After playing two freeroll tournaments the last two days, hoping I’d strike gold and earn some “free” money to play with, I decided to take the plunge this morning.
I deposited a few bucks into my Daily Joust account, and I’m ready to dip my toes into the paid tournaments. The odds of winning are better and the payouts are greater; it just makes sense.
Here is the link to the tournament I’m participating in today (just a $2 buy-in) plus another freeroll, which I’m also playing, for those of you not quite ready to play with real money:
- $2 Buy-In Tournament with $100 prize pool (registration ends at 12:00 CT)
- Freeroll Tournament with $50 prize pool (registration ends at 7:00 CT)
Now onto today’s picks.
Fantasy Baseball Daily Picks
Guys I Really Like
Avila is off to a hot start this year, hitting .389. He gets to face Jake Peavy today, against whom Avila has a .444 OBP. Peavy got hit pretty hard in his first start, even if his numbers didn’t show it.
Butler is heating up, going 4-9 with 2 2Bs and a homer over his last two games. Today he faces Derek Lowe, who he’s faced twice, with one of those ABs resulting in a home run. This guy can really hit, but you can get him for a good value. Plus, the Indians’ bullpen has not been very good.
Robbie Cano kills Ervin Santana, with a pretty large sample size. Cano is 11-32 lifetime against Santana with 4 HRs. And he’s due; Cano has yet to homer this year.
The young won is 3-3 lifetime off of Josh Beckett, and with Beckett struggling I would not surprised to see that hot stretch continue.
Victorino is off to a nice start this year as he tries to carry the Philadelphia offense. He’s hitting .333 and stuffing the box scored with runs, ribbies, and steals. He also has a nice history against R.A. Dickey, with three hits in 11 at bats, all of which went for extra bases, including a HR.
Harrison is a great value play, as he doesn’t have the reputation yet to earn a high salary in daily leagues. He does, however, have the steady production to consider playing. He was terrific in his first start against the White Sox, and he faces a Twins offense in Minnesota that I still don’t trust despite what they did to the Angels the last few games. Harrison actually hasn’t had great success in his career against Minnesota (4.76 ERA, .310 BAA), but I still like his value today.
Guys I Don’t Like
Paulie has been outstanding so far this year. He hasn’t homered yet, but he’s hitting .450 with 5 RBIs. I’m not huge fan of his today, however, with Max Scherzer on the hill for Detroit. Scherzer has held Konerko to 3-18 lifetime with no extra-base hits.
Like everyone else in the “don’t like” list, Cabrera is still a great hitter capable of a huge day against anyone. But this is about maximizing the single-day likelihood of success, so if a hitter is 4-26 lifetime off a pitcher, that’s gotta count for something right? That’s what Cabrera is off of Peavy, with 11 Ks. Even if most of those ABs came in the NL before Peavy’s injuries, it leads me to find a bit better value at the 3B slot.
Daniel Hudson has done a nice job of containing his division rival, holding Tulo to 2-11 so far in their young careers. Tulo is never a bad play, but there is probably better value elsewhere.
I’d stay away from Alexei. He’s 2-18 lifetime against Scherzer and is a notorious slow starter.
Zobrist faces Josh Beckett today. Despite Beckett’s recent struggles, he has held Zobrist to 1-19 lifetime. I’ll take my chances elsewhere.