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	<title>Midwest Sports Fans &#187; Penn State Football</title>
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		<title>Penn State-Nebraska Preview: Point Spread, Analysis, Poll, and Prediction</title>
		<link>http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2011/11/penn-state-nebraska-preview-point-spread-analysis-poll-and-prediction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2011/11/penn-state-nebraska-preview-point-spread-analysis-poll-and-prediction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Nov 2011 03:43:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Mullett</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Big Ten Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CFB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[big ten game of the week]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[college football point spreads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jerry sandusky]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Paterno]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nebraska cornhuskers football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Penn State Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[poll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preview]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/?p=40482</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Big Ten Game of the Week this week takes place in State College, PA, with Nebraska coming into a town has been turned upside down to face an emotional Penn State team that has dealt with a week of unprecedented distractions.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>State College has been the focus of the sports world, but not for reasons they or anyone else wanted.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2011/11/mark-madden-drops-bomb-of-rumor-about-jerry-sandusky-scandal/" target="_blank">The scandal</a> involving former defensive coordinator Jerry Sandusky is still unfolding, detail after disgusting detail.  The case has been <a href="http://deadspin.com/penn-state-sex-scandal/" target="_blank">well documented</a>, so I won&#8217;t go into the details here outside of their relevance to Saturday&#8217;s game.</p>
<p><span id="more-40482"></span>It appears Saturday&#8217;s game at Beaver Stadium will go on as scheduled, despite some <a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2011/11/should-penn-state-cancel-or-move-saturdays-game-against-nebraska-it-bears-asking-again/" target="_blank">very legitimate concerns</a> about the challenges that Penn State&#8217;s administration and campus police will face.  Wednesday night, as news of Joe Paterno&#8217;s firing spread, students at Penn State gathered on Beaver Avenue.  Most students were under control, merely rubbernecking and trying to understand what was going on.  But as is often the case, <a href="http://deadspin.com/5858151/heres-video-of-penn-state-students-flipping-a-news-van/gallery/1" target="_blank">some students became destructive</a>.</p>
<p>Media members were pelted with rocks and a news van was tipped over by the mob.  Street signs were also broken, and approximately 100 police officers had to be called in with pepper spray to subdue some of the crowd.  No one is sure what the scene will look like Saturday afternoon as the Big Ten-leading Nittany Lions play host to the Cornhuskers.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/beaver-avenue.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-40491" title="beaver avenue penn state joe paterno" src="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/beaver-avenue.jpg" alt="beaver avenue penn state joe paterno" width="534" height="340" /></a></p>
<p>For the record, it is <a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2011/11/should-penn-state-cancel-or-move-saturdays-game-against-nebraska-it-bears-asking-again/" target="_blank">my opinion that the game should be played as scheduled</a>, so long as there are no concerns for the safety of the crowd or anyone involved in the game.</p>
<p>Though the scene right now is tranquil, I understand that trying to predict the crowd&#8217;s behavior Saturday is difficult.  But to move the game would be nearly impossible with this short of notice, and postponing the game would likely drag this on longer.  It would be unfair to the seniors of Penn State to not grant them their Senior Day, and it would be unfair to Nebraska who has surely worked very hard to prepare for this game as they try to climb back to the top of the Legends Division.</p>
<p>I understand that football is fickle compared to the charges levied at Sandusky, Paterno, and the rest of the Penn State program.  I understand that keeping the program churning ahead is what has caused most of these allegations to go unnoticed for almost a decade.  I feel, however, that the only solution is to play the game Saturday in Beaver Stadium and move on.</p>
<p>As for the game itself, let&#8217;s look at what each school needs to focus on to come away with the victory.</p>
<h3><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/rex-burkhead-vs.-OSU.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-40497" style="margin: 5px;" title="rex burkhead vs. OSU - nebraska-penn state preview" src="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/rex-burkhead-vs.-OSU.jpg" alt="rex burkhead vs. OSU nebraska-penn state preview" width="240" height="180" /></a>What Nebraska must do to win</strong></span></h3>
<p>For Nebraska&#8217;s offense it is very simple: run the ball with Rex Burkhead early and often.  When Burkhead gains more than 100 yards on the ground, the Huskers win (5-0 this year).  When he doesn&#8217;t, they lose (0-2).  The latter was the case last week against Northwestern, so you can be sure they will try to establish the running game against Penn State.</p>
<p>The fact is, as dynamic an athlete as quarterback Taylor Martinez is, he is inconsistent and mistake-prone.  I&#8217;ve written it before in this very column, but Martinez must protect the ball and give his defense a chance to sit on the sideline.  He doesn&#8217;t need to be spectacular for Nebraska to win this game.  Considering all the emotion of the past week, he merely needs to be efficient and allow Burkhead to shoulder the load.</p>
<p>Defensively, Nebraska should match up fairly well with the Nittany Lions.  Their first priority will be stopping Penn State running back Silas Redd, who has over 1,000 yards already this season.  Other than Wisconsin&#8217;s Montee Ball and Ohio State&#8217;s Carlos Hyde, Nebraska hasn&#8217;t been gashed badly on the ground this season.  Considering Ball has pretty much done that to everyone and 63 of Hyde&#8217;s 104 yards came on one carry (his other 12 went for just 41 yards), they have been respectable against the run.  They will need to keep that up this weekend as Penn State&#8217;s quarterback carousel hasn&#8217;t shown any chance of stopping.</p>
<h3><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/silas-redd.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-40498" style="margin-right: 5px; margin-left: 5px;" title="silas redd nebraska-penn state preview point spread prediction" src="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/silas-redd.jpg" alt="silas redd nebraska-penn state preview point spread prediction" width="240" height="160" /></a></span></strong></h3>
<h3></h3>
<h3><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">What Penn State must do to win</span></strong></h3>
<p>This is going to sound impossible, but in order for Penn State to win, they must unite as a team and focus on the task of beating Nebraska and not the loss of their coach and the horrific scandal plaguing their program and institution.</p>
<p>In what is sure to be an emotional day for fans, players, coaches, and university employees, the Nittany Lions will try to run Redd as much as they can and play stingy defense against Burkhead.  Redd comes in with a streak of 5 straight 100-yard games, all of which have come against Big Ten opponents.</p>
<p>Penn State has lucked out a bit from a scheduling standpoint as they haven&#8217;t had to face Wisconson, Michigan or Michigan State this year, so this matchup against Nebraska will be their toughest in-conference game to date.</p>
<p>Last week against Illinois, Penn State got next to nothing out of their passing attack, totaling only 98 yards through the air.  Against Nebraska that might not be good enough, especially if Martinez gets going.  For the Nittany Lions to win this game, they must be able to make a few big plays in the passing game to open up the field for their primary weapon, Redd.  Wide receiver Derek Moye should be able to get open against a relatively weak Nebraska secondary, and if Matt McGloin (or Rob Bolden, but I expect McGloin to take most of the snaps) can hit him with a big strike or two, Penn State could shake off the distractions and remain undefeated in Big Ten play.</p>
<p>Defensively, they must limit Burkhead and force Martinez into bad throws.  Penn State is 3rd nationally in scoring defense, so they have the ability to both of those things.  If they allow Burkhead to start fast or Martinez to make a homerun play early, the Nittany Lions don&#8217;t have the quick strike offensive weapons to make up a deficit.</p>
<h3><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Nebraska-Penn State Prediction</strong></span></h3>
<p>I think that the seniors of Penn State have a lot to play for, and I think the team will come out and play well Saturday.  They will be filled with emotion and I think that will manifest itself in the form of passionate, inspired play.  The atmosphere will be unlike any other college football game we have ever seen given the circumstances of the last week, and I expect the crowd to be supportive of the players and be respectful of the game, which is certainly how Joe Paterno wants them to be.</p>
<p>I see Penn State&#8217;s defense holding Rex Burkhead to under 100 yards and I see the trend of Nebraska losing when he doesn&#8217;t reach the century mark holding up this week.  Look for Silas Redd to punish the Huskers defense and for Penn State to win one of their typical low scoring slugfests.</p>
<p><strong>Final Prediction: Penn State 20, Nebraska 17</strong></p>
<p>What do you think will be the outcome?</p>
<p><strong>Note: There is a poll embedded within this post, please visit the site to participate in this post's poll.</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">**********</p>
<h3><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Nebraska-Penn State Game Info</span></strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>Nebraska-Penn State Date: Saturday, November 12</li>
<li>Nebraska-Penn State Kickoff Time: 12:00 EST</li>
<li>Nebraska-Penn State TV: ESPN</li>
<li>Nebraska-Penn State Point Spread: Nebraska -3.5</li>
<li>Nebraska-Penn State Over/Under: 43</li>
</ul>
<p>Final note: make sure you take a few minutes to sign up for one of <strong><a href="http://dailyjoust.com/contests/?refer=msf" target="_blank">this weekend&#8217;s fantasy college football and basketball tournaments</a></strong> from our friends at Daily Joust. After all, it is the <strong><a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2011/10/the-best-alternative-to-fantasy-sports-and-sports-betting-ever/" target="_blank">best alternative to fantasy sports and sports betting</a></strong>&#8230;ever.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>*********</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em><a href="http://www.twitter.com/keithmullett" target="_blank">Follow me on Twitter @keithmullett</a></em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>*********</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Image credits: <a href="http://mediagallery.usatoday.com/Joe-Paterno/G2868" target="_blank">usatoday.com</a>, <a href="http://www.offtackleempire.com/photos/big-red-in-the-b1g-week-8-we-won-and-stuff-oh-and-rex-burkhead-is-the/2476549" target="_blank">offtackleempire.com</a>, <a href="http://www.zimbio.com/pictures/zOGx6jeGH0L/Michigan+State+v+Penn+State/9ZpVuUY8oIQ/Silas+Redd" target="_blank">zimbio.com</a></em></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Football Preview: Penn State at Ohio State &#124; Can Joe Paterno Buck Losing Trend</title>
		<link>http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2008/10/preview-3-penn-state-9-ohio-state-joe-paterno-must-buck-another-losing-trend/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2008/10/preview-3-penn-state-9-ohio-state-joe-paterno-must-buck-another-losing-trend/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 16:26:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>KVB</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Laurinaitis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Tressel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Paterno]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ohio State Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Penn State Football]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/?p=510</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[#3 Penn State travels to Columbus this Saturday for a showdown with #8 Ohio State for control of the Big Ten.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/paterno-tressel.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-511" style="border: 5px solid black; margin: 5px; float: left;" title="paterno-tressel" src="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/paterno-tressel.jpg" alt="joe paterno jim tressel" width="250" height="163" /></a>The Big Ten game of the year will kickoff in Columbus at 8pm EST on Saturday, October 25.Â  It will be only the 8<sup>th</sup> night game (6-1) hosted in Ohio Stadium history.Â  The last night game was the loss to Vince Young&#8217;s Longhorns in 2005.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">This time around Ohio State officials are hoping the faithful will wear all red for the themed â€œScarlett Fever.â€ God knows the Penn State Nittany Lions have thrown the â€œWhite Outâ€ at us enough times.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">First place in the Big Ten is on the line as they are the only undefeated teams left. <span> </span>If Ohio  State (7-1, 4-0) wins they could position themselves as the Big Ten champion which could mean a <a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2008/09/usc-blows-out-ohio-state/" target="_blank">rematch against USC</a> in the Rose Bowl. A Penn State (8-0, 4-0) win would put them on the inside track to their first BCS championship appearance.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Not that Joe Pa would even think about retiring after a BCS win since going off in style is, well, not his style. <span id="more-510"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">To set this game up, both Ohio State and Penn State are coming off <a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2008/10/jim-tressel-ohio-state-buckeyes-beat-michigan-state-spartans-48-7/" target="_blank">smack downs</a> of the <a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2008/10/nick-sheridan-big-10-player-of-the-year/" target="_blank">Michigan teams</a> and I wouldnâ€™t be surprised if ESPNâ€™s College Gameday set up shop in Columbus for this one. Historically speaking, this game has a rich history especially since they play each other every year in the last week of October.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Ohio State leads the all-time series 12-11 and they have a 10-5 advantage since Penn  State joined the Big Ten in 199<a href="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/laurinaitis.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-512" style="border: 5px solid black; margin: 5px; float: right;" title="laurinaitis" src="http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/laurinaitis.jpg" alt="james laurinitis" width="210" height="265" /></a>3. Joe Paterno bucked the losing trend against Michigan last weekend but he has another this weekend against Ohio  State. Joe Paterno has NEVER won in Ohio Stadium in Big Ten play. <span> </span>Joe Pa won in Columbus in October of 1929 but he insists a historic stock market crash is not the reason for victory then or now.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In all seriousness (despite the photo of James Laurinaitis), I believe the most important match ups are the run defenses and ball control. Last week Penn  State had a tough time stopping the Michigan spread run offense giving up 202 yards on the ground, a 4.4 average per carry. Most of that was given up in the first half. Last week Ohio State took on the supposedly best running attack in the Big Ten and held the Fighting Izzoâ€™s to 52 yards rushing, a 2.5 yard average. So whichever defense can keep the other teamâ€™s dual running threats off the field longer should win this game because I donâ€™t see a lot of turnovers occurring.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>Prediction:</strong> Ohio State 27 Penn State 21</p>
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