Indiana-Purdue Preview: Analysis, Point Spread, Prediction, TV Time and Announcers

On Sunday at 6:00 ET, the 20th-ranked Indiana Hoosiers (23-7, 10-7) close out the regular season when they host the Purdue Boilermakers (20-10, 10-7) on the Big Ten Network.

As always, Jerod, Ryan, and Andy will be here with another episode of The Assembly Call after the game, though this episode will come after Indiana’s seniors give their speeches following the game.

IU-Purdue Gameday Info

IU-Purdue Preview


The Boilermakers come in having won three straight games and five of their last six.  On Wednesday, Robbie Hummel played his last game in Mackey Arena, as Purdue defeated Penn State by 24 points.  Hummel turned in an outstanding performance with 26 points, eight rebounds, and six assists, while D.J. Byrd and Terone Johnson continued their solid play with 14 and 13 points, respectively.

matt-painter-indiana-purdueFollowing the dismissal of Kelsey Barlow, Purdue has been playing some of their best basketball, and guard Ryne Smith’s proclamation that it would be “addition by subtraction” seems to be coming true.  In his absence, sophomore Terone Johnson, who was starting to play better even before Barlow was dismissed, has really ramped up his production.  Over the last three games, he is averaging 15.3 points and has made 72.0 percent from the field.  The Hoosiers will need to find a way to contain him off the dribble.

Byrd, who was suspended one game following an arrest for public intoxication, has also become a consistent contributor over the course of the last month.  In the last eight games, he has scored 15.0 points per game while knocking down 27-of-53 (50.9%) from beyond the arc.  Lewis Jackson has also continued his strong play at the point, dishing out 33 assists in the last six games, and fellow senior Ryne Smith is a dangerous long-range shooter if left alone.

As well as those guys have played, Hummel has outperformed them all.

The veteran forward has averaged 23.7 points, 9.8 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.5 blocks over the last six games, and while Indiana fans are conditioned to despise all things Purdue, it’s hard not to root for Hummel after all he’s been through during his career.  He had one of his worst shooting games in the first meeting between these two teams, going just 4-of-14 from the field.  Based on his recent play, don’t expect a repeat performance of that.  Christian Watford seems likely to draw the defensive assignment, but based on how he’s been used lately, don’t be surprised if Victor Oladipo also matches up with Hummel in this one.

In the first matchup between these two squads, the Hoosiers held Purdue to under 30 percent shooting from the field, outrebounded the Boilers by 14, and pulled away late to win by 17 points.  IU didn’t shoot the ball all that well either, but an aggressive attack led to 35 free throw attempts, 29 of which they converted.

The Boilers rank second in the adjusted offensive efficiency in Big Ten play, thanks in large part to a paltry 12.5 turnover rate.  In fact, they turned the ball over just three times in the first meeting.  They are in the middle of the pack in the other three key factors, but their offensive has played very well since losing to the Hoosiers in West Lafayette.  In the seven games since, Purdue has scored at least 1.05 points per possession in six of them and has posted at least 1.30 ppp four times.  While IU has been playing much better defensively in recent games, the Boilers should certainly provide another challenge.

While Purdue ranks just eighth in defensive efficiency in league play, they have also improved in that area of late.  The Boilers have held three of their last five opponents to 1.00 ppp or less after doing so just twice in the first dozen conference games.  Still, they rank seventh of worse in all four factors.  Indiana ranks first in free throw rate in league play, which they exploited against Purdue in the first meeting.  The Hoosiers also rank first in free throw and three-poiant shooting and are fourth in offensive rebounding percentage, another area where the Boilers have struggled this year.


The Hoosiers played arguably their best game of the season on Tuesday night against Michigan State, winning by 15 points in front of a raucous Assembly Hall crowd.  Cody Zeller led five Hoosiers in double figures with 18 points, while Christian Watford added 10 points and grabbed a career-high 14 boards.  Victor Oladipo’s aggressiveness was critical in the first half, and he continued his strong play with 13 points of his own.

victor-oladipo-indiana-purdueIn the first meeting with the Boilers, Oladipo played his first game at the point and responded with 23 points, eight rebounds, and four assists while getting to the line 12 times.  That marked the turning point for the IU offense, and including that contest, Oladipo has averaged 15.6 points, 5.7 rebounds over the last seven games while getting to the line 55 times.  More than that, his aggressiveness and attitude have really set the tone for the Hoosiers on both ends of the floor.

Zeller was also impressive in the first meeting.  He got Purdue’s big men in foul trouble and finished with 11 free throw attempts to go with 16 points and eight rebounds.  Over the last nine games, Zeller is averaging 17.2 points and presents a huge matchup issue for the Boilers in this one.  Look for the Hoosiers to get him involed early and often.

Junior guard Jordan Hulls was a bit more aggressive against the Spartans and finished with 10 points, including a pair of three-pointers.  After slumping for a few games, he has scored in double figures in each of the last two contests and has hit five of his last 10 shots from long range.  Fellow junior Watford had also seen his production drop, but he has matched Hulls with 22 points in the last two games.  His yeoman’s work on the boards against the Spartans was one of the keys to the game.  Watford missed all seven of his shots in the first meeting with Purdue, but I expect him to be much more of a factor this time around.

Will Sheehey should round out the starting lineup for IU as he has the last few games, and look for Verdell Jones to provide a spark off the bench.  He has excelled in that role in recent games, scoring 32 points, grabbing 13 rebounds, and shooting 16 free throws over the last three games.

The Hoosiers boast the league’s most efficient offense, which should provide a challenge for an improving Purdue defense.  IU has scored at least 1.10 ppp in six of the last seven games, and not coincidentally they won all six of those contests.  As I mentioned above, the keys for Indiana will be attacking the basket to draw fouls and maintain their top-ranked free throw rate in league play, as well as crashing the offensive boards, both of which they did well against the Boilers at Mackey Arena.

Indiana has also continued to improve defensively and are currently seventh in defensive efficiency after spending a good portion of the conference slate ranked 10th or worse.  They have held their last three foes to 0.95 ppp or less, and with the exception of the Iowa game, there haven’t been any massive defensive breakdowns over the last month or so.  Against Purdue, they can’t lose track of shooters like Smith and Byrd, and they have to contain Jackson and Terone Johnson off the dribble while forcing Hummel to take contested shots.

This game also marks the final game at Assembly Hall for seniors Kory Barnett, Verdell Jones, Daniel Moore, Tom Pritchard, and Matt Roth.  Roth still has a year of eligibility after thanks to a medical redshirt, but the IU official site mentions plans to honor him along with the other seniors, which may allude to the fact that he won’t be back next year.  Regardless, these players deserve a ton of credit for sticking it out during the low-point of IU’s storied basketball program.  They fought through countless losses and disappointments over the course of their careers, and they stuck it out through circumstances that would have (and did) cause other players to bail.  Their contributions to the program simply cannot be understated, and I have no doubt that this year’s success would not have been possible without them.  Senior Day is always an emotional one at Assembly Hall, and this one should be especially sweet for this quintet of Hoosiers who will not soon be forgotten.

Final Thought

tom-crean-and-matt-painterIt’s tough to think of a better way to end the season than against your arch rival on Senior Day.

As has been the case all year, you can expect a spirited home crowd for this one, and I expect the action on the court to be just as intense.  If the Hoosiers play as well as they did against Michigan State earlier in the week, particularly on the defensive end, this is a game they should win.

However, Purdue comes into this game playing as well as they have all season, and revenge will certainly be on their minds.  There are also seeding impacts in the Big Ten Tournament, but these teams certainly don’t need additional motivation as this heated rivalry is well on its way back to where it belongs.

For the Hoosiers, there are a few keys to the game.  On offense, attack the rim, get the ball to Zeller, and crash the glass.  On defense, stay home on shooters and contain dribble penetration.

If they can do those things, the five seniors will be rewarded with the send-off they deserve.


Listen to Andy Sunday on The Assembly Call. Follow him on Twitter at @AndyBottoms.

About Andy Bottoms

While Andy was born and raised in Indiana, he would like to point out that he grew up shooting hoops in his driveway and not against the side of a barn like you see in all the March Madness promos or in the middle of a field like Jimmy Chitwood. Andy ranks among the top bracketologists according to the Bracket Matrix and has provided his projections to Fox Sports for the past three seasons. When not compiling excuses for missing work during the NCAA Tournament, Andy enjoys spending time with his wife and two daughters. He is a proud IU graduate and co-hosts The Assembly Call postgame show following every IU game. Twitter: @AndyBottoms


  1. Awesome things here. I am very happy to see your article.
    Thank you so much and I’m looking ahead to touch you.
    Will you kindly drop me a e-mail?

  2. This piece of writing will help the internet visitors for building up new blog or even a weblog from
    start to end.

  3. When I originally commented I clicked the “Notify me when new comments are added” checkbox and now each time a comment is added I get several emails with the same comment. Is there any way you can remove people from that service? Bless you!

  4. I think that a foreclosures can have a important effect on the borrower’s life. Foreclosures can have a 8 to ten years negative effect on a debtor’s credit report. Any borrower who have applied for a mortgage or almost any loans as an example, knows that the worse credit rating is actually, the more complicated it is for any decent mortgage. In addition, it can affect any borrower’s ability to find a decent place to let or rent, if that becomes the alternative property solution. Interesting blog post.

  5. This is a superb article. I might want to propose you that please continue imparting such kind of data to us. I truly discovered it to much useful. It is the thing that i was looking from numerous days. Well employment and much obliged for sharing.

  6. I’ve learned several important things via your post. I’d also like to convey that there may be a situation where you will apply for a loan and do not need a cosigner such as a Government Student Support Loan. However, if you are getting financing through a traditional bank then you need to be ready to have a cosigner ready to enable you to. The lenders will certainly base their very own decision using a few components but the most significant will be your credit rating. There are some lenders that will also look at your work history and come to a decision based on this but in many cases it will be based on on your score.

  7. I was very pleased to find this net-site.I needed to thanks to your time for this glorious learn!! I undoubtedly having fun with every little bit of it and I’ve you bookmarked to take a look at new stuff you blog post.

  8. Good blog! I really love how it is simple on my eyes and the data are well written. I’m wondering how I might be notified whenever a new post has been made. I’ve subscribed to your feed which must do the trick! Have a nice day!

  9. Hello, Neat post. There is an issue together with your site in internet explorer, might check this? IE still is the market leader and a large component to other folks will pass over your great writing due to this problem.

  10. I’d like to thank you for the efforts you’ve put in penning this site. I am hoping to view the same high-grade blog posts from you later on as well.

  11. Simply desire to say your article is as astonishing. The clarity in your post is just cool and i can assume you are an expert on this subject. Fine with your permission allow me to grab your RSS feed to keep up to date with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please continue the gratifying work.

  12. Very good written post. It will be supportive to everyone who usess it, as well as me. Keep doing what you are doing i will definitely read more posts.

  13. However when looking at pay for your triumph, things don”. Learn the content and safety settings of your gaming consoles. The game is designed by Super Cell who has now come to be one of the major game developers from the Apple platform.

  14. Great website with a great deal of useful material! I adore it!

  15. Howdy, i read your blog occasionally and i own a similar one and i was just wondering if you get a lot of spam responses? If so how do you prevent it, any plugin or anything you can suggest? I get so much lately it’s driving me crazy so any assistance is very much appreciated.

  16. Hey I know this is off topic but I was wondering if you knew of any widgets I could add to my blog that automatically tweet my newest twitter updates. I’ve been looking for a plug-in like this for quite some time and was hoping maybe you would have some experience with something like this. Please let me know if you run into anything. I truly enjoy reading your blog and I look forward to your new updates.

  17. ConclusionThese stats above signify candy crush saga cheat that the device. With the best fighters on iPhone or iPad devices. How will VPA middle permit If I Actually don’t Have a Site Website website? Industry reports culled from various websites.Feel free to visit my homepage candy crush saga hack ipad

  18. What’s up Dear, are you genuinely visiting this web page on a regular basis, if so after that you will absolutely obtain nice experience.

  19. Thanks for finally writing about >Chabot College

  20. Oh my goodness! Impressive article dude! Thank you, However I am having problems with your RSS. I don’t understand the reason why I can’t subscribe to it. Is there anyone else having identical RSS issues? Anyone who knows the answer will you kindly respond? Thanks!!

  21. Thanks for your marvelous posting! I quite enjoyed reading it, you may be a great author.I will remember to bookmark your blog and will come back sometime soon. I want to encourage one to continue your great writing, have a nice day!

  22. Thanks for sharing, this is a fantastic blog article.Thanks Again. Really Great.

  23. Major thankies for the post.

  24. Thank you ever so for you blog.Really thank you! Want more.

  25. Excellent read, I just passed this onto a colleague who was doing a little research on that. And he just bought me lunch since I found it for him smile Thus let me rephrase that: Thank you for lunch!

  26. Really enjoyed this article.Really thank you! Much obliged.

  27. Thanks-a-mundo for the article.Really looking forward to read more.

  28. Major thanks for the blog article.Really thank you! Want more.

  29. wow, awesome article.Really looking forward to read more. Really Great.

  30. I think this is a real great blog post.Really looking forward to read more.

  31. Hey, thanks for the article.Really looking forward to read more. Will read on…

  32. Appreciate you sharing, great article post.Really thank you! Will read on…

  33. “IВЎВ¦ll right away grab your rss feed as I can not to find your email subscription link or e-newsletter service. Do you have any? Please let me recognize so that I may just subscribe. Thanks.”

  34. I loved your post. Really Cool.

  35. Say, you got a nice post.Much thanks again. Awesome.

  36. I loved your blog article.Much thanks again. Great.

  37. Looking forward to reading more. Great blog.Really thank you! Fantastic.

  38. Good day! I could have sworn I’ve been to this website before but after browsing through some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely happy I found it and I’ll be book-marking and checking back frequently!

  39. I haven’t checked in here for some time since I thought it was getting boring, but the last few posts are good quality so I guess I will add you back to my daily bloglist. You deserve it my friend :)

  40. Great beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend your website, how can i subscribe for a blog web site? The account aided me a acceptable deal. I had been tiny bit acquainted of this your broadcast offered bright clear concept

  41. We are a group of volunteers and starting a new scheme in our community. Your site offered us with valuable information to work on. You have done an impressive job and our entire community will be thankful to you.

  42. Hi there, just became aware of your blog through Google, and found that it is truly informative. I’m gonna watch out for brussels. I will be grateful if you continue this in future. Lots of people will be benefited from your writing. Cheers!

  43. F*ckin’ awesome issues here. I am very happy to peer your article. Thank you so much and i’m taking a look forward to touch you. Will you kindly drop me a mail?

  44. Greetings! Quick question that’s entirely off topic. Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My website looks weird when viewing from my iphone4. I’m trying to find a theme or plugin that might be able to resolve this problem. If you have any recommendations, please share. Thank you!

  45. There is perceptibly a lot to realize about this. I believe you made certain nice points in features also.

  46. I do believe all of the ideas you’ve introduced on your post. They are really convincing and will definitely work. Nonetheless, the posts are too short for newbies. May just you please extend them a little from next time? Thanks for the post.

  47. I found your weblog website on google and test a few of your early posts. Proceed to maintain up the excellent operate. I just further up your RSS feed to my MSN News Reader. In search of forward to studying extra from you in a while!…

  48. I delight in, result in I found exactly what I was taking a look for. You have ended my 4 day lengthy hunt! God Bless you man. Have a great day. Bye

  49. Wow that was unusual. I just wrote an very long comment but after I clicked submit my comment didn’t appear. Grrrr… well I’m not writing all that over again. Regardless, just wanted to say superb blog!

  50. Very nice post. I simply stumbled upon your blog and wished to say that I’ve truly loved browsing your weblog posts. In any case I’ll be subscribing for your rss feed and I’m hoping you write once more very soon!

  51. hey there and thank you for your information – I have certainly picked up anything new from right here. I did however expertise several technical issues using this site, since I experienced to reload the website lots of times previous to I could get it to load properly. I had been wondering if your hosting is OK? Not that I am complaining, but sluggish loading instances times will often affect your placement in google and can damage your high-quality score if advertising and marketing with Adwords. Well I am adding this RSS to my e-mail and can look out for a lot more of your respective intriguing content. Ensure that you update this again very soon..

  52. Hey there! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any trouble with hackers? My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing months of hard work due to no backup. Do you have any solutions to prevent hackers?

  53. I’m Really Impressed With Your Article, Such Great & Usefull Knowledge You Mentioned Here

  54. This Is Really A Great Stuff For Sharing. Keep It Up .Thanks For Sharing.

  55. Just want to say your article is as surprising. The clearness in your submit is just spectacular and that i could suppose you’re a professional in this subject. Fine with your permission let me to grab your RSS feed to keep updated with forthcoming post. Thank you a million and please continue the gratifying work.

  56. Currently it appears like WordPress is the best blogging platform available right now. (from what I’ve read) Is that what you’re using on your blog?

Speak Your Mind