NCAA Tournament Bracket Projections: January 8th

With a seemingly never-ending cloud of illness hanging over my home, I haven’t had much time to sit down and put together a set of bracket projections so far this season.

But luckily, we also haven’t been healthy enough to leave the house with much regularity, which has allowed me plenty of time to watch college hoops.

Before I unveil my first set of projections this year, please note a couple things:

  1. For single-bid leagues, I pay some attention to who is currently atop the standings as well as the current RPI, but at this point in the season that can be misleading. Consequently, I placed the team I expect to win in the field.
  2. The projection below takes into account all games played through Monday, January 8th.
  3. You may think I don’t know what I’m talking about. You may be right. But it’s worth pointing out that I did finish second last season according to the Bracket Project.  I fully plan on living off of that for the remainder of the year, so don’t say I didn’t warn you.


Philadelphia Lexington
1) Duke 1) Louisville
16) FLA Gulf Coast / NC Central 16) Southern / Stony Brook
8) UCLA 8) Oklahoma State
9) Baylor 9) Oregon
San Jose Dayton
5) Michigan State 5) Kansas State
12) Belmont 12) Pittsburgh / Virginia
4) Butler 4) Illinois
13) North Dakota State 13) Davidson
Salt Lake City Austin
6) San Diego State 6) Cincinnati
11) Memphis 11) Arizona State
3) Gonzaga 3) Missouri
14) Harvard 14) Louisiana Tech
Auburn Hills Kansas City
7) Colorado 7) Miami, FL
10) Maryland 10) Boise State
2) Minnesota 2) Kansas
15) Iona 15) Cal State Fullerton
Auburn Hills Salt Lake City
1) Michigan 1) Arizona
16) Wagner 16) UNC Asheville
8) Temple 8) Wyoming
9) Kentucky 9) Marquette
Austin San Jose
5) New Mexico 5) Wichita State
12) Indiana State / Iowa State 12) Bucknell
4) Notre Dame 4) North Carolina State
13) Middle Tennessee State 13) Stephen F. Austin
Dayton Kansas City
6) UNLV 6) Georgetown
11) Saint Louis 11) North Carolina
3) Florida 3) Creighton
14) Ohio 14) Detroit
Philadelphia Lexington
7) Ohio State 7) VCU
10) Colorado State 10) Oklahoma
2) Syracuse 2) Indiana
15) Montana 15) George Mason















































NCAA Tournament Bracket Last Four In:

  • Indiana State  – The Sycamores have a high RPI and neutral court wins over Ole Miss and Miami, but an ugly road loss at Morehead State is a definite blemish on their profile.
  • Iowa State – A win over fellow bubble dweller BYU was the difference here, but the Cyclones need to add some meat to their resume in Big 12 play.
  • Pittsburgh – The Panthers are pounding Georgetown as I write this, but through Monday quality wins are hard to find on their schedule.  I do think they’re a tournament team at this point, but they’ll need to prove it in the First Four.
  • Virginia – Unlike Pitt, the Cavaliers have some solid wins over other bubble-esque teams like Tennessee, North Carolina, and on the road against Wisconsin.  However, their RPI is brutal thanks to three losses to Colonial teams.

NCAA Tournament First Four Out:

  • BYU – The Cougars have a solid RPI but haven’t really beaten anyone.  The four best teams on their schedule have beat them by double digits, and with the WCC not looking as tough, BYU is probably in trouble.
  • California – Wins over Denver and Georgia Tech are better than people might think, and while the Bears don’t have any horrible losses, they need to pick up some quality wins in an improved Pac-12.
  • Tennessee – The injury to Jeronne Maymon hurts, as does a down year for the SEC.  The good news for the Vols is that they have a win over Wichita State, but the team has had some brutal offensive stretches this season, an issue which will plague them the rest of the year.
  • Wisconsin – It’s hard to fathom the Badgers being left out, but outside of crushing Cal, what have they done?  The answer: not much.



Here is how the bids broke out by conference:

Big East (7): Cincinnati, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse

ACC (6): Duke, Maryland, Miami (FL), North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia

Big 12 (6): Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State

Big Ten (6): Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State

Mountain West (6): Boise State, Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV, Wyoming

Pac-12 (5): Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA

Atlantic 10 (4): Butler, Saint Louis, Temple, VCU

Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Indiana State, Wichita State

SEC (3): Florida, Kentucky, Missouri

America East: Stony Brook

Atlantic Sun: Florida Gulf Coast

Big Sky: Montana

Big South: UNC-Asheville

Big West: Cal State Fullerton

Colonial: George Mason

Conference USA: Memphis

Horizon: Detroit

Ivy: Harvard

MAAC: Iona

MAC: Ohio

MEAC: North Carolina Central

Northeast: Wagner

Ohio Valley: Belmont

Patriot: Bucknell

Southern: Davidson

Southland: Stephen F. Austin

Summit: North Dakota State

Sun Belt: Middle Tennessee State

SWAC: Southern

WAC: Louisiana Tech

West Coast: Gonzaga


Follow me on Twitter (@andybottoms) for more thoughts on college hoops, and check out the latest edition of the Bottoms Line podcast.

About Andy Bottoms

While Andy was born and raised in Indiana, he would like to point out that he grew up shooting hoops in his driveway and not against the side of a barn like you see in all the March Madness promos or in the middle of a field like Jimmy Chitwood. Andy ranks among the top bracketologists according to the Bracket Matrix and has provided his projections to Fox Sports for the past three seasons. When not compiling excuses for missing work during the NCAA Tournament, Andy enjoys spending time with his wife and two daughters. He is a proud IU graduate and co-hosts The Assembly Call postgame show following every IU game. Twitter: @AndyBottoms


  1. You show 5 Big 12 teams in your league summary, but have 6 in your brackets. Okst is not listed in your summary.

    • Andy Bottoms says:

      Good catch, updated the post. Thanks!


  2. Kävin tuossa vertailemassa (kai englantilaisen) Lily Lilon ja Everyday Mineralsin nettisivuilla hintoja ja amerikkalainen voitti… Eli jatkan sieltä ostamista. Hinnan lisäksi valinnanvaraa on reilusti enemmän. Mutta hyvä, että on vaihtoehtojakin mi¤emaalireikeissÃn!

  3. allora studia, impegnati, non fare le cose improvvisate, anche perché la rete offre tanto di meglio e di più professionale se proprio vuoi rinnovare il blog. Certo che il 70% mi piace, altrimenti non sarei qui ma so ancora distinguere il mediocre. I migliaia di stupendo e meraviglioso per due bandierine con striscette colorate e palline non significano certo che sei una grande designer sai?

  4. This is the first time that I am reading your blog which I got to know from Femina. You write very well.If you were not an accidental actor you must be an author. Looking forward to your next blog and ofcourse your book.TC.

  5. Kyllä tätä ongelmaa on toisinaan meillä keski-ikäisillä miehillä. Oma konstini on, että ensimmäisen orgasmin tarjoilen vaimolleni suulla ja vasta sitten siirrymme varsinaiseen yhdyntään. Siinä lienee tosiaan jokin psykologinen juttu, että tieto vaimon jo saamasta nautinnosta poistaa omia paineita. Yhdynnässä oma kestävyys on parempi, ja toisaalta vaimokin saa yleensä toisen orgasmin ensimmäistä nopeammin, joskus jopa useammankin…;-)

  6. Oh Stacey.You got it.You got everything.You got that expression of Audrey laughing when I tickle her. I LOVE that face, and I know she won’t do it forever. You got Scarlet’s energy and joy and seriousness. You got all the love and excitement. They’re so real. They make me happy.Thank you.

  7. Des parcours relativement équilibrés, je trouve. Fed et Nole ont quand même l’air un peu mieux lotis, à vue de nez. Murray risque d’en chier un max…

  8. Kedves Sándor!Gratulálok a blogbejegyzéshez – minden mondatával egyetértek. Volt szerencsém a dél-afrikai braai-hoz tíz éven keresztül minden vasárnap… Ben Nogradi (

  9. Having done some research (hey maybe not such a bad idea…), I realise where we fell short.We were looking face on at stuff.Next time, we have to have lots of ´sideways glances´ – at the weather, at tv programmes, at why there is such a thing as global poverty…fight!!!It works for Herring and the other guy, apparently.

  10. Absolutely, it is a bad practice to say, "Look at the picture", instead look at the letters, we have an alphabetic language that is 94.7% decodable! Teach your kids to sound out the words and you’re much better off!

  11. Ех, скільки ще наївних романтиків в Україні… І хто сказав, що люди їдуть туди на все готове? Хто для них там щось приготував? Люди їдуть працювати, бо тут їхній труд ніхто не цінує.

  12. Gracias por el comentario, pero yo no he escrito esos artículos, ya me gustaría tener a mi esa lucidez. Lo que si hago es intentar promocionar esos artículos para que se respete un poco mas la profesión informática, que como bien debes saber no esta muy valorada.Vota el comentario: 0  0

  13. Cuánta altura para poder divisar los zapatos que llevas, no?, vamos que ni Daryl Hanah en esa película que no te pienso decir cuál es, jejeY sigo con mis trece: muerte de un viajante, aunque como no la he visto no reconozco el fotograma.

  14. Well, you see for the bread to turn out really good for St Patrcik’s Day you do have to start it a day ahead… so being a day early is actually a good thing! Happy Birthday for Friday Jennifer!

  15. ManWe had a tutorial at uni with 2 creatives from the agency that did the John West’s ads (the one with the fishing line in the top of the can, as if it was water). Name of the place escapes me, but their CD used to tell people to go watch movies or get a hobby or somesuch after a certain time in the evening as he thought it made them better thinkers.

  16. What’s up to all, I am also genuinely keen of learning Personal home pages programming, however I am new one, I each time used to examine posts related to PHP programming.VA:F [1.6.5_908]please wait…VA:F [1.6.5_908](from 0 votes)

  17. Does anyone know who locally distributes scuba diving stuff in the Philippines?I am in need of them. Better yet manufactures of rash guards, wetsuits, board shorts in the Philippines???

  18. i hope i dont sound offenseve but sims 3 cheats well most of them work on the sims medieval the reason it might sound offenseve to u is cause u said it had nothing to do with the sims 3 but i highly dought u would look at cheats cheats like motherlode which gives u money or kaching.

  19. There's a bank in downtown Pittsburgh that has had one of these for at least the last three years. I don't bank there but I've always wondered what would happen if I tried to go in with my normal EDC concealed firearm? No law in PA prohibiting you from carrying in a bank and signs don't count as legal notice…

  20. Look at you! So beautiful, Joy. I loved being pregnant…even vomiting for the first 17 weeks…I knew the babies were there if I was sick, and for that I was so grateful. Have you felt the baby move? At first it was a soft flutter, like a butterfly. Later, when certain songs played, it became dancing (I’m guessing Julia LOL) and that’s when Doug was first able to feel the girls move around.I think Heidi sent you your little miracle. I will babysit ANYTIME. For free!Happy belated Mother’s Day to you.

  21. It’s not that I want to replicate your web page, but I really like the style and design. Could you let me know which style are you using? Or was it tailor made?

  22. December 24, 2010That was wonderful. I loved how it was full of colour and wonder. The luscious food, the donkey, Tom’s comments. It was all so rich, wonderful.Didn’t like going through adverts tho But I recon that’s the best piece i’ve read of yours! mx

  23. Individual votes certainly matter. I voted for the first time three years ago when The City & The City and The Windup Girl tied on the Best Novel category. I voted for The Windup Girl, thus my vote counted a lot

  24. >To anonymous: what’s wrong with coming up with the visual first? Who made you the boss of creativity?One more caption (if you want your inbox filled with angry “I don’t get it” notes): “Something about this crime scene doesn’t make any sense.”Or to really push it — no caption at all.

  25. It is amusing/serious art looking at issues of capitalist attitudes of ownership etc among many other current ideas. What better way to get this message across than to tattoo a pig.He is famous for a whole array of work in the art world. Famous in the e-animal rights world for his pigs. I suppose being dogmatic is easy – it means you don’t need to think.

  26. Very glad to hear from you, Nepentheia. Also glad to hear you and Thundey playing and enjoying Skyrim. It seems like you have a relationship to the game similar to mine. Regarding mods; yeah, looking forward to see what people do with it. I actually feel compelled to get the tools myself and have a go at some smaller project.

  27. Salut Sabine.Je suis Antoine de 22 ans, je vit a , et je recherche une personne avec qui sortir certain soir.Donc si tu est interresser tient moi au courant.A bientôt j’espère.

  28. I have just started doing this too (read: without shame), and it’s so freeing to actually give myself the choice! Funny how I’d especially had a problem with this before when a book had been recommended by “everyone”–so i thought I definitely had to like it too.No longer! I stand proud on my mountain of personal taste and enjoyment and don’t expect anyone to join me…you heard me!

  29. Stay informative, San Diego, yeah boy!

  30. If I was stuck on a deserted island I would want my nook. It would have to be PACKED with songs, games, and books to keep me entertained!brianne(dot)libby(at)maine(dot)edu

  31. Love the shirt & the design down the arm…I actually love the length on those first shorts… no one wants to see ME in booty shorts! So that length is more appropraite for my build.. and AGE! :)I say if you got the body & the booty, do the booty shorts ladies! :)

  32. Full of salient points. Don’t stop believing or writing!

  33. Super excited to see more of this kind of stuff online.

  34. i totally feel your pain. it would be so easy to just get things mass produced in china, but the quality of the garments would suffer greatly.i wish you and madeline the best, and hope to see your creations being produced one day! xo

  35. Thank you Debs. I have been so busy in my studio lately that my blog has been sorely neglected. I’ll be back to regular posts very soon. I hope you check back.Guy

  36. Đọc bài anh Tuấn viết về bác Hợi thật xúc động chảy nước mắt. Cầu chúc bác Hợi nhiều sức khỏe và an khang.

  37. First off you look amazing!!!! You look slimmer than pre-Olivia! Secondly, that list had me in stitches!!!!! I would never be able to keep a straight face doing those! And thirdly, I hate when my soldier leaves for work ,but I truly think it has helped our marriage. Absents makes the heart grow fonder. Not every couple has the opportunity to feel how much they miss their spouse. It’s amazing how much I miss him, even after 11 years. I love that feeling.

  38. Its all a big mess, but did we really suspect anything less? It's one thing signing a deal with YouTube, but taxing bloggers like yourself (and it really is a kind of tax) who are so clearly not in it for the money is just stupid. What a mess

  39. 11aI’m really enjoying the design and layout of your blog. It’s a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more pleasant for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a developer to create your theme? Exceptional work!

  40. Oula la la moi jai recu une me reclamant 845 euros pour des exes de vitesse datant du 12/02/10 comme vous je nai jamais recu quoi que se soit et le pire tout sa s est deroule a 400Km de chez moi comment conteste ?

  41. you should see my credit card balances AND limits!!foolish people LOL – no really i do pay them off in full everymonth. btw no libra has ever been better dressed than me. thanks for the astology lesson. LOL

  42. Way to end a post about Harry Potter with a Thoreau quote, how wonderfully juxtapositional (i swear, that's a real word!)If I was at Hogwarts I'd wanna be in hufflepuff, but sneak into Griffindor commonroom to do unspeakable things with Ron Weasley… we can share him! Woopwoop<3<3<3

  43. The very root of your writing whilst sounding reasonable originally, did not work well with me after some time. Somewhere throughout the sentences you were able to make me a believer but just for a while. I nevertheless have a problem with your jumps in logic and one would do well to help fill in those gaps. In the event that you can accomplish that, I could surely be impressed.

  44. I have same sentiments as Nina. I’m hoping it’s not banana that’s triggering my heartburn because it’s such a miracle fruit and has so many benefits for my health. Besides, it’s my favorite fruit.

  45. Jennifer Nicholle – I am an officer in the Air Force and currently live in Germany. This is the most amazing year of my life, it just has to be because it’s my Golden Year (I’m 26 and was born on the 26th) I am finding new things about myself and defining my style in my work and my art. Because of this, I enjoyed a surprising moment last week sitting at a traffic light. I was listening to A Fine Frenzy’s new album (<3 it!) and teared up with sheer happiness… my most wonderful moment yet.

  46. na formula nao tem espaço para bonzinhos nao!!!e o senna era bonzinho??? ( só pra nós brasileiros né!!) olha o rubinho tentou ser o cara boa praça na f1 e só levou bomba!!! viva dennis!!!!!

  47. I feel so much happier now I understand all this. Thanks!

  48. एक खौफनाक और दर्नक मंजर का चित्रण बखूबीढाला है शब्दों में…:;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;

  49. A super yummy gooey peach recipe I use can actually use unripe peaches (or over ripe peaches, basically sub par peaches) – you just cut them in half – and then mix together brown sugar, cinnamon, torn basil, and softened butter – then stuff the butter mixture into the depitted peaches and bake for 20 minutes – eat with ice cream!

  50. DerErklärBär 3  1looool wie geil wie der typ der frau erstma beim einparken helfen muss nach 4 min oder so und er macht es in 2-3 sek nix gegen frauen am steuer aber die sachen im video sind ja ma der oberhammer wie sacht man so schön: rofl :thumb: achja …1st feif:

  51. Thinking like that shows an expert at work

  52. Lehet, hogy máshol más program van, de azért ebben a sátorban akármeddig beszélgethetünk:)Egyébként tényleg ez egy nagyon fontos elem az egészben. A test valami eddig ismeretlen esszencialitással jelentkezik be, akkor is, ha nem vagy rosszul. Lehet, hogy nem veszi át időben teljesen az uralmat, de olyan erővel mutatkozik, ahogy addig nem.

  53. A wonderful job. Super helpful information.

  54. your hair is adorable.I do the same thing – I do not make appts in advance, I call and say – so ready for a haircut and she gets me in within a day or two.

  55. debemos respetar a la mujer como ellas a nosotros, pero las mayores desgracias las a cometido el hombre, la humanidad no fue la mejor creación de dios, fue la peor,no solo estamos destruyendo la tierra sino q nos matamos entre nosotros. FELIZ DIA PARA NADIE!

  56. Then at a specific time, maybe some of these guys may say something like, oh, BTW, we found out he as an illegal alien, too, on top of it all…Oh, and one more thing, what will we all say? LOL! Well, gloating is really a bad character to have. I won’t gloat. But I’d love to see him removed and maybe America can heal just a little. Possibly.

  57. "There is NO pay discrimation, sexual harrasment, racism or any other thing people whine about"…Unless you're a self loathing and thoroughly confused leftist where you'll see descrimination, sexual harrasment, and racism around every corner, behind every door, and stalking the 'poor victim' down every street and alley way…

  58. I wish they would at least, while sitting there for hours, reach around and flush the damn toilet so others who come in there won't feel the need to call 911 for a hazmat removal.

  59. that’s a reasonable question, egbert, but even shin bet loses its temper. as much as i used believe in the superior quality of the IDF and israeli intelligence, they are seemingly increasingly sloppy and lazy.

  60. I suppose that sounds and smells just about right.

  61. we prefer to honor several other world-wide-web internet sites around the web, even though they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Below are some webpages really worth checking out

  62. The AdS/CFT for cond matt stuff is interesting… but really what have we learned from this so far other than that there’s a lot of string theorists who have hammers and are looking for nails? It seems somewhat premature to hand out awards for this, same with susy and black hole evaporation – the way it looks right now this “fundamental physics” prize runs high risk of becoming a “mathematical physics” prize, or maybe not even that.

  63. Kiitos Peppi :) Mä koitin hakee noilla numeroilla vähän semmoista uimakoppi-tyyliä, vielä kun tosissaan löytäisi siihen sopivat nupit! Suihkuverhokin on tavallaan ihan sopiva tuohon ja saakin olla siinä niin kauan kunnes löytyy vielä passelimpi :)Kiitti Enna! Mä ostin alkuperäiset sabluunat sieltä Quriosasta ja suurensin painokuvia sit ihan vapaalla kädellä. Olisin toki voinut tehdä fiksummin kalvolle suurennetut sabluunatkin, mutta kun se just sillä hetkellä oli PAKKO tehdä niin ei kerinny ;D

  64. . Your favorite reason seemed to be on the internet the easiest thing to be aware of. I say to you, I certainly get annoyed while people consider worries that they plainly do not know about. You managed to hit the nail upon the top and also defined out the whole thing without having side effect , people can take a signal. Will probably be back to get more. Thanks

  65. I believe that avoiding ready-made foods is a first step in order to lose weight. They may taste good, but ready-made foods contain very little nutritional value, making you consume more in order to have enough electricity to get over the day. Should you be constantly taking in these foods, transferring to whole grain products and other complex carbohydrates will aid you to have more energy while having less. Great blog post.

  66. C’est tout simplement effrayant, la démesure humaine sera t-elle freinée par une catastrophe naturel avant l’effondrement final ? et cela n’interpelle t-il personne sur la démographie ? le contrôle des naissances ne serait ce que par des mesures incitatives.

  67. Pocket pets! Love the running buddies…you just add water (rain) to tink and janna and they grow into lil runners! :)Sorry you were soggy all weekend ahh the PNW! HAPPY MOTHERS DAY MEL!!Hope you have a fantastic week!!!

  68. I have a HUGE love/hate relationship with Cage. He lives a duel cinema life, the one Cage stars in mediocre (at best) summer blockbusters, then his other side stars in some fine films where he gives utterly rich performances. Excellent post!

  69. i adore all three singers too, any strong women in music really, genre doesn't matter. always find it cool when people appreciate a wide range of music styles! you have a nice blog :)

  70. wi………. enak nipacak dunlod lagu kite..lemak benau nengau nye lagu kami ni…adilahat: au, alap die lagu jeme kite niih… langsung saje dunlot mang

  71. At last! Someone with the insight to solve the problem!

  72. November 12, 2012hidup dan waktu terus berputar jd kita nggak mungkin terus berada di satu titik tertentu. ada saatnya kita harus memulai dr awal karena waktu mampu merubah segalanya

  73. / Heya! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any trouble with hackers? My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing months of hard work due to no back up. Do you have any solutions to protect against hackers?

  74. Hej Sari ! Jag var inne idag med min man och rÃ¥kade köpa 2 SPELLBINDERS – NESTABILITIES – LABELS SIXTEENKan jag byta mot uppvisande av kvitto nästa gÃ¥ng vi kommer ner och hälsar pÃ¥ vÃ¥r hund?Kram MarinaPs.Tack för att du visade sÃ¥ mycket, det var uppskattat.Ds

  75. FG I’d argue that, ultimately, Peoria rules. However as we get there the Silicon Valley gangs will have hugely disproportionate influence. That’s not necessarily bad, just interesting.

  76. We should recall that "failure of the most violent 1.5% to reproduce each generation" describes the selection differential in terms of truncation selection.Other things were likely to have been going on that would produce the same selection differential. For example Clark shows that the gentry substantially out-reproduced poor people, so perhaps nerds with a taste for books and arithmetic and such who avoided violent situations reproduced at higher rates.Lots of ways to skin this cat.Henry Harpending

  77. April 17, 2008 – 2:44 pm Hi Laura – you should come to the conference. Registration is still open, and if you use the code PUPPY, you’ll get $100 off. I’m sure there’s room, so why not?I don’t think it’ll be filmed, sad to say…..

  78. It’s rare that I’m so completely appalled and disgusted by a story that I can’t find some way to make funny comments about it…and this is one of those occasions. What the HELL are they thinking?

  79. Those uninsured numbers are too fuzzy. In 2005, it was 48 million uninsured. Now you are saying 43 million uninsured. From 05 to 09, seven million plus lost their jobs, so why is the number of the uninsured going down? Somethings rotten in Denmark.

Speak Your Mind