What the Blue Jays-Marlins Mega Deal Means for the Rest of the American League East

While most discussion throughout the last couple days has focused on the Miami Marlins selling off nearly all of their assets and the re-loaded Blue Jays north of the border, there’s also a discussion to be had about what the reported massive trade means for Toronto’s competition, the American League East division.

In case you missed it, the trade that went down looks as follows …

Blue Jays receive:

  • SS – Jose Reyes
  • SP – Josh Johnson
  • SP – Mark Buehrle
  • OF – Emilio Bonifacio
  • C – John Buck

Marlins receive:

  • SS – Yunel Escobar
  • SP – Henderson Alvarez
  • Prospects – Andy Hechavarria, Jake Marisnick, Anthony Desclafani and Justin Nicolino
  • C – Jeff Mathis

Owner Jeffrey Loria’s aggressive plan last offseason could not have turned out worse, so maybe this photo looking up to him isn’t the most appropriate. (Photo by ESPN)

So, yes, the Blue Jays obviously improve a lot on paper with this trade. But will it be enough for them to contend with powerhouses like Boston, New York, and even Tampa Bay? And what about the new resurgent Baltimore squad?

While it’s hard to say Toronto can be considered anywhere near a “favorite” in the division before they play together for a substantial period and prove themselves, as the 2012 Marlins were not able to do, the different units that make up their team are definitely much more worthy of hype than they have been in quite some time.

Starting Pitching

Josh Johnson and Mark Buehrle will step in and likely be at the front of the Jays’ rotation. Johnson was finally able to have a healthy season in 2012 and bolstered a solid 3.81 ERA. Based on his at-times dominant numbers from years past, we all know he has the potential to be a top-of-the-line ace … especially somewhere like Toronto that won’t put too much pressure upon him.

Buehrle, on the other hand, will play more of the “Mr. Consistency” role in the rotation and has handled being an “ace” in the American League well for more than 10 years with the Chicago White Sox before going to Miami last offseason. So even he could serve as a viable Opening Day starter. More importantly, though, he’ll be able to mentor the other lefties in the Jays’ rotation, Ricky Romero and J.A. Happ.

While Ricky Romero struggled in 2012, posting a 5.77 ERA, and J.A. Happ hasn’t done much since he dazzled for the Phillies in 2009, Buehrle could help mentor them much like he did with John Danks on the south side of Chicago a few years back. Romero’s 42-29 record from 2009-2011 along with Happ’s 2.93 ERA in 2009 (along with a 10-11 record for the atrocious Astros in 2012) shows that the potential is there for the south paws.

Righty flame-thrower Brandon Morrow will fit in quite nicely to the middle of the rotation after posting a 10-7 record to go along with his 2.96 ERA from 2012. He, along with Johnson, give the Blue Jays someone that can shut you down completely on any given night.

At this moment in time, the Blue Jays have either the 1st or 2nd best rotation in the AL East, as I put them right up there with the Tampa Bay Rays’ unit led by David Price. If anything, that should speak volumes to how much Tuesday’s reported trade turns that unit around instantaneously.

brandon-morrow-blue-jays-tampa-bay-trade

Brandon Morrow flirted with no-hitters on more than one occasion. (Photo by johnathan.mastrella via CC BY 2.0)

Bullpen

While you may not know much about the Blue Jays’ bullpen, I assume most will be surprised to hear they actually have a very good unit. Here’s a quick rundown of Toronto’s ‘pen.

  • Closer Casey Janssen stepped in and saved 22/25 SVO in 2012 while posting a 2.54 ERA.
  • Set-up man Sergio Santos missed almost all of 2012 due to injury, but the organization has high hopes for him after he saved 30 games for the 2011 Chicago White Sox.
  • Ageless wonder Darren Oliver just keeps doin’ his thing, as the lefty posted a tremendous 2.06 ERA in 62 appearances in 2012.
  • Brad Lincoln was very good out of the Pirates’ and Blue Jays’ bullpens in 2012 even though he couldn’t quite figure it out as a starter. As long as he stays in the bullpen, he’s a pretty sure thing in the later innings.
  • Steve Delabar, who would be the 5th option in the ‘pen, posted a sub-4.00 ERA in more than 60 appearances in 2012.

The AL East is pretty good top to bottom in the bullpen department, and it looks like the Blue Jays will be able to keep up with the pack in that respect.

Offense

The biggest question mark for the Blue Jays in 2013 could easily be their offense. As good as Jose Reyes is, Yunel Escobar was a formidable shortstop, so Reyes will have to return to his form-of-old for the trade to be a complete success.

With that being said, his presence in the lineup should help out substantially. I project their 2013 lineup (as of now) to look as follows … (2012 stats)

  1. SS – Jose Reyes – .287 BA, 60 XBH, 40 SB
  2. 3B – Brett Lawrie – .273 BA, 40 XBH (125 games)
  3. RF – Jose Bautista – 27 HR, 65 RBI (92 games)
  4. 1B – Edwin Encarnacion – .280 BA, 24 2B, 42 HR, 110 RBI
  5. CF – Colby Rasmus – 21 2B, 23 HR, 75 RBI
  6. C – J.P. Arencibia – 16 2B, 18 HR, 56 RBI (102 games)
  7. DH – Adam Lind – (2011) 26 HR, 87 RBI (limited 2012 MLB action)
  8. 2B – Emilio Bonifacio – .258 BA, 30 SB (64 games)
  9. LF – Rajai Davis – .257 BA, 35 XBH, 46 SB

Now, yes, I know that order can be re-done in many different ways, but the point was simply to show how much potential their order will have. They could also pursue a second baseman on the market and use Emilio Bonifacio as a utility man and pinch-runner, a role in which he’s sure to excel.

And don’t forget about talented 22 year-old Anthony Gose, who the team currently has listed above Rajai Davis on their depth chart.

I’d still expect the Yankees and Red Sox to have a more potent offense than the Blue Jays year in and year out, but Toronto could, at the very least, close that gap somewhat in 2013.

Sorry to all you Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, and O’s fans out there … but the AL East will be even more competitive than it normally is – and that’s plenty competitive already. It’s sure to be an exciting race out east in the ’13 season, as for the first time in, well, probably ever you’ll hear different “experts” pick all of the division’s teams to win the divisional crown.

It’s always hard for a small market team to compete with the “big boys,” but as we’ve seen throughout recent MLB history, it certainly can happen (see Nationals, Washington; Rays, Tampa Bay; and so on & so forth).



About Zach Gropper

Zach Gropper is a sports broadcasting major at Indiana University in the beautiful town of Bloomington, IN. He is from Flossmoor, IL, a small Chicago suburb.
Zach was was the sports director for WHFH 88.5 FM Flossmoor his junior year of high school and Television Station Manager of Viking Television during his senior year.
He runs a White Sox blog at GrabSomeBench.com and also contributes and reports for AssemblyCall.com. Last summer, Zach interned for ESPN 1000 AM Chicago, working on programming for the Waddle and Silvy Show.
He is currently eager to get out into the professional world of sports media, wherever that may take him.

Comments

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    Since when are the Jays small market? They probably have the biggest regional television audience in baseball with very high television ratings. Yes, their payroll has been in the bottom 3rd of baseball in recent years as they rebuilt their farm system, but we are talking about the 3rd most populous city in baseball with the richest owners in baseball (Rogers Inc). Baltimore and Tampa are the only two true small market teams in the division.

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  124. This article keeps it real, no doubt.

  125. you look so warm and cozy. it is still too hot to dig up my sweaters. i am wearing short shorts with a lightweight button down. so llbean of me. i like the gold leaf pendant. i think i used to have a gold leaf pinecone – equally cool.

  126. Loving the SVD alternatives. However, pity you're not getting your rocks off on the holiday now that you've taken a lover! Waste not want not, girl!

  127. Dlm islam,kalau nama tu ada maksud yg baik..x pe di taruk nama itu..asalkan maksudnya baik..mcm org yg tukar agama(mualaf) kalau maksud nama asal tu baik,x yah tukar nama pun x pe asalkn di taruk bin/binti abdullah.cuma haram kita namakan bayi kita dgn nama2 x elok..kalau x percaya google youtube tgk ceramah agama ustaz mohammad kazim elias; topic nama anak yg baik..wassalam.

  128. Gee willikers, that’s such a great post!

  129. So that’s the case? Quite a revelation that is.

  130. Good to see a talent at work. I can’t match that.

  131. You have more useful info than the British had colonies pre-WWII.

  132. Shiver me timbers, them’s some great information.

  133. I won’t go on that “List to delay”.I think it could possibly be a trap. In my opinion if a person puts their name and address on it. this could be construed as consent to install the “smart” meter…only later. I, for one, will not give consent in any form to having one installed at any time!

  134. Laura – Alana these are AMAZING! They literally gave me chills and I have never even met the couple- THAT is what I call amazing photography!-Laura (of Laura and Ryan haha)

  135. Normally I’m against killing but this article slaughtered my ignorance.

  136. I’m impressed. You’ve really raised the bar with that.

  137. Hey, good to find someone who agrees with me. GMTA.

  138. It’s always a relief when someone with obvious expertise answers. Thanks!

  139. All of these articles have saved me a lot of headaches.

  140. Whoever edits and publishes these articles really knows what they’re doing.

  141. 1a9What i do not understood is in reality how you are now not actually a lot more well-preferred than you might be now. You are so intelligent. You understand thus significantly relating to this matter, made me personally imagine it from a lot of numerous angles. Its like women and men aren’t involved until it¡¦s one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your individual stuffs excellent. Always deal with it up!c0

  142. Hey, subtle must be your middle name. Great post!

  143. Haha, shouldn’t you be charging for that kind of knowledge?!

  144. I read your post and wished I was good enough to write it

  145. Thanks for writing such an easy-to-understand article on this topic.

  146. An answer from an expert! Thanks for contributing.

  147. Thanks for sharing. What a pleasure to read!

  148. So much info in so few words. Tolstoy could learn a lot.

  149. I thought finding this would be so arduous but it’s a breeze!

  150. What a pleasure to meet someone who thinks so clearly

  151. At last! Something clear I can understand. Thanks!

  152. If you’re looking to buy these articles make it way easier.

  153. It’s good to get a fresh way of looking at it.

  154. Whoever edits and publishes these articles really knows what they’re doing.

  155. That’s a well-thought-out answer to a challenging question

  156. Touchdown! That’s a really cool way of putting it!

  157. Furrealz? That’s marvelously good to know.

  158. You’ve really helped me understand the issues. Thanks.

  159. Whoever wrote this, you know how to make a good article.

  160. And I was just wondering about that too!

  161. Is that really all there is to it because that’d be flabbergasting.

  162. This is both street smart and intelligent.

  163. Everyone would benefit from reading this post

  164. That’s a well-thought-out answer to a challenging question

  165. Boom shakalaka boom boom, problem solved.

  166. Why does this have to be the ONLY reliable source? Oh well, gj!

  167. Help, I’ve been informed and I can’t become ignorant.

  168. Last one to utilize this is a rotten egg!

  169. Hello Nice wewebsite. Would you like to invitee submit in my own sometime? In that case please inform me via e mail or simply answer this opinion simply due to the fact We signed up for notices and will know if you do.

  170. Now I feel stupid. That’s cleared it up for me

  171. Boa tarde! estou montando meu plano de negócio quero montar meu negócio no máximo começo de janeiro, consigo registrar firma ainda trabalhando com carteira assinada?

  172. Apesar de, como disse, não ter grande simpatia pelo 5dias e pelos seus escribas (pelo menos alguns) não queria deixar de agradecer a citação.Faz-me confusão quando em nome de “não dar parte de fraco” um individuo recorre a argumentos desonestos e rasteiros e a uma falta de memória brutal desde que isso permita mandar umas bocas ao “outro lado…”

  173. I was always baffled by the insistence on the right for Israel's existence. Why is this always required from anybody talking to/dealing with them.Not even the Boers, who Anon upstream trashed in order to support his crappy argument insisted on this when they handed over power to the ANC in 1994.Slowly it began to sink in that Israeli's themselves are not so sure about this…

  174. I was so confused about what to buy, but this makes it understandable.

  175. July 6, 2009  5:24 PM by Wow! Thank you for the warm welcome back. :)What is a black forest cookie? It sounds like something decadent and chocolate (?) and probably very yummy.

  176. You got to push it-this essential info that is!

  177. This is just the perfect answer for all of us

  178. I have been so bewildered in the past but now it all makes sense!

  179. Good job making it appear easy.

  180. Great stuff, you helped me out so much!

  181. One or two to remember, that is.

  182. The truth just shines through your post

  183. Information is power and now I’m a !@#$ing dictator.

  184. That’s an intelligent answer to a difficult question xxx

  185. | Thanks for clearing that whopper up. I’m sure GW wouldn’t have bothered. He likes to spread the lies and then pretend there was some little, tangental germ of truth in them.And GW, that purveyor of lies, has the nerve to call Obama “immoral”.

  186. Kedves, jó, intelligens Új-Anonymous!Mért nem költözöl immár emberi, tiszta lakásba;Van zuhany és van kád: hagyd oda régi kukád!A nemes, elegáns és bátor névtelenség iránti megkülönböztetett tisztelettel:L. N. Peters

  187. That’s a knowing answer to a difficult question

  188. It’s much easier to understand when you put it that way!

  189. This is a most useful contribution to the debate

  190. I think you hit a bullseye there fellas!

  191. Holy Toledo, so glad I clicked on this site first!

  192. how darling these are girlfriend….i too have made some for the raider’s/49er’s game and sell in the parking lots before the games..of course that gives me GAS funds…all helps….i’m 64yrs young and been sewing since age 9…do keep up the good works and GREAT IDEAS….[]

  193. How neat! Is it really this simple? You make it look easy.

  194. Ja, die tiefstapelnde Elja! Kocht wie eine Wilde, mit Herz und Koennen, und macht auch noch tolle, mundwaessernde Fotos!Pesenbachtal ist schoen, schoen. Ich sitze gerade nach eien vierstuendigen Bergwanderung mit 2 Vollkornknaecke mit Alma-Rahm am Seeufer, habe aber immerhin einen erstklassigen Wein im Glas und dein Menue als viruellen Genuss.

  195. Great common sense here. Wish I’d thought of that.

  196. Hi Amanda,Thank you so much for your comments. I know you possess the ability to bring your dream of running a wildly successful Reflexology enterprise into reality. Send me a photo of your new chair when it arrives and where you bought it.Thanks again.Jack

  197. Clear, informative, simple. Could I send you some e-hugs?

  198. nesssssss çok güzel görünüyor yaaa , tüm tariflere Kaymakamlıktaki arkadaşlarla bakıyoruz şu an . Hepsi siteni takip edecek :) ben gerekli bilgileri verdim :) sevgiler canım mucks:)

  199. on A further issue is video games can be serious as the name indicated with the key focus on knowing things rather than entertainment. Although, there’s an entertainment aspect to keep your young ones engaged, every game will likely be designed to develop a specific experience or curriculum, such as mathematics or scientific research. Thanks for your publication.

  200. This forum needed shaking up and you’ve just done that. Great post!

  201. At last, someone comes up with the “right” answer!

  202. A pleasingly rational answer. Good to hear from you.

  203. Kick the tires and light the fires, problem officially solved!

  204. I cannot tell a lie, that really helped.

  205. Totally agree with jenn. I think a Frank blog could be a goldmine and potential celebrity status. Ha, ha!Ooh! DC. Have a great time. I love that place. Any good eats lined up?Have a great time!

  206. For fun we say in the West part of the Netherlands ( Holland ) ” Limburgers are poor German speaking Belgians that think they are Dutch”. Love this quote, always upsets the Limburgers who in fact I love for being so much different compared to the Holland part, that’s what makes me proud to be Dutch living in such a small country with so much variety of people.

  207. That is so true about the fancy labels for some people. And I totally know what you mean about the specifically made things. I already had that happen this year – I was really excited about a handmade gift and the recipient wasn’t rude, but it was a polite, no-biggie response.Thank you for the kind wishes – right back atcha!

  208. I don’t even know what to say, this made things so much easier!

  209. DeZoSSeuR dit :après il y a eu la période des deux ans, barbe noir est devenu plus fort puisqu’il est devenu empereur mais c’est aussi car il connaissait parfaitement le territoire de newgate, les empereur ont tous du s’amélioré mais je crois que l’ordre que j’ai donné est pas mauvais…^^

  210. пишет:Вот это реально круто марафон. А сайт потом покажешь или с читателей хватит и отчета?VA:F [1.9.21_1169]Рейтинг: +1 (оценок: 1)

  211. Finding this post. It’s just a big piece of luck for me.

  212. Stunning set of photos from the Alps. I’m not sure if spring/summer or winter is the best time to take photos of mountains. Though I like to see the raw rock, you can’t always see that under three feet of snow

  213. Yours is a clever way of thinking about it.

  214. The paragon of understanding these issues is right here!

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