Bettor’s Guide: NFL Week 7 Picks, Predictions, Point Spreads, and Over-Unders

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Well that sucked.

After going 21-11 during Weeks 3 and 4 to surge well over .500, I’ve hit the skids with my worst ever two week stretch during the 3+ years that I’ve been picking NFL games against the spread. I am 8-16-2 since the byes started in Week 5, with an especially horrific 3-9-1 last week. That’s just terrible. So I’m now 44-42-4 on the season, a 48.9% winning clip (since I conservatively count pushes as losses).

Let’s turn the page and move onto better times here in Week 7, and I’ll tell you why I’m wholly confident moving forward despite these last two terrible weeks.

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Thanksgiving Week Bettor’s Guide: NFL Week 12 Picks, Point Spreads, and Over-Under Odds

This post is from 2010!

If you accidentally landed here, click to view all of our 2011 Thanksgiving Day content, including the Thanksgiving Day Football Schedule.

I declared myself “back” last week after reversing a bad trend of sub-.500 records by going 9-5. In Week 12, I backed that statement up with another solid day. I’m sitting at 7-4-1 heading into tonight’s Monday nighter. If the Broncos can keep the game within double digits, I’ll have another very solid week notched into the 2010 docket. Even if they lose, I’m two games over for Week 12, which I’ll take every single time.

[Note: Denver did not keep it within double digits. Not even close. 7-5-1 it is.]

I’m getting the Bettor’s Guide up early this week because of the three Thanksgiving Day games on Thursday. I know that a lot of the spreads aren’t posted yet, but I’ll update this post with those spreads and picks when they are available.

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Monday Night Football Preview: Titans-Texans Spread, Analysis, Pick

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titans-texans spread pick, analysis, prediction - monday night football - tennessee at houstonEditor’s Note: AJ Kaufman’s weekly MNF coverage on MSF is sponsored by Sadler’s Smokehouse, a producer of premium pit smoked meats that are best described by Sadler’s slogan: Legendary since 1948.

Sadler’s premium meats are perfect for tailgating on Saturday, for grilling out at home on Sunday, or for when you are hosting a group of friends, or even just the family, on Monday night.

With a variety of delicious choices (beef, pork, ribs, turkey, brisket, and more) and availability at grocery stores throughout the U.S., Sadler’s meats are the tasty, convenient choice when you want to watch the big game and eat well while you’re doing it.

Check out Sadler’s Monday Night Football Recipe of the Week: Sadler’s Smokehouse Shaved Pork Loin Pockets

Visit the Sadler’s Smokehouse website: Sadler’s Smokehouse

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Monday Night Football Preview

Tennessee Titans (3-6) at Houston Texans (5-4)

  • Titans-Texans Date: Monday, November 23rd
  • Titans-Texans Kickoff Time: 8:30
  • Titans-Texans TV Network: ESPN
  • Titans-Texans Announcers: Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski, and Jon Gruden
  • Titans-Texans Point Spread: Texans -4.5
  • Titans-Texans Over-Under: 48
  • Titans-Texans Spread Pick by Jerod: A few weeks ago this did not look like such a fun game. Now that Houston is a game out of the AFC Wild Card, and Vince Young has made the Titans competitive again, this should be a really entertaining game. First bit of advice: take the over. You’ve got Chris Johnson on the same field as Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson. There will be scoring. I don’t think Tennessee is a world beater by any means, but this is still a team that went 13-3 last year and that is playing much better now with Vince Young at QB. And do you really trust Houston yet? I don’t. Titans-Texans free pick: Titans +4.5

Titans-Texans Analysis

After the Titans fell to 0-6, like many football fans, I let out a sigh and lamented, “How could it have gone so wrong, so quickly?”

Three wins later, the answer to what was wrong appears to have been Kerry Collins. During the Titans six-game losing streak, their fans were quick to excuse Collins’ consistently putrid performances as a function of the team’s “lack of weapons.”

With Vince Young now behind the helm however, this “weaponless” offense has begun to produce.

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