  Wilson has some of the best set of receivers in college football and he has been very efficient in getting them ball.

I think this will be a close game because so much is riding on the line for both teams and that is why I going take Arkansas with the points.

  • Arkansas-LSU spread pick: Arkansas +12

Iowa (7-4) v #21 Nebraska (8-3)

  • Iowa-Nebraska spread: Nebraska -9.5
  • Iowa-Nebraska over/under 53.5

Playing the day after Thanksgiving has been a tradition for Nebraska, and this year they will be playing their neighbors to the east, the Iowa Hawkeyes.  Both of these teams have been very inconsistent this season and it is hard to know what you will get out of them.

Nebraska was supposed to have a dominating defense, but they have not lived up to expectations all season long, giving up 24.3 points per game (49th in NCAA).  Three times this season they have given up more than 35 points in a game, and this week they are going up against a very good Hawkeye offense.

The Hawkeyes are averaging over 30 points per game this season and they have many weapons on offense.  Marcus Coker (262 CAR,1,297 YDS and 14 TD) has been one of the best running backs in the Big Ten and is the key to the Hawkeye offense.

This spread seems a bit high and Nebraska is 1-5 against the spread at home this season.   I like the Hawkeyes in this one and going to take them with the points.

  • Iowa-Nebraska spread pick: Iowa +9.5

Saturday, November 26

#2 Alabama (10-1) v #24 Auburn (7-4)

  • Alabama-Auburn spread: Alabama -21
  • Alabama-Auburn over/under 47

The roles of each team are different from last season, as it is now Auburn’s turn to try and stop Alabama from making it to the national championship game.   The Iron Bowl is always a big deal in the state of Alabama and this season is no different.

If there has been a bright spot for Auburn’s lackluster offense this season, it has been their ability to run the ball.  Auburn is getting a 183.5 yards per game (36th in NCAA) on the ground, and their rushing attack is led by running back Michael Dyer (229 CAR, 1,195 YDS and 10 TD).  Dyer needs to have another big game in this one if they want to pull off the upset.

Alabama has been so successful this season because they have the nation’s number 1 scoring defense. Teams are only averaging 8.4 points per game against them.  Alabama wins with defense and also their ability to run the ball.  The Tide have the best running back in the country in Trent Richardson (236 CAR, 1,380 YDS and 20 TD) and should have no problem winning this game.

This is a rivalry game and 21 points is a lot for a team to cover in conference game especially with both teams ranked.  I think Alabama will win but not by 21 points, and that is why I am going to take Auburn with the points.

  • Alabama-Auburn spread pick: Auburn +21

Ohio State (6-5) v #15 Michigan (9-2)

  • Ohio State-Michigan spread: Michigan -7.5
  • Ohio State-Michigan over/under 45

This might be the best rivalry in college football as both of these teams and fan bases do not like one another.  Ohio State has dominated this series recently and Michigan has not defeated them since 2003.

Ohio State has a very solid defense that is only giving up 19 points per game (14thin NCAA) but their problem is that they can’t score.  Ohio State’s offense has struggled all season long, especially at the quarterback position, and they are only averaging 114 passing yards per game (118th in NCAA).

It is well publicized that Michigan has a very effective offense, but what most people don’t know is that they have a dominating defense.  They are only giving up 15.6 points per game (6th in NCAA) and should be able continue their success on the defensive side of the ball in this game.

Michigan’s defense will be too much for Ohio State, and the Buckeyes will be ending their season with 3 consecutive losses after this one is over.  Michigan wins this game big in Columbus and the bragging rights head back to Ann Arbor.

  • Ohio State-Michigan spread pick: Michigan -7.5


* – LSU-Arkansas photo credit: via Bleacher Report

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