Each week I’ve written this post so far in the 2012 season, I’ve addressed the Chris Johnson dilemma that many owners face.
He had downright dismal games in each of the first three weeks, not only by first-round fantasy running back status but also by about any measuring stick you could use.
I lost more and more faith in Johnson each week, predicated largely on the fact that it appears that Tennessee just might be a terrible team. But I held onto the caveat that he is certainly talented enough to go off any given week.
Sure enough, after rushing for just 45 yards on 33 carries over the first three weeks, Johnson”exploded” for 141 yards on 25 carries.
He’s certainly had even better days than that in the past, and he still didn’t get into the end zone, but it was encouraging to see that he rewarded the fantasy owners who stuck with him with a productive day.
The Titans got crushed by the Texans, but Johnson still got the ball 25 times, which is encouraging going forward.
Now on to the people that let you down in Week 4.
Monday night was painful to watch.
It wasn’t just painful as a Packers fan seeing the Bears win, but it was painful seeing Tony Romo fling around five interceptions. It made me cringe.
Looking at his stat line after the game kind of tells the story on Romo though. He finished 31 of 43 for 307 yards. That’s a 72% completion percentage, which is fantastic. Five of those 12 incompletions (42% in case you were wondering) happened to go to Chicago players.
What I think Monday night proved is something that everyone already knew: Romo is capable of putting up big numbers, but he can also make more than his share of bone-headed mistakes. You knew that when you drafted him, and chances are you’ll just have to roll with it because there are many weeks where the reward is great.
Dallas has a bye week and then hits the road to face Baltimore, which probably isn’t the stretch you want from your fantasy QB right now. But again, you should have known this on draft day.
One of the reasons many people were so high on Doug Martin to start the season was his supposed Ray Rice-esque ability to produce in both the running and passing game.
In Week 4, Martin got more carries than anyone else, but that number was just eight. And it was a bit concerning that LeGarrette Blount had six carries of his own. Martin also caught two passes out of the backfield, but that’s just 11 touches from someone who is quickly showing that he deserves many more than that.
Considering he’s averaged 23 touches over the first three weeks, I wouldn’t get too concerned over one week where the workload shifted a bit.
Martin is a rookie, and the Bucs may look into limiting his touches as the grind of the season wears on. For right now though, he’s still a solid fantasy option.
The San Francisco 49ers, who are very good, throttled the New York Jets, who are very bad, 34-0 on Sunday.
With Darrelle Revis out, it would have seemed wise to start people involved in the 49ers pass game on your fantasy team. But this San Francisco offense is no juggernaut.
They can put up some points, but more often than not those points will come from a combination of their defense and special teams giving their offense great field position, as well as a wide array of different skill position players stepping up when called upon.
Usually, Vernon Davis will be one of those players having a productive day. But that was not the case Sunday against the Jets.
Alex Smith completed passes to six different players for 12 total completions, and nine players picked up yardage rushing the ball. It’s a recipe for success for winning football games, but not for consistent fantasy productivity.
Davis had just two catches for 28 yards, but more importantly didn’t get a touchdown grab, which is where many of his fantasy points come from. He’s probably only reliable for 50 to 60 yards per game, given the San Fran offense. His real value comes when he can score, but relying on that is always dangerous.