Bracketology: NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions on 2/13

It is now under a month until the field of 68 is announced, and the at-large selections are starting to stabilize with just two new teams in this week’s projected field.  However, a number of losses by ranked teams and tournament hopefuls last week did lead to some fluctuation in terms of seeding.

Below are my latest bracket projections through Sunday’s games. As usual, underneath the bracket I will give my last four in and last four out, as well as the rationale I used to make those decisions.

 

EAST (BOSTON) SOUTH (ATLANTA)
PITTSBURGH – March 15 & 17 LOUISVILLE – March 15 & 17
1 Syracuse (25-1) 1 Kentucky (25-1)
16 Miss. Vall. St. (13-11)/NC-Ashe. (19-7) 16 UT-Arlington (19-5)/Stony Brook (17-8)
8 Saint Louis (20-5) 8 Memphis (18-7)
9 Illinois (16-9) 9 Connecticut (15-9)
PORTLAND – March 15 & 17 NASHVILLE – March 16 & 18
5 Wichita State (22-4) 5 Gonzaga (20-4)
12 BYU (21-6) 12 N.C. State (18-7)/Cincinnati (17-8)
4 Wisconsin (19-6) 4 Michigan (19-7)
13 Long Beach State (19-6) 13 Iona (20-6)
COLUMBUS – March 16 & 18 ALBUQUERQUE – March 15 & 17
6 Creighton (21-5) 6 Florida State (17-7)
11 Kansas State (17-7) 11 Seton Hall (17-8)
3 Georgetown (19-5) 3 UNLV (22-4)
14 Cleveland State (20-6) 14 Davidson (19-6)
GREENSBORO – March 16 & 18 COLUMBUS – March 16 & 18
7 Florida (19-6) 7 Mississippi State (19-6)
10 Harvard (21-3) 10 West Virginia (16-10)
2 North Carolina (21-4) 2 Michigan State (20-5)
15 Belmont (19-7) 15 Bucknell (20-6)
MIDWEST (ST. LOUIS) WEST (PHOENIX)
OMAHA – March 16 & 18 PITTSBURGH – March 15 & 17
1 Missouri (23-2) 1 Ohio State (21-4)
16 Norfolk State (18-8) 16 Long Island (19-7)
8 Murray State (24-1) 8 Southern Mississippi (21-4)
9 New Mexico (20-4) 9 Iowa State (18-7)
NASHVILLE – March 16 & 18 PORTLAND – March 15 & 17
5 Louisville (20-5) 5 Saint Mary’s (23-3)
12 Arizona (18-8)/Xavier (16-9) 12 Miami, FL (15-8)
4 Indiana (19-6) 4 San Diego State (20-4)
13 Middle Tennessee State (23-4) 13 Oral Roberts (23-5)
ALBUQUERQUE – March 15 & 17 LOUISVILLE – March 15 & 17
6 Vanderbilt (17-8) 6 Temple (19-5)
11 Purdue (16-9) 11 Minnesota (17-8)
3 Baylor (21-4) 3 Marquette (21-5)
14 Akron (18-7) 14 VCU (22-5)
GREENSBORO – March 16 & 18 OMAHA – March 16 & 18
7 Notre Dame (17-8) 7 Virginia (19-5)
10 California (20-6) 10 Alabama (16-8)
2 Duke (21-4) 2 Kansas (20-5)
15 Nevada (21-4) 15 Weber State (20-4)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

**********

Last Four In:

Arizona

After Washington’s ugly loss to Oregon, I am giving the Wildcats the nod as the second Pac-12 team.  When you compare the two profiles, Arizona has more Top 50 and Top 100 wins than the Huskies.  The Wildcats have now won four straight, but their biggest remaining game comes on Saturday when they play at Washington.  The winner of that one will get a leg up in the race for an at-large bid.

Cincinnati

The Bearcats continue to find themselves in this section because they can’t seem to string together a series of wins.  They won handily at St. John’s last week but got blown out at Marquette on Saturday.  Still, they have three Top 50 wins and a 6-5 record vs. the Top 100 to fall back on.  Cincinnati plays their next three games at home, starting with matchups against Providence and Seton Hall this week.  If they can win both of those, their grip on an at-large bid will get a bit stronger.

North Carolina State

N.C. State is a newcomer to the bracket this week, although they essentially backed in due to losses from other teams as opposed to thoroughly impressing me by beating Georgia Tech.  As it stands, they are 51st in RPI with a pair of Top 50 wins and a 4-5 record against the Top 100.  The next three games are a make-or-break stretch for the Wolfpack as they play Duke, Florida State, and North Carolina.  Losing all three might be a death sentence for their at-large hopes.

Xavier

Following an uninspired performance against Temple, the Musketeers are teetering on the brink of exclusion.  They are currently 57th in the RPI with seven Top 100 wins, but the reality is they haven’t beaten a team I have in the field since December 10th.  Xavier needs to go at least 4-1 in their last five regular season games, and Saturday’s home game with Dayton is one they cannot afford to lose.

First Four Out:

Northwestern

The Wildcats still don’t have any losses to sub-100 teams, but they are two games under .500 in the Big Ten after losing to Purdue on Sunday.  They do have three Top 50 wins, but two of those victims (Seton Hall and Illinois) are both sinking in the RPI.  Northwestern is currently just 4-9 against the Top 100, and in my eyes they have to find a way to finish 9-9 in the Big Ten.  This week they travel to Indiana and host Minnesota, who beat them by 23 points in the first meeting.

Saint Joseph’s

Saturday’s win over UMass gave the Hawks their seventh Top 100 win, which is more than a number of bubble teams can claim.  That said, they are just 1-4 against the Top 50 and have three losses to sub-100 teams, so the margin for error is slim.  At this point, Saint Joe’s probably has to win out to make a more compelling case, but for this week, they need to take care of business during road games against A-10 bottom dwellers Rhode Island and George Washington.

Texas

The Longhorns have won three straight to climb back to 6-6 in the Big 12.  They’ve also inched into the RPI Top 50, but Saturday’s comeback win over Kansas State was just their third Top 100 victory in 11 tries this season.  Road trips to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State this week certainly won’t be easy, but they are games Texas needs to win in order to prove their at-large worth.

Washington

If Thursday’s 25-point loss at Oregon was the only ugly defeat on the Huskies’ profile, maybe I would view it differently, but this team has already lost by 19 at home against South Dakota State and by 18 at Colorado.  The good news is that they have no sub-100 losses, but at the same time they are just 2-8 against the Top 100.  As I mentioned above with Arizona, Saturday’s game will be incredibly important for the profile of both teams.

Here is how the bids broke out by conference:

Big East (9): Cincinnati, Connecticut, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Seton Hall, Syracuse, West Virginia

Big Ten (8): Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin

ACC (6): Duke, Florida State, Miami (FL), North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia

Big 12 (5): Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri

SEC (5): Alabama, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt

Atlantic 10 (3): Saint Louis, Temple, Xavier

Mountain West (3): New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV

West Coast (3): BYU, Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s

Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Mississippi

Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State

Pac-12 (2): Arizona, California

America East: Stony Brook

Atlantic Sun: Belmont

Big Sky: Weber State

Big South: UNC-Asheville

Big West: Long Beach State

Colonial: VCU

Horizon: Cleveland State

Ivy: Harvard

MAAC: Iona

MAC: Akron

MEAC: Norfolk State

Northeast: Long Island

Ohio Valley: Murray State

Patriot: Bucknell

Southern: Davidson

Southland: Texas-Arlington

Summit: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt: Middle Tennessee State

SWAC: Mississippi Valley State

WAC: Nevada

**********

Follow me on Twitter (@andybottoms) for more thoughts on college hoops, and check out the latest edition of the Bottoms Line podcast.



About Andy Bottoms

While Andy was born and raised in Indiana, he would like to point out that he grew up shooting hoops in his driveway and not against the side of a barn like you see in all the March Madness promos or in the middle of a field like Jimmy Chitwood. Andy ranks among the top bracketologists according to the Bracket Matrix and has provided his projections to Fox Sports for the past three seasons. When not compiling excuses for missing work during the NCAA Tournament, Andy enjoys spending time with his wife and two daughters. He is a proud IU graduate and co-hosts The Assembly Call postgame show following every IU game. Twitter: @AndyBottoms

Comments

  1. aw. i love my Brazilian! I hate shaving (often go weeks between shaving my legs) so waxing is ideal for me to keep the hair at bay! Congrats!

  2. Hey there would you mind sharing which blog platform you’re using? I’m planning to start my own blog in the near future but I’m having a hard time making a decision between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal. The reason I ask is because your design and style seems different then most blogs and I’m looking for something completely unique. P.S Sorry for getting off-topic but I had to ask!

  3. Really appreciate you sharing this article.Really looking forward to read more. Really Great.

  4. Have you ever thought about including a little bit more than just your articles?
    I mean, what you say is important and everything.
    However just imagine if you added some great graphics or videos
    to give your posts more, “pop”! Your content is excellent but with pics and videos, this site
    could definitely be one of the best in its field.
    Awesome blog!

  5. Wonderful site you have here but I was wanting to know if you knew of any forums that cover the same topics discussed in this article? I’d really like to be a part of online community where I can get feedback from other knowledgeable people that share the same interest. If you have any recommendations, please let me know. Appreciate it!

  6. Hi to all, how is the whole thing, I think every one
    is getting more from this web page, and your views are good in support of new people.

  7. Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as
    though you relied on the video to make your point. You obviously know what youre talking about,
    why waste your intelligence on just posting videos to your
    site when you could be giving us something informative to read?

  8. Great article! We will be linking to this great content on our website.
    Keep up the good writing.

  9. Excellent items from you, man. I have consider your stuff prior to and you are just extremely fantastic.
    I really like what you have obtained right here, certainly
    like what you are saying and the way in which through which you say it.

    You are making it enjoyable and you still take care of to
    stay it sensible. I can not wait to learn far more from you.
    This is really a tremendous website.

  10. Hello! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any trouble with hackers?
    My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up
    losing several weeks of hard work due to no back up.
    Do you have any methods to protect against hackers?

  11. We stumbled over here different web page and thought I may
    as well check things out. I like what I see so now i
    am following you. Look forward to exploring your web page yet again.

  12. Thanks on your marvelous posting! I certainly enjoyed reading
    it, you can be a great author.I will ensure that I
    bookmark your blog and will often come back sometime soon. I want to encourage continue your
    great writing, have a nice day!

  13. Thanks for another wonderful article. The place else could anybody get that
    kind of info in such an ideal approach of writing?
    I’ve a presentation subsequent week, and I am at the
    search for such information.

  14. For the reason that the admin of this site is working, no question very rapidly it will be well-known, due to its feature contents.

  15. What a information of un-ambiguity and preserveness of precious knowledge
    on the topic of unexpected feelings.

  16. I really like looking through an article that can make
    men and women think. Also, thanks for allowing me to comment!

  17. Hey There. I found your weblog using msn. This is an extremely
    neatly written article. I’ll be sure to bookmark it
    and return to read more of your helpful information.
    Thanks for the post. I’ll certainly return.

  18. Hi there! This blog post couldn’t be written much better!
    Going through this article reminds me of my
    previous roommate! He always kept talking about this. I am
    going to send this article to him. Fairly certain he’ll have a very good read.
    Thank you for sharing!

  19. Thanks for ones marvelous posting! I seriously enjoyed reading it, you can be a great author.

    I will ensure that I bookmark your blog and will come back in the foreseeable
    future. I want to encourage you to ultimately continue your great
    job, have a nice evening!

  20. I love your blog.. very nice colors & theme. Did you create this
    website yourself or did you hire someone to do
    it for you? Plz answer back as I’m looking to design my own blog and would like to know where u got this from.
    thanks

  21. Woah! I’m really digging the template/theme of this website.
    It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times it’s tough to get that “perfect balance” between superb
    usability and visual appearance. I must say that you’ve done a fantastic job with this.

    Also, the blog loads super fast for me on Safari.
    Outstanding Blog!

  22. Admiring the dedication you put into your blog and in depth information you offer.
    It’s nice to come across a blog every once in a while that isn’t the same out of date
    rehashed material. Excellent read! I’ve bookmarked your site and I’m adding your RSS feeds to my Google account.

  23. I was able to find good advice from your content.

  24. hey there and thank you for your information – I’ve certainly picked up anything
    new from right here. I did however expertise several technical points using this site, as I experienced to reload the website many times previous to I could get it to load correctly.
    I had been wondering if your web host is OK?
    Not that I’m complaining, but sluggish loading instances times will very frequently affect your placement in google and can damage your high quality score if ads
    and marketing with Adwords. Well I am adding this RSS to my e-mail and can look out for a lot more of your respective fascinating content.
    Ensure that you update this again soon.

  25. When someone writes an paragraph he/she maintains
    the plan of a user in his/her brain that how a user can be aware
    of it. So that’s why this article is perfect. Thanks!

  26. Can I simply just say what a comfort to discover somebody that truly understands what they’re discussing over the internet.
    You actually understand how to bring an issue to light
    and make it important. More and more people ought to look at this and
    understand this side of your story. It’s surprising you’re not more popular
    given that you most certainly possess the gift.

  27. Hi there, its good piece of writing concerning media print,
    we all understand media is a fantastic source of facts.

  28. It’s wonderful that you are getting ideas from this piece of writing as well
    as from our dialogue made here.

  29. I seriously love your blog.. Great colors & theme. Did you make this web site
    yourself? Please reply back as I’m planning to create my own personal
    site and want to learn where you got this from or what the
    theme is called. Many thanks!

  30. This design is steller! You definitely know how to keep a reader entertained.
    Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved to start my own blog (well, almost…HaHa!) Wonderful job.
    I really loved what you had to say, and more than that, how you presented it.
    Too cool!

  31. You have made some good points there. I checked on the
    internet to find out more about the issue and found most
    people will go along with your views on this web site.

  32. I always emailed this web site post page to
    all my friends, because if like to read it next my friends will too.

  33. Generally I do not read article on blogs, however I would like to say that this write-up very forced me to take a look at and do it!
    Your writing style has been surprised me. Thanks, quite
    great post.

  34. I enjoy, cause I found just what I used to be taking a look for.
    You’ve ended my four day lengthy hunt! God Bless you man. Have a great day.

    Bye

  35. I got this website from my pal who told me concerning this
    website and at the moment this time I am browsing this web site and reading very informative articles or reviews at this place.

  36. Good site you have here.. It’s hard to find good
    quality writing like yours these days. I truly appreciate people like you!

    Take care!!

  37. Hi everyone, it’s my first pay a quick visit at this site, and paragraph is actually fruitful for
    me, keep up posting these articles.

  38. Hi are using WordPress for your site platform? I’m new to the
    blog world but I’m trying to get started and create my own. Do you
    need any html coding knowledge to make your own blog?
    Any help would be greatly appreciated!

  39. Why visitors still make use of to read news papers when in this technological world the whole thing
    is presented on web?

  40. Terrific work! This is the type of information that are supposed to be shared across the internet.
    Shame on Google for now not positioning this put up upper!

    Come on over and visit my site . Thank you =)

  41. Aw, this was a really nice post. Finding the
    time and actual effort to create a very good article… but what can I say… I put things
    off a whole lot and never manage to get anything done.

  42. There’s definately a great deal to know about this topic.
    I love all the points you have made.

  43. Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your point.
    You clearly know what youre talking about, why waste
    your intelligence on just posting videos
    to your site when you could be giving us something enlightening to read?

  44. whoah this weblog is wonderful i love studying your posts.
    Keep up the good work! You already know, many individuals
    are looking around for this info, you can aid them greatly.

  45. It’s an awesome post in support of all the internet viewers; they will obtain advantage from it I am sure.

  46. I enjoy what you guys are usually up too. This type of clever work and reporting!
    Keep up the superb works guys I’ve incorporated you
    guys to my blogroll.

  47. Hello! This is kind of off topic but I need some advice from an established blog.
    Is it very difficult to set up your own blog? I’m not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty fast.
    I’m thinking about making my own but I’m not sure where to start.

    Do you have any points or suggestions? Many thanks

Trackbacks

  1. […] Andy Bottoms, a Run the Floor colleague, of Midwest Sports Fans has Cincinnati IN and projected against NC State in a 12 seed play in game.  […]

Speak Your Mind