Bracketology: NCAA Tournament Bracket Projections as of 3/11

In the aftermath of my daughter’s first birthday party on Saturday, I sat down to take stock of everything that had happened over the past few days and do another “scrub” to review the seeding and selection of teams.  There have been many late nights this week while staying up to watch all the games in order to get updates to Fox Sports, but I think we would all agree we don’t always make the best decisions at two in the morning.  Consequently, I wanted to look things over once again, and you will likely find a number of changes here based on my thorough review as well as the results of Saturday’s slate of games.

I will put out my final projections Sunday afternoon.

Below are my latest bracket projections through Saturday’s games. As usual, underneath the bracket I will give my last four in and my first eight out.


PITTSBURGH – March 15 & 17 LOUISVILLE – March 15 & 17
1 Syracuse (31-2) 1 Kentucky (32-1)
16 Lamar (23-11) 16 UNC-Asheville (24-9)
8 Gonzaga (25-6) 8 Kansas State (21-10)
9 Purdue (21-12) 9 Connecticut (20-13)
ALBUQUERQUE – March 15 & 17 PORTLAND – March 15 & 17
5 Vanderbilt (23-10) 5 Wichita State (27-5)
12 Long Beach State (25-8) 12 Seton Hall (20-12)
4 Florida State (23-9) 4 Wisconsin (24-9)
13 Drexel (27-6)/Iona (25-7) 13 California (24-9)/N. Carolina St. (22-12)
COLUMBUS – March 16 & 18 ALBUQUERQUE – March 15 & 17
6 San Diego State (26-7) 6 Temple (24-7)
11 Southern Mississippi (25-8) 11 Colorado State (20-11)
3 Michigan (24-9) 3 Baylor (27-7)
14 Montana (25-6) 14 New Mexico State (26-9)
OMAHA – March 16 & 18 GREENSBORO – March 16 & 18
7 Cincinnati (24-10) 7 Memphis (26-8)
10 Virginia (22-8) 10 West Virginia (19-13)
2 Missouri (30-4) 2 Duke (27-6)
15 Loyola, MD (24-8) 15 Detroit (22-13)
COLUMBUS – March 16 & 18 GREENSBORO – March 16 & 18
1 Michigan State (26-7) 1 North Carolina (29-4)
16 Vermont (23-11)/Miss. Vall. St. (21-12) 16 W. Kentucky (15-18)/Norfolk St. (25-9)
8 Iowa State (22-10) 8 Notre Dame (22-11)
9 Alabama (21-11) 9 Saint Louis (25-7)
PORTLAND – March 15 & 17 NASHVILLE – March 16 & 18
5 New Mexico (27-6) 5 Murray State (30-1)
12 Colorado (23-11) 12 Texas (20-13)
4 Louisville (26-9) 4 Indiana (25-8)
13 Davidson (25-7) 13 Ohio (27-7)
LOUISVILLE – March 15 & 17 NASHVILLE – March 16 & 18
6 Creighton (28-5) 6 UNLV (26-8)
11 BYU (25-8) 11 VCU (28-6)
3 Marquette (25-7) 3 Georgetown (23-8)
14 South Dakota State (27-7) 14 Belmont (27-7)
OMAHA – March 16 & 18 PITTSBURGH – March 15 & 17
7 Florida (23-10) 7 Saint Mary’s (27-5)
10 Harvard (26-4) 10 Xavier (21-11)
2 Kansas (27-6) 2 Ohio State (27-6)
15 LIU Brooklyn (25-8) 15 Lehigh (26-7)
















































Last Four In:



North Carolina State


First Eight Out:




Mississippi State

South Florida

Miami (FL)




Here is how the bids broke out by conference:

Big East (9): Cincinnati, Connecticut, Georgetown, Louisville*, Marquette, Notre Dame, Seton Hall, Syracuse, West Virginia

Big Ten (6): Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin

Big 12 (6): Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri*, Texas

ACC (5): Duke, Florida State, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia

Mountain West (4): Colorado State, New Mexico*, San Diego State, UNLV

SEC (4): Alabama, Florida, Kentucky, Vanderbilt

Atlantic 10 (3): Saint Louis, Temple, Xavier

West Coast (3): BYU, Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s*

Colonial (2): Drexel, VCU*

Conference USA (2): Memphis*, Southern Mississippi

MAAC (2): Iona, Loyola (MD)*

Missouri Valley (2): Creighton*, Wichita State

Pac-12 (2): California, Colorado*

America East: Vermont*

Atlantic Sun: Belmont*

Big Sky: Montana*

Big South: UNC-Asheville*

Big West: Long Beach State*

Horizon: Detroit*

Ivy: Harvard*

MAC: Ohio*

MEAC: Norfolk State*

Northeast: LIU Brooklyn*

Ohio Valley: Murray State*

Patriot: Lehigh*

Southern: Davidson*

Southland: Lamar*

Summit: South Dakota State*

Sun Belt: Western Kentucky*

SWAC: Mississippi Valley State*

WAC: New Mexico State*

* – Won automatic berth


Follow me on Twitter (@andybottoms) for more thoughts on college hoops, and check out the latest edition of the Bottoms Line podcast.

About Andy Bottoms

While Andy was born and raised in Indiana, he would like to point out that he grew up shooting hoops in his driveway and not against the side of a barn like you see in all the March Madness promos or in the middle of a field like Jimmy Chitwood. Andy ranks among the top bracketologists according to the Bracket Matrix and has provided his projections to Fox Sports for the past three seasons. When not compiling excuses for missing work during the NCAA Tournament, Andy enjoys spending time with his wife and two daughters. He is a proud IU graduate and co-hosts The Assembly Call postgame show following every IU game. Twitter: @AndyBottoms


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