Indiana-Kentucky Preview: 7 Reasons Why Friday’s Sweet 16 Outcome Is Far From A Foregone Conclusion

Prev1 of 2Next
Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse

This post originally appeared over at, where Jerod, Andy, and Ryan host a postgame show immediately following every IU basketball game.

Kentucky is a great college basketball team.

In this era of college hoops, with parity supposedly reigning throughout Division I, a team does not go 34-2 while winning all of its regular season conference games (even in a down cycle for the conference) and amassing a kenpom adjusted efficiency ratio of +33.8 without being a great team.

So Kentucky is a great team. And they are, rightly so, the #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament and the team most likely to cut down the nets in New Orleans on April 1st. I will argue none of those points because I agree with all of them. Disrespecting or denigrating Kentucky is absolutely not what this post is about.

However, I’ve had about enough of people like disrespecting and denigrating the achievements of Kentucky’s Sweet 16 opponent, the Indiana Hoosiers. That is what this post is about.


Verdell Jones, Christian Watford, and Victor Oladipo celebrate Indiana's win over Kentucky earlier this year. (Photo by Darron Cummings /AP via

I don’t know if Indiana will beat Kentucky again on Friday.

No one does.

Kentucky has undeniable talent and Indiana will sorely miss the injured Verdell Jones, who assisted on Christian Watford’s epic buzzer beater earlier this year. (And, for the record, our own Andy Bottoms predicted a Kentucky win in his Indiana-Kentucky Sweet 16 preview post.)

But what I do know, which is echoed by Andy in his preview, is that those folks who are insisting that this game is some kind of done deal or foregone conclusion, those folks giving Indiana zero chance to win, are sorely mistaken.

Indiana can win on Friday, and it won’t be some David versus Goliath story if they do. It will technically be an upset, as Kentucky is favored by 9 after all, but Indiana doesn’t have to play perfectly and hope that Kentucky falls flat on its face to allow some kind of March miracle.

Friday night one really good, 4th-seeded basketball team will be playing a great, 1st-seeded basketball team. Such a matchup more often than not will go to the #1 seed, but it can still quite easily go the other way too, especially in March. This matchup is no different.

So before you are overly influenced by any hyperbole-spouting studio shock jocks or other irrational observers who suggest that Kentucky is a near-automatic entrant into the Elite 8, consider these reasons why Indiana has a perfectly reasonable shot to win in Atlanta on Friday night.

1. Indiana has already beaten Kentucky this year

This is easily the most compelling of all the reasons, yet it is also the most easily dismissed… which makes zero sense.

In case you’ve forgotten


Number one seeds with the mystique of the “Kentucky” name and a roster full of future lottery picks win a lot of games before they ball is even tipped. Anyone who has played sports before knows that if you go into a matchup against a great opponent with even a shred of doubt in your mind, you’ve lost. You’re done. Kentucky does not have that advantage over Indiana because of what happened on December 10th in Bloomington.

Not to mention, while both teams are much different than the two squads who met up on December 10th, at least we know from that game that Kentucky doesn’t have some overwhelming physical advantage over Indiana. They have more talent and athleticism, yes; but Kentucky also has to play really well to beat Indiana. They didn’t on December 10th, so they lost.

Sure, the result Friday night may very well be different, but is it some kind of stretch to expect to see something we’ve already seen? I don’t think so. Other people sure seem to disagree.

2. Indiana has been better away from Assembly Hall than many think

Much has been made of Indiana’s home court advantage at Assembly Hall, and rightfully so. It is prodigious. However, far too much has been made of Indiana’s supposed inability to win away from Assembly Hall.

Indiana took down fellow Sweet 16 entrant NC State in their building this year. In fact, the Hoosiers were down late and stormed back to win. The Kentucky win has gotten all the pub, but those of us who have followed this program closely know how huge that win was, even if it is has received little fanfare. Indiana also beat Purdue in Mackey Arena, without Verdell Jones.

Granted, Indiana lost to Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan, and Wisconsin on the road, with only the Wisconsin game being competitive for 40 minutes. Indiana also lost to Nebraska and Iowa on the road during a frustrating midseason lull. So Indiana has been far from perfect in other teams’ gyms this year, but the last time I checked this game is being played in Atlanta, not Lexington.

Looking at Indiana’s performance on neutral courts this year, it’s been quite solid.

The Hoosiers took care of NCAA Tournament team Notre Dame on a neutral floor in December. In back-to-back games on a neutral floor this past weekend, Indiana has dispatched of teams seeded far lower than the Hoosiers but that many so-called experts still felt would win. Indiana’s only loss on a neutral floor this year came in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament, when Wisconsin won 79-71 thanks to Rob Wilson’s out-of-nowhere 30-point outburst. Despite the loss, the Hoosiers still played well in that game, against another fellow Sweet 16 opponent.

Give Assembly Hall its due credit for helping to power an Indiana team that didn’t yet know how good it was to that December 10th victory over Kentucky. If that game had been played away from Assembly Hall, I don’t know if Indiana could have won it. But the Indiana team that will take the floor Friday night against Kentucky believes it can win anytime, anyplace, and it’s proven it can do so. Friday night at 9:45 ET in the Georgia Dome is no different.

3. Indiana has not lost a “rivalry game” yet this season.

Make of this what you will, but Indiana is undefeated against rivals this year, with “rivals” defined as long-standing rivalries and games against in-state teams:

  • won @ Evansville 94-73
  • won v Butler 75-59
  • won v Kentucky 73-72
  • won v Notre Dame 69-58 (neutral floor)
  • won @ Purdue 78-61
  • won v Illinois 84-71
  • won v Purdue 85-74

You could argue that Indiana’s result against Evansville from November has absolutely no bearing on what will happen March 23rd against Kentucky. Fine. You’re mostly right. But there is something to be said for a team that is mature enough and locked-in enough to always bring its best effort and execution against its biggest rivals, when there is always just a little bit more at stake. Indiana has done that time and again this year. Why should Friday night be any different?


Indiana has some recent NCAA Tournament history on its side heading into Friday night, plus more professional-level talent than some people seem to think. Also, Jerod explains why Kentucky’s supposed mental edge is probably being overhyped and why Indiana’s mental and emotional fortitude could prove to be the difference in a close game.

Click to continue reading…

Prev1 of 2Next
Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse

About Jerod Morris

I love words. I write for Copyblogger and founded MSF, The Assembly Call, & Primility. I practice yoga, eat well, & strive for balance. I love life. Namaste. Say hi on Twitter, Facebook, & G+.


  1. JoeMoney333 says:

    I think it is most likely that Friday night’s game unfolds one of two ways: Scenario 1: Kentucky Wins; Scenario 2: Indiana Wins….Brilliant!

  2. I put a WordPress blog upon my site a few times ago, and I was simply curious about just how it works. Therefore i just would like to know if all the posts are saved into one file or if they are distinct for each post. Then I also want to know where they can be found on my machine. Thanks.

  3. 7 years ago, that they became the longest-running American living sitcom in the usa. In spite of self deprecation throughout the years, The actual Simpsons maintains a tremendous viewer’s bottom part. The actual shows 1st season liked typically 13. several million people, as well as 17th season had about 7. a pair of million readers per situation, respectively. The particular Simpsons Movie constructed $74 zillion in its cracking open weekend in the states.

  4. “We caught up together all of sport. Many of us played bodily. Most of us played very difficult retrieve balls hard operate paid back, inches said Lightning chief Steven Stamkos.

  5. Yesterday evening my favorite girlfriend said the girl had a little something to confess. The lady wasn’t proud of it again, however she as a final point admitted that will she was initially excited in the NHL baseball season to start out.

  6. Yeah bookmaking this wasn’t a high risk determination great post!

  7. Good write-up, I am normal visitor of one’s site, maintain up the excellent operate, and It’s going to be a regular visitor for a long time.

  8. I was very happy to seek out this internet-site.I wished to thanks in your time for this excellent learn!! I undoubtedly having fun with every little bit of it and I’ve you bookmarked to take a look at new stuff you blog post.

  9. I am so happy to read this. This is the type of manual that needs to be given and not the accidental misinformation that’s at the other blogs. Appreciate your sharing this best doc.

  10. Hey very nice site!! Man .. Excellent .. Amazing .. I’ll bookmark your web site and take the feeds also…I am happy to find a lot of useful information here in the post, we need work out more techniques in this regard, thanks for sharing. . . . . .

  11. Thanks for your post. I would like to say that the health insurance broker also works well with the benefit of the actual coordinators of the group insurance. The health broker is given a long list of benefits needed by a person or a group coordinator. What any broker will is try to find individuals or even coordinators that best match those needs. Then he gifts his tips and if both sides agree, the broker formulates a legal contract between the 2 parties.

  12. What’s Happening i am new to this, I stumbled upon this I have found It positively helpful and it has helped me out loads. I’m hoping to give a contribution & aid different customers like its helped me. Great job.

  13. Thanks for helping me to achieve new suggestions about personal computers. I also hold the belief that one of the best ways to maintain your laptop computer in best condition is to use a hard plastic-type material case, and also shell, that will fit over the top of your computer. These types of protective gear are generally model distinct since they are made to fit perfectly over the natural casing. You can buy all of them directly from the seller, or through third party sources if they are for your laptop computer, however not all laptop may have a covering on the market. Once again, thanks for your guidelines.

  14. Perfectly indited articles, Really enjoyed looking at.

  15. I dugg some of you post as I thought they were handy very beneficial.

  16. Hello there, You’ve performed a great job. I will definitely digg it and for my part suggest to my friends. I am sure they will be benefited from this site.

  17. Nice read, I just passed this onto a friend who was doing some research on that. And he actually bought me lunch as I found it for him smile Thus let me rephrase that: Thank you for lunch!

  18. I’m not sure exactly why but this website is loading extremely slow for me. Is anyone else having this problem or is it a issue on my end? I’ll check back later on and see if the problem still exists.

  19. It is appropriate time to make some plans for the future and it is time to be happy.
    I’ve read this post and if I could I wish to suggest you few interesting things or suggestions.

    Perhaps you could write next articles referring to this article.
    I wish to read more things about it!

  20. It’s the best time to make some plans for the future and it’s time to
    be happy. I’ve read this post and if I could I desire to suggest
    you some interesting things or suggestions. Perhaps you could write next
    articles referring to this article. I want to read more things
    about it!

  21. I’ve been browsing on-line greater than three hours as of late, yet I by no means discovered
    any fascinating article like yours. It’s beautiful value enough for me.
    In my opinion, if all site owners and bloggers made excellent content as you did, the
    internet will probably be a lot more helpful than ever before.

  22. Hey there! I realize this is sort of off-topic however I had to ask.

    Does building a well-established blog like yours require a lot of work?

    I am brand new to blogging however I do write in my diary everyday.

    I’d like to start a blog so I can share my own experience and views online.
    Please let me know if you have any recommendations or tips for brand new aspiring blog owners.

  23. Have you ever thought about writing an e-book or guest authoring on other blogs?

    I have a blog based on the same information you discuss and would really
    like to have you share some stories/information. I know my audience would enjoy your work.
    If you’re even remotely interested, feel free to send me an e mail.

  24. Hi, just wanted to tell you, I loved this post.
    It was helpful. Keep on posting!

  25. Greetings from California! I’m bored to tears at work so I decided
    to check out your blog on my iphone during lunch break.

    I enjoy the info you provide here and can’t wait to take a look when I
    get home. I’m shocked at how quick your blog
    loaded on my mobile .. I’m not even using WIFI, just 3G ..
    Anyhow, superb site!

  26. These are really enormous ideas in about blogging. You have touched some pleasant factors here.
    Any way keep up wrinting.

  27. Very soon this site will be famous among all blog visitors, due to it’s pleasant content

  28. Have you ever considered about including a little bit
    more than just your articles? I mean, what you say
    is important and all. Nevertheless imagine if you added
    some great photos or videos to give your posts more, “pop”!
    Your content is excellent but with pics and video clips, this site could certainly be
    one of the best in its field. Superb blog!

  29. Hello there, just became alert to your blog through Google, and found
    that it is really informative. I am going to watch out for brussels.
    I’ll appreciate if you continue this in future. Lots of people will be benefited from your
    writing. Cheers!

  30. Hey would you mind stating which blog platform you’re working with?
    I’m going to start my own blog soon but I’m having a difficult time deciding between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal.
    The reason I ask is because your design seems different then most blogs
    and I’m looking for something unique.
    P.S Apologies for being off-topic but I had to ask!

  31. Thank you for the good writeup. It in fact was a amusement account it.

    Look advanced to far added agreeable from you! By the way, how could we communicate?

  32. Excellent post. I was checking continuously
    this blog and I’m impressed! Very useful info specially the last part :)
    I care for such info a lot. I was seeking this certain information for a very long time.

    Thank you and good luck.

  33. My partner and I absolutely love your blog and find many
    of your post’s to be just what I’m looking for. can you
    offer guest writers to write content available for you? I wouldn’t mind creating a post or elaborating
    on a number of the subjects you write regarding here.

    Again, awesome site!

  34. I got this site from my buddy who informed me about this web
    page and now this time I am browsing this web site and reading very informative articles or reviews at this time.

  35. Awesome and keep doing good work. visit my channel for fun time. …

  36. Magnificent beat ! I wish to apprentice even as you amend your website,
    how could i subscribe for a weblog website? The account helped me a acceptable deal.

    I have been a little bit familiar of this your broadcast
    offered bright transparent idea

  37. It’s great that you are getting ideas from this piece of writing as well as from our dialogue
    made at this place.

  38. Nice answers in return of this question with genuine arguments and explaining the whole thing regarding that.

  39. If you want to obtain much from this post then you have to apply these strategies to
    your won website.

  40. It’s actually a cool and helpful piece of info. I’m satisfied that
    you just shared this helpful information with us. Please
    keep us informed like this. Thank you for sharing.

  41. Exceptional post however , I was wanting to know if you could write a litte more on this subject?
    I’d be very grateful if you could elaborate a little bit further.

    Thank you!

  42. Oh my goodness! Awesome article dude! Thank you, However I
    am going through issues with your RSS. I don’t understand
    the reason why I can’t subscribe to it. Is there
    anybody having identical RSS problems? Anyone that
    knows the solution will you kindly respond? Thanx!!

  43. My family all the time say that I am killing my time
    here at net, however I know I am getting knowledge everyday
    by reading such fastidious articles.

  44. Hello, I enjoy reading through your article post. I wanted to write
    a little comment to support you.

  45. This is very interesting, You’re an excessively professional blogger.
    I’ve joined your rss feed and stay up for in search of extra of your fantastic post.
    Also, I’ve shared your website in my social networks

  46. Hey I am so grateful I found your webpage, I really found
    you by error, while I was looking on Aol for something
    else, Anyhow I am here now and would just like to
    say many thanks for a fantastic post and a all round exciting blog (I also
    love the theme/design), I don’t have time to read through it all at the moment but I
    have saved it and also added in your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read much more,
    Please do keep up the fantastic b.

  47. Its like you learn my mind! You seem to know a lot
    approximately this, such as you wrote the e book in it or something.
    I believe that you could do with a few % to power the message home a bit, but other than that,
    that is excellent blog. A great read. I’ll definitely be back.

  48. I think what you posted was actually very logical.
    But, what about this? suppose you typed a catchier post title?
    I am not suggesting your information isn’t good, however what if you added
    something that grabbed folk’s attention? I mean Indiana-Kentucky Preview: 7 Reasons Why Friday's Sweet 16 Outcome Is Far From A Foregone Conclusion is kinda boring.
    You could peek at Yahoo’s home page and note how
    they write news titles to get viewers to click.
    You might add a video or a related picture or two to
    get readers interested about everything’ve got to say. In my opinion, it would
    bring your blog a little livelier.

  49. My family members all the time say that I am wasting my time here at web, but I know I am getting knowledge every day by reading
    such good content.

  50. Hurrah! In the end I got a weblog from where I be able to actually obtain valuable facts concerning my study and knowledge.

  51. Greetings from Los angeles! I’m bored to tears at work so I
    decided to browse your website on my iphone during lunch break.

    I enjoy the knowledge you present here and can’t wait to take a look when I get home.
    I’m amazed at how quick your blog loaded on my phone ..
    I’m not even using WIFI, just 3G .. Anyways, superb site!

  52. Hi everyone, it’s my first visit at this
    web site, and article is truly fruitful in support of me, keep up
    posting these types of posts.

  53. This is really interesting, You are a very skilled blogger.

    I’ve joined your feed and look forward to seeking more of your magnificent post.
    Also, I have shared your site in my social networks!

  54. Hello, just wanted to mention, I liked this article.
    It was funny. Keep on posting!

  55. Wonderful blog! I found it while surfing around on Yahoo News.
    Do you have any tips on how to get listed in Yahoo News?
    I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there!
    Thank you

  56. Thanks a lot for sharing this with all people you actually recognise what you
    are talking approximately! Bookmarked. Please
    also seek advice from my website =). We may have a link exchange agreement among us

  57. Very good post. I will be going through some of these issues as well..


  1. Arizona Auto Insurance

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  2. Book Printing And Fulfillment Services

    […]always a big fan of linking to bloggers that I adore but do not get quite a bit of link adore from[…]

  3. Virtual Reality

    […]Here is a great Weblog You may Uncover Interesting that we Encourage You[…]


    […]always a significant fan of linking to bloggers that I really like but do not get a lot of link really like from[…]

  5. àíàë áîëüíî áåñïëàòíî

    […]we like to honor numerous other online web pages around the net, even though they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Below are some webpages really worth checking out[…]

Speak Your Mind