Bettor’s Guide: NFL Week 17 Picks, Point Spreads, and Over-Under Odds

Week 16 did not quite reach the heights of my stellar Week 15 picks when I went 11-4, but I’ll take a 9-7 for my second straight plus-.500 week. For the season I now sit at 124-96-8.

And now I must make a series of picks that I dread. Week 17 is always tricky because not every team has something to play for, and some teams may end up resting their starters. Oh well, luckily my picks process involves not overthinking it and just going based on gut feel. Hopefully that serves me well here, where it’s especially hard to predict the outcomes in a league that is already especially hard to predict.

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Bettor’s Guide: NFL Week 11 Picks, Point Spreads, and Over-Under Odds

Update 11/17: All spreads and picks are in.

And I’m back!

After three straight weeks in which I was one game under .500, I stormed back in Week 10 with a 9-5 record. That makes me 76-57-6 overall, which is just over 57% for the season. I consider 51% to be successful when it comes to picking games in this wild, crazy, unpredictable league, so I’m ecstatic being 19 games over .500.

Now it’s time to back up a good week with another good one. Let’s get to the picks.

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Monday Night Football: Denver Broncos-San Diego Chargers Spread, Preview & Prediction

broncos-raiders preview prediction point spread pick over-under

dolphins-jets point spread pick, prediction - monday night football analysis, preview - miami-new yorkEditor’s Note: AJ Kaufman’s weekly MNF coverage on MSF is sponsored by Sadler’s Smokehouse, a producer of premium pit smoked meats that are best described by Sadler’s slogan: Legendary since 1948.

Sadler’s premium meats are perfect for tailgating on Saturday, for grilling out at home on Sunday, or for when you are hosting a group of friends, or even just the family, on Monday night.

With a variety of delicious choices (beef, pork, ribs, turkey, brisket, and more) and availability at grocery stores throughout the U.S., Sadler’s meats are the tasty, convenient choice when you want to watch the big game and eat well while you’re doing it.

Check out Sadler’s Monday Night Football Recipe of the Week: Sadler’s Smokehouse Brisket Nachos

Visit the Sadler’s Smokehouse website: Sadler’s Smokehouse

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Monday Night Football

Denver Broncos (5-0) at San Diego Chargers (3-2)

  • Broncos-Chargers Date: Monday, October 19th
  • Broncos-Chargers Kickoff Time: 8:30 PM
  • Broncos-Chargers TV Network: ESPN
  • Broncos-Chargers Announcers: Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski, and Jon Gruden
  • Broncos-Chargers Point Spread: Chargers -3.5
  • Broncos-Chargers Over-Under: 44
  • Broncos-Chargers Spread Pick by Jerod: I was shocked when I first saw this line, but am not so shocked the more I think about it. The Chargers are coming off a bye, should have a healthier LaDainian Tomlinson at their disposal, and had to listen to their GM call them out this past week. The Broncos are coming off of a tough, emotional win over New England, and you have to think that this team is going to stumble on the road at some point. I think Philip Rivers outplays Kyle Orton and the Chargers hand the Broncos their first loss of the season, and by more than a field goal. Broncos-Chargers free pick: Chargers -3.5

Broncos-Chargers MNF Preview and Analysis

In August, ESPN’s “football expert,” John Clayton, who spends 365 days per year studying the sport, predicted the Denver Broncos would win “two or three games max” this season. To their credit, the other commentators on the panel disagreed, though most said five wins might be a stretch. Denver, of course, is undefeated through five weeks of football in 2009. The last four times Denver has started 5-0, they’ve made the super bowl or won the championship.

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