Fantasy Baseball 2012 Strategy and Advice: Breaking Down in Tiers – Third Base

Other positions already covered in the series: C | 1B | 2B | SS

When organizing each position into tiers, it enables owners to see which players should produce relatively the same statistics, and easily spot under/overvalued players in each tier.

To refresh, let’s define the tiers that we will classify each position by:

  • Elite: These players can be the foundation for your fantasy team and are the best players at their positions.
  • Valuable: Cannot go wrong with this group. These solid players, who will produce for your team, are dependable and can help win a fantasy title for you.
  • Solid: These players will put up numbers and can even lead in certain categories. However, inconsistency and poor performance in other categories will hurt your fantasy team at times.
  • At Your Own Risk: Limited production at this level, this group either struggles to get at bats on a regular basis or are the least producing players at their position. Proceed with caution and do your research. This group also includes younger players with potential.

Here is a breakdown of the 3B position for both AL and NL Leagues.

evan longoria fantasy baseball 2012 strategy and advice

Third baseman Evan Longoria is sure to help out any fantasy baseball team. (Photo by Keith Allison)

Elite Third Basemen

  • Jose Bautista
  • Evan Longoria

A quick drop off at the 3B position places added importance to drafting a top-notch player for your team at the hot corner. Bautista (43 HR, 103 RBI, .302 average, and 9 SB) and Longoria (31 HR, 99 RBI in 483 AB) are clearly the elite class of the 3B position. Both are top 15 picks and will provide your team with the anchor needed in a scarce position.

Best Bet: Evan Longoria

Valuable Third Basemen

  • David Wright
  • Adrian Beltre
  • Ryan Zimmerman
  • Pablo Sandoval
  • Aramis Ramirez
  • Michael Young
  • Alex Rodriguez
  • Brett Lawrie
  • Kevin Youkilis
  • Mark Reynolds

This group will net you very productive numbers and some may return to elite level.

Wright needs to avoid injuries this season, and if he can, he will produce a line close to 25 HR, 90+ RBI, and close to 20 SB. Beltre, in the Rangers stacked lineup, will continue to pound the ball and finish in his customary 30 HR, 100 RBI, 290+ average line.

Zimmerman battled a torn abdominal muscle in 2011 but is healthy this year, as evidenced by his quick spring start of 7-11 with 2 HR and three doubles. At 27 and with his new six-year, $100 million extension completed in February, look for Zimmerman to focus on baseball with an improving Nationals team.

Sandoval is entering his prime at age 25 and may be primed for a big year. Ramirez should continue to put up his consistent numbers with the Brewers along the lines of 25 HR, 100 RBI, and a .300 batting average.

Thirty-six-year-old A-Rod has missed at least 20 games in the past four seasons. Still, he can produce and get close to 25 HR and 90 RBI in a powerful Yankee lineup.

Young is an RBI machine with Texas and hit .338 last year. Look for more of the same with the Rangers. Youkilis is a .300 hitter with pop when healthy and should be productive again in 2012.

Lawrie is the up-and-comer of this group and has the potential to be a special player, with .275, 20+ HR, 75-80 RBI, and 20+ SB. With Reynolds you get 35-40 HR power but must sacrifice batting average (.211 in 2011) to get it.

Best Bet: Pablo Sandoval

Solid Third Basemen

  • Martin Prado
  • Ryan Roberts
  • David Freese
  • Emilio Bonifacio
  • Edwin Encarnacion
  • Mike Moustakas
  • Chase Headley

There is potential with this group to achieve bigger numbers, but there is also the potential risk to end up on your bench all season long.

Prado missed 31 games last year with a staph infection and looks to rebound with the Braves in 2012. Posting 15 HR, 75+ RBI, and hitting in the .280-.290 range is possible. Freese looks to continue his World Series success with a consistent regular season. With Pujols now out of the Cardinals lineup, expect Freese to become a key contributor for the Redbirds.

At 23, Moustakas should see increased numbers as the Royals starting 3B. He has to improve his plate discipline and if he can, expect close to 20 HR and 80+ RBI. Roberts, Encarnacion and Headley should hit in the range of 15 HR, 75 RBI, along with 10-15 SB. Bonifacio offers top speed and SB but not much else.

Best Bet: Mike Moustakas

At Your Own Risk Third Basemen

  • Chipper Jones
  • Chris Davis
  • Daniel Murphy
  • Mat Gamel
  • Chone Figgins
  • Lonnie Chisenhall
  • Alberto Callaspo
  • Ty Wigginton
  • Placido Polanco
  • Ian Stewart
  • Wilson Betemit
  • Casey McGehee
  • Scott Rolen
  • Danny Valencia
  • Pedro Alvarez
  • Sean Rodriguez
  • Scott Sizemore
  • Juan Uribe
  • Juan Francisco
  • Casey Blake
  • Jed Lowrie
  • Mike Aviles
  • Brent Morel
  • Matt Dominguez
  • Kyle Seager
  • Alex Liddi
  • James Darnell
  • Greg Dobbs
  • Jayson Nix
  • Chris Johnson
  • Robert Andino
  • Kevin Kouzmanoff
  • Brandon Inge
  • Jack Hanahan
  • Daniel Descalso
  • Eric Chavez
  • Zack Cox

If only Chipper could be good for one more year. He leads this group that may or may not contribute in 2012. Jones, 40 in April, still has 15 HR and 70 RBI potential with the Braves, but his knees and nagging injuries may him a risky pick up.

Davis strikes out too much, but with 400+ AB, he could hit 25 HRs. Murphy is eligible at 2B, 3B, and 1B, and hit .320 last season in 391 AB. Gamel will replace Aramis Ramirez as the Brewers starting 3B and has the potential to hit 20 HR.

Valencia keeps hitting in Minnesota, and Ian Stewart gets a new start with the Cubs, although his sore wrist continues to bother him. Morel starts at 3B with the White Sox and could be in the 12-14 HR and 50-60 RBI range. Rodriguez and his position eligibility and new starting position could be a valuable late pick up too. Look for Wigginton, now with the Phillies, to get the lions share of the at bats in the absence of injured 1B Ryan Howard.

Best Bet: Matt Gamel



About Jim McGrew

A lifelong Chicago sports fan, Jim enjoys playing, writing about and watching sports. He can be reached at jpmsport@yahoo.com or on twitter at @MySports1.
Jim lives in the Chicago area and is married with 2 children.

Comments

  1. The next time I learn a blog, I hope that it doesnt disappoint me as much as this one. I mean, I know it was my option to learn, however I truly thought youd have something interesting to say. All I hear is a bunch of whining about one thing that you could fix if you happen to werent too busy looking for attention.

  2. Aw, this was a really nice post. In thought I wish to put in writing like this additionally ?taking time and actual effort to make an excellent article?but what can I say?I procrastinate alot and certainly not appear to get something done.

  3. This is the suitable blog for anybody who wants to find out about this topic. You notice a lot its nearly laborious to argue with you (not that I actually would want匟aHa). You definitely put a new spin on a topic thats been written about for years. Great stuff, simply great!

  4. Good post. I be taught one thing more difficult on different blogs everyday. It will always be stimulating to learn content material from other writers and follow a bit one thing from their store. I抎 want to make use of some with the content material on my blog whether or not you don抰 mind. Natually I抣l give you a link in your web blog. Thanks for sharing.

  5. You need to participate in a contest for among the finest blogs on the web. I will advocate this website!

  6. I am often to blogging and i really appreciate your content. The article has really peaks my interest. I am going to bookmark your web site and hold checking for new information.

  7. There are some interesting points in time in this article but I don抰 know if I see all of them heart to heart. There’s some validity but I will take hold opinion till I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we want extra! Added to FeedBurner as nicely

  8. I wish to convey my appreciation for your generosity for folks who need guidance on in this study. Your personal dedication to passing the solution around appeared to be especially insightful and has constantly allowed guys like me to realize their goals. Your new insightful tips and hints can mean a whole lot a person like me and even more to my office colleagues. Many thanks; from everyone of us.

  9. I must express appreciation to this writer just for rescuing me from this type of challenge. As a result of looking through the online world and coming across views which are not powerful, I assumed my entire life was well over. Living devoid of the solutions to the difficulties you have resolved through your main write-up is a serious case, as well as the ones which might have badly damaged my entire career if I hadn’t encountered your site. Your main know-how and kindness in maneuvering the whole lot was valuable. I’m not sure what I would have done if I had not discovered such a solution like this. It’s possible to now relish my future. Thanks very much for your high quality and results-oriented guide. I won’t think twice to recommend the blog to any person who needs to have assistance about this topic.

  10. Good post. I be taught something more difficult on totally different blogs everyday. It’ll all the time be stimulating to read content from different writers and follow slightly one thing from their store. I抎 want to make use of some with the content material on my blog whether or not you don抰 mind. Natually I抣l give you a link in your net blog. Thanks for sharing.

  11. After study a couple of of the blog posts in your website now, and I really like your method of blogging. I bookmarked it to my bookmark web site listing and shall be checking back soon. Pls take a look at my site as properly and let me know what you think.

  12. Spot on with this write-up, I actually assume this website needs rather more consideration. I抣l most likely be again to learn rather more, thanks for that info.

  13. I needed to draft you one little word to say thank you once again just for the striking methods you’ve featured at this time. This is certainly pretty open-handed with people like you to deliver extensively just what a lot of folks could possibly have marketed for an e book to make some cash for their own end, especially given that you might have done it if you ever considered necessary. The techniques as well acted as a fantastic way to understand that most people have similar interest just as my very own to find out a great deal more pertaining to this condition. Certainly there are several more pleasant situations in the future for individuals who start reading your blog.

  14. you could have an awesome weblog here! would you like to make some invite posts on my weblog?

  15. This web site is really a stroll-by for all of the information you wished about this and didn抰 know who to ask. Glimpse right here, and you抣l positively uncover it.

  16. you have a terrific weblog right here! would you like to make some invite posts on my weblog?

  17. This really answered my problem, thanks!

  18. Howdy! I just would like to give an enormous thumbs up for the great information you may have right here on this post. I will likely be coming again to your blog for extra soon.

  19. There are actually lots of particulars like that to take into consideration. That is a nice point to convey up. I provide the thoughts above as normal inspiration but clearly there are questions just like the one you carry up the place the most important factor will be working in trustworthy good faith. I don?t know if finest practices have emerged around issues like that, however I am sure that your job is clearly recognized as a fair game. Both girls and boys really feel the impact of only a moment抯 pleasure, for the rest of their lives.

  20. There are some attention-grabbing cut-off dates on this article but I don抰 know if I see all of them middle to heart. There is some validity however I will take hold opinion until I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we would like more! Added to FeedBurner as well

  21. You must take part in a contest for among the finest blogs on the web. I will suggest this website!

  22. WONDERFUL Post.thanks for share..extra wait .. ?

Speak Your Mind