NFL Week 4 – Three Games to Watch

mike-tomlin

Happy Saturday to all!

Below are our NFL Week 4 Games to Watch, so make sure that your remote has a fresh set of batteries and the sofa has an empty seat available because these three games can’t be missed!

Also, let’s see how I do this week, especially since I currently am above .500 this season with a [6-3] record!

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Steelers-Bears Preview and Prediction

The first week of football was a gift to football fans. We saw many exciting and close games. This week we might have another game with just as much as drama and excitement.

The Pittsburgh Steelers will play the Chicago Bears in Chicago, and what makes this one a must watch is to see how both teams’ defenses play without their defensive captains. The Bears are going to have to play without middle linebacker Brian Urlacher, and the Steelers are without Troy Polamalu.

With both teams not having their main man on defense, the QBs could have big games this Sunday.

Here are the particulars for this Sunday’s matchup:

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) at Chicago Bears (0-1)

  • Steelers-Bears Date: Sunday, September 20
  • Steelers-Bears Time: 4:15
  • Steelers-Bears TV Network: CBS
  • Steelers-Bears Announcers: Jim Nantz and Phil Simms
  • Steelers-Bears Point Spread: Steelers -3.5
  • Steelers-Bears Over-Under: 37.5
  • StubHub: Steelers-Bears tickets as low as $130!

Bears-Steelers Preview, Prediction, TV Kickoff Time, Announcers, Point SpreadThe Bears are coming off a very tough loss to the Packers, in which Jay Cutler threw four interceptions, but I see Cutler rebounding against this now weaker Steelers defense.

Despite the plethora of picks, Cutler’s day wasn’t all bad. He did connect with Hester for a touchdown, and he also connected with Johnny Knox. The throw to Knox was just beautiful, and it’s the Cutler I would like to see more of moving forward. The Bears have their work cut out for them again as they go against, arguably, the best defense in the NFL.

But are the Steelers that good without Polamalu?

My guess is yes.

This is still the dominant Steelers defense we saw last year win the Super Bowl. They will be very tough, but that doesn’t mean they are invincible.

The Bears’ defense can help the offense by playing well and making sure the Steelers defense doesn’t get much rest. Every defense needs rest, and one way to upset a good defense is to limit their rest time. The defense will be slower and that’s exactly what the Bears hope happens because that means Hester will be able to run all over the defense.

The Steelers, in the opener last Thursday, didn’t have much of a running game going on. They might not have to do much running this weekend if they can exploit the Bears pass defense. The Bears’ pass defense didn’t look bad last Sunday, but it still their weakest point. Nathan Vasher still gets beat every time he gets the ball thrown his way. I think he is a bust, but the coaches haven’t seen that yet.

My overall thought about this game is that the Steelers have the advantage, and for obvious reasons. They are the returning champions, they have a better defense, better coaching, better play calling, and a more consistent QB. With all these factors adding up, I don’t see the Bears winning this game.

But hey, prove me wrong Bears. I hope you do.

List of Super Bowl MVP Winners by Year and a Super Bowl 43 MVP Prediction

ben-roethlisberger

List of Super Bowl MVP Winners by YearAs part of our week-long project to educate you on Super Bowl history and get you ready for Super Bowl 43 this weekend, yesterday we offered up the Super Bowl winners and losers by year, as well as the list of teams who have won and lost the most Super Bowls.

Today, we are breaking down the history of the Super Bowl MVP award, as well as offering up a prediction as to who will be the MVP of Super Bowl 43.




Before we get into any predictions, let’s get a historical perspective by looking at the Super Bowl MVP winners by year, as presented to you in the table below:

List of Super Bowl MVP by Year

SB# Year Player Team Opponent Score
Super Bowl 1 1967 QB - Bart Starr Packers Chiefs 35-10
Super Bowl 2 1968 QB - Bart Starr Packers Raiders 33-14
Super Bowl 3 1969 QB - Joe Namath Jets Colts 16-7
Super Bowl 4 1970 QB - Len Dawson Chiefs Vikings 23-7
Super Bowl 5 1971 LB - Chuck Howley Cowboys Colts 13-16*
Super Bowl 6 1972 QB - Roger Staubach Cowboys Dolphins 24-3
Super Bowl 7 1973 S - Jake Scott Dolphins Redskins 14-7
Super Bowl 8 1974 RB - Larry Csonka Dolphins Vikings 24-7
Super Bowl 9 1975 RB - Franco Harris Steelers Vikings 16-6
Super Bowl 10 1976 WR - Lynn Swann Steelers Cowboys 21-17
Super Bowl 11 1977 WR - Fred Biletnikoff Raiders Vikings 32-14
Super Bowl 12 1978 DE - Harvey Martin, DT - Randy White Cowboys Broncos 27-10
Super Bowl 13 1979 QB - Terry Bradshaw Steelers Cowboys 35-31
Super Bowl 14 1980 QB - Terry Bradshaw Steelers Rams 31-19
Super Bowl 15 1981 QB - Jim Plunkett Raiders Eagles 27-10
Super Bowl 16 1982 QB - Joe Montana 49ers Bengals 26-21
Super Bowl 17 1983 RB - John Riggins Redskins Dolphins 27-17
Super Bowl 18 1984 RB - Marcus Allen Raiders Redskins 38-9
Super Bowl 19 1985 QB - Joe Montana 49ers Dolphins 38-16
Super Bowl 20 1986 DE - Richard Dent Bears Patriots 46-10
Super Bowl 21 1987 QB - Phil Simms Giants Broncos 39-20
Super Bowl 22 1988 QB - Doug Williams Redskins Broncos 42-10
Super Bowl 23 1989 WR - Jerry Rice 49ers Bengals 20-16
Super Bowl 24 1990 QB - Joe Montana 49ers Broncos 55-10
Super Bowl 25 1991 RB - Ottis Anderson Giants Bills 20-19
Super Bowl 26 1992 QB - Mark Rypien Redskins Bills 37-24
Super Bowl 27 1993 QB - Troy Aikman Cowboys Bills 52-17
Super Bowl 28 1994 RB - Emmitt Smith Cowboys Bills 30-13
Super Bowl 29 1995 QB - Steve Young 49ers Chargers 49-26
Super Bowl 30 1996 CB - Larry Brown Cowboys Steelers 27-17
Super Bowl 31 1997 KR/PR - Desmond Howard Packers Patriots 25-21
Super Bowl 32 1998 RB - Terrell Davis Broncos Packers 31-24
Super Bowl 33 1999 QB - John Elway Broncos Falcons 34-19
Super Bowl 34 2000 QB - Kurt Warner Rams Titans 23-16
Super Bowl 35 2001 LB - Ray Lewis Ravens Giants 34-7
Super Bowl 36 2002 QB - Tom Brady Patriots Rams 20-17
Super Bowl 37 2003 S - Dexter Jackson Buccaneers Raiders 48-21
Super Bowl 38 2004 QB - Tom Brady Patriots Panthers 32-29
Super Bowl 39 2005 WR - Deion Branch Patriots Eagles 24-21
Super Bowl 40 2006 WR - Hines Ward Steelers Seahawks 21-10
Super Bowl 41 2007 QB - Peyton Manning Colts Bears 29-17
Super Bowl 42 2008 QB - Eli Manning Giants Patriots 17-14
Super Bowl 43 2009 WR - Santonio Holmes Steelers Cardinals 27-23
Super Bowl 44 2010 QB - Drew Brees Saints Colts 31-17

* – Chuck Howley, the 1971 winner, is the only Super Bowl MVP from a losing team. The Cowboys were defeated by the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl V.

* – The Cowboys are also the only team to have Co-MVPS, when Harvey Martin and Randy White split the award in 1978.

* – The Super Bowl MVP breakdown by team goes as follows:

  • Dallas Cowboys – 7
  • Pittsburgh Steelers, San Francisco 49ers – 5
  • Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots, New York Giants, Oakland/LA Raiders, Washington Redskins – 3
  • Denver Broncos, Miami Dolphins – 2
  • Baltimore Ravens, Chicago Bears, Indianapolis Colts, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1

* – The Super Bowl MVP breakdown by position goes as follows:

  • Quarterback – 22
  • Running Back – 7
  • Wide Receiver – 5
  • Defensive End, Linebackers, Safety – 2
  • Cornerback, Defensive Tackle, KR/PR – 1

Based on history, there are a few things that we can reasonably anticipate about who will be the MVP in Super Bowl 43:

  • There is better than a 50% chance that the Super Bowl 43 MVP will be the QB from the winning team.
  • There is a better than 95% chance that the Super Bowl 43 MVP will be a player from the winning team.
  • There is better than a 75% chance that the Super Bowl 43 MVP will be a “skill position” player from the winning team.
  • If the MVP does come from the defensive side of the ball, he is usually one of the stars of a historically great defense.List of Super Bowl MVP Winners by Year | Super Bowl 43 MVP Prediction - Ben Roethlisberger

With that being said, if I was forced to bet on whO the Super Bowl 43 MVP will be, my money would be on Ben Roethlisberger. I think that the Steelers are going to win the game, and after Big Ben’s putrid performance in Super Bowl 40, I think he will play well Sunday. Plus, while Arizona’s defense has been solid, they are not great by any stretch of the imagination. Roethlisberger should have a chance to put up pretty good numbers.

However, I would not be surprised to see either James Harrison or Troy Polamalu come away with the trophy. Kurt Warner, while he has been spectacular for most of his career and for most of this season, can be prone to turnovers. Additionally, the Steelers do have a historically great defense. Defensive players from the ’85 Bears and ’01 Ravens won the MVP trophy, and I could see one of the Steelers players getting the award too. Polamalu and Harrison would actually be my #2 and #3 choices for Super Bowl 43 MVP.

Assuming that the Steelers win, and assuming the percentages play out, an offensive player will be the MVP. I know that Hines Ward won the trophy in Super Bowl 40, but Big Ben was just a young pup then. He is absolutely the catalyst of the Steelers offense this year. If he does not play well, Arizona has a chance to win. If he does play well, he will get the requisite numbers to win the award. I don’t see another Steelers offensive player trumping him, unless something fluky happens.

Should the Cardinals somehow with the game, either Kurt Warner or Larry Fitzgerald will come away with the award. I think Fitzgerald would have to just be phenomenal to overcome the whole “storybook” aspect of Warner taking home another MVP trophy. Fitzgerald is certainly capable, but any numbers he gets would also go to Warner. My prediction, if Arizona wins, is that Kurt Warner takes home the trophy.

So, if I was handicapping the race, my Top 5 Players Most Likely to win the Super Bowl 43 MVP list would go something like this:

  1. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
  2. Kurt Warner, Cardinals
  3. Troy Polamalu, Steelers
  4. James Harrison, Steelers
  5. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals

What do you think?

Who do you think will be the Super Bowl 43 MVP?

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