Lets get the where’s and whens out of the way right now:

• UFC 98 Date and Start Time: May 23, 2009 at 7:00 pm PT / 10:00 pm ET
• UFC 98 Viewing: PPV
• UFC 98 Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
• UFC 98 Tickets: Buy & Sell UFC 98 Tickets at StubHub
• UFC Gear: Click Here to Get Up to 65% off at the UFC Store!
• UFC Gear: UFC Store Best Sellers – Click here to check it out!

I have been doing my research on this event for the last month and I am still not sure how these lines came to be, so consider this me going head to head against the odds makers. Also interesting about this event: the number of times the line up has changed. There have been six big named fighters preciously scheduled to fight here and each one has gotten injured causing a scramble to fill in spots. As a result I am only making two predictions.

(If you don’t understand how to read betting lines, go here and read an overly long explanation I wrote a long time ago involving Mike Tyson’s Punch Out)

UFC 98 Preview: Evans v Machida Odds and Prediction

“Sugar” Rashad Evans (+160) Vs. Lyoto “The Dragon” Machida (-200)

These are two undefeated fighters, neither of then gets hit very much when they fight, and both have been criticized for their stand up game in the past. Also, both come off of amazing KO victories. Lyoto knocked Thiago SIlva into another dimension back at UFC 94, and Evans won the Light-Heavy title by dribbling Forrest Griffin’s head on the mat like a basketball back at UFC 92.

Lyoto’s strength is his karate. This means he works angles and counter strikes. He isn’t going to chase after Evans nor is he going to be very keen to go to the ground with him. I can see Lyoto trying to keep this standing and continuously moving away from Rashad like he has swine flu. Lyoto’s best chance at winning this fight is for it to go to decision like 4 of his 6 UFC fights have.

Evans’ strengths lay in his wrestling and his much improved stand up. He will start the fight tentative and try not to move into Lyoto’s counters. I see Rashad eventually getting frustrated and shooting in for take downs. I also see him succeeding in getting the fight to the ground. Rashad will probably try to ground and pound if that happens; scratch that, when that happens.

MY PICK: Rashad Evans TKO Round 4

———-

UFC 98 Preview: Hughes v Serra Odds and Prediction

Matt Hughes (-250) Vs. Matt Serra (+190)

Two old men enter, one old man leaves. That’s how I feel about this fight.

Will I watch it? Yes. Will it be fun? Maybe. But at the end of the day what does it mean?

Serra is 34 and Hughes is 35, in pro-fighter terms, that makes them both Nintendo 64′s. Sure they were fun back in their time, and yeah you can go back every now and then to play WCW Vs. NWO, but at the end of the day you would rather play the new Mario Kart.

I keep reading people picking Huges because they feel he can bully Serra around and throw him all over the ring. I see this happening a few times, but for some reason I see Hughes getting tapped out by some good old fashion Jiu-Jitsu. The last few times I have seen Hughes fight he hasn’t been the Matt of old. He has dropped 3 of his last 4 and he hasn’t fought in over a year. This is usually the place where I would mention that Serra has a win over Georges St Pierre, and look there I did it, but Hughes does also.

This fight is going to come down to which guy gets frustrated. These two hate each other. Matt Hughes is outspoken in his dislike for Serra, and Serra has made it known he is no fan of crotchety old man Hughes and his redneck ways.

MY PICK: Matt Serra Submission Round 1

Due to the aforementioned plague of injuries and the appearent curse of UFC 98 those are the only fights I have any sort of insight on. While there are a few more interesting fights, there is nothing that I find overly compelling or surprising (at least in Vegas odds). I will mention that I expect “Professor X” Xavier Foupa-Pokam to win, and I know some sites had him as a dog.

Let’s start with the news from the reigning champions of MMA, the UFC.

UFC 100 would be a huge event no matter what was on the card. The number 100 is a milestone many tried to keep MMA from reaching. Just think back to the late 90′s, when John McCain was petitioning to get MMA banned in the US, the UFC was just getting out of it’s “No Holds Barred” era, and many people viewed the sport as “human cock fighting”. Say what you will about the Feritta brothers, Dana White, and the TapouT Crew (one of whom passed away this week), but without them MMA would have never made it this far.

Just over a month ago it seemed White and company planned on relying on the number “100″ itself to sell the event. They shot down rumors of all titles being on the line that night, they made clear the superfight of our generation between Anderson Silva and Georges St. Pierre wouldn’t happen, and they had planned to have Brock Lesnar and Frank Mir have their rematch to unify the Heavyweight title at UFC 98. Well what a difference a month makes.

None of this is “official” yet, but the current plans for UFC 100 have Dan Henderson and Michael Bisping facing off in the traditional battle of Ultimate Fighter coaches, GSP is supposed to defend his title against Thiago Alves, and of course the much delayed rematch between Frank Mir and Brock Lesnar for the unification of the UFC Heavyweight Title.

While the UFC is trying to make UFC 100 something special, they still had a UFC 98 that was missing a main event. It was initially announced that if Quintin “Rampage” Jackson defeated Keith Jardine at UFC 96 he would face off with “Sugar” Rashad Evans for the UFC’s Light Heavyweight Title. Rampage defeated Jardine, had a face off with Evans immediately following the fight, and promptly had to pull out of the fight.

It appears Rampage will be undergoing surgery on his jaw to fix an injury suffered during training for his bout against Wanerlei Silva last December. Now Evans is set to face off against Lyoto Machida. While it is much to early to make predictions, I can tell you that the champion is the early underdog in this fight. Not that I would ever gamble online, but if I did, I may have already taken Evans at +160 in this one.

In order to move away from UFC news, I would like to mention that I will be attending Wrestlemania 25 on April 5th in Houston, Texas. What does this have to do with MMA you ask? Let me tell you, part of this week’s big news involved two former WWF/E champions.

Former UFC Heavyweight and WWF Intercontinental Champion Ken Shamrock was supposed to face the former WWE US and ECW World Champion Bobby Lashley at the upcoming Roy Jones Jr.-promoted Boxing/MMA March Badness event. Well, Ken Shamrock has since been suspended for a year from fighting within the US due to testing positive for steroids. Lashley is now scheduled to face off against Clay Guidas’ bigger, not-as-talented brother Jason. Lashley has come out in the last few days saying he wouldn’t mind taking the Shamrock fight to Japan where they don’t uphold US suspensions.

My last little bit of news involves two of the most entertaining fighters in MMA.

Frank Shamrock (adoptive and estranged brother of Ken) will be facing off against perpetual menace to society Nick Diaz. For the record, I am a Frank Shamrock fan. I want to see him fight and I enjoy his spirited verbal sparring most of the time. Nick Diaz I see as a person who has no respect for the sport and the prototype of all that is wrong with meat head fans/fighters. That being said, I am super excited that Strikeforce is making this match-up happen. It could turn into the most entertaining build up to a match since Ali Foreman. As we get closer to the April 11th Showtime fight I will preview more, but for now I will just leave you with quotes from both men. These come courtesy of Cagepotato.com:

“Someone asked me the other day how my comeback was going so I guess I’ve come back. I love fighting. I love this art. I want to thank Nick Diaz for the opportunity and just warn him that when I punch his head and he lands in the second row he’ll need someone to catch him.” — Frank Shamrock

“Frank can talk all he wants, but I’m going to beat him up. Let’s see how much he fights back.’’ — Nick Diaz

As mentioned above, this match was to unify the Heavyweight title Lesnar had won from Randy “The Natural” Coture at UFC 91 last November, and the Interm Heavyweight Title Mir won from Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira in December at UFC 92. Mir’s upset victory not only garnered him that interim title, but it added heat to the unification bout since he defeated Lesnar in the first round of his UFC debut.

Now to more immediate info.

UFC 96 is live this Saturday on PPV. As has been my duty in the past, I’m going to give you a look into the money lines, the backgrounds, and my feelings on a few of the fights. First lets his the specifics:

UFC 96 Live on Pay-Per-View, Saturday March 7th, 10pm est. All lines courtesy of BetUs.com.

Quintin “Rampage” Jackson (-350) v Keith “The Dean of Mean” Jardine (+250)

The top fight on this event will see one of my all time favorites take on one of the ugliest men in the business. Rampage has been up and down over the last year. He lost the Light-Heavy title to Forrest Griffin, decided to stop eating and sleeping for a week, went for a highly publicized drive that resulted in injuries and damages to other people and their cars, fired his trainer, and joined a new camp in England. After all of that he still found it in him to turn out the lights on Wanderlei Silva and win the Knockout of the Night award back at UFC 92 in December. It’s rumored if Rampage wins, his next fight will be to reclaim the Light-Heavy title against a surging Rashad Evans.

There isn’t a lot of nice things I have to say about Keith Jardine. He has never wronged me personally and I haven’t met him. As a fighter I just don’t like him.

He is a guy who fights up to the talent level of whoever he’s fighting. That tells me he is lazy. He’s beaten both Forrest Griffin and Chuck Liddell, but during this span he has also lost to a failing Wanderlei Silva (who placed one hand on Keith’s neck and used the other to punch him ugly) and a worthless Houston Alexander.

What I am saying is Keith wins fights he should lose and loses fights he should win. His best bet at beating Rampage is by using leg kicks and hoping he can cause the same type damage Forrest Griffin did against Jackson.

My Pick: Rampage via KO in the First.

Gabriel “Napo” Gonzaga (-160) V. Shane Carwin (+130)

This is a fight I want to watch. I have no idea what is going to happen in it, but we have one guy in Gonzaga who has the ability to have really fun bouts, and we have a guy in Carwin who is something of an up and comer. Gonzaga has a two-fight win streak going, and both have been dominate. That being said Fabrico Wedum and Randy Couture both TKO’ed him not that long ago.

Shane Carwin is someone I don’t know much about. I have watched his fights without ever really remembering him, of course that probably speaks more to my alcohol consumption then to his memorability. What I have learned about Carwin is that he is a wrestler by nature and he looks like he belongs in the WWE. Most importantly, he has never had to go out of the first round to get a win.

I don’t see it being out of the realm of reasonability that, with Mir out, this becomes a #1 contenders match. Whoever wins gets a shot at Lesnar at 98? I know it’s a bit of a stretch, but it would help the UFC add some last minute heat to a PPV which is seriously lacking buzz.

Just for you the reader, as I was finishing this article I happened across an interview with both Gonzaga and Carwin. It is because of this interview I am changing my prediction:

My Pick: Gonzaga via armbar in the second

Outside of these two fights, there isn’t a whole lot for me to add to this prediction. The actual PPV card is a bit weak for the UFC. Sure the Pete Sell Vs. Matt Brown match could turn into a slug fest, but neither man will turn into a title contender by winning. I am personally hoping to see Matt “The Hammer” Hamill drop to the new comer Mark Muno, but that is solely based on the fact Muno trains with Urijah Faber.

What is probably the most interesting fight on this card is the Brandon Vera v Michael Patt. It’s not interesting because of the matchup, but because Vera is within one loss of becoming a sports cautionary tale. He spent a year in a contract holdout to make huge money, pissed people off, got what he wanted, came back and hasn’t been impressive at all since. If Vira looses this fight, he will have gone from main event-caliber name to a pink slip in less then a year. After having watched the fighters weigh in, Patt looks like the town drunk, but Vera looked like he was already beaten. I wont be suprised if this goes to a decision or if Vera looses via TKO.