You will not be shocked to hear that we have tons and tons of Super Bowl 46 coverage planned for you over the next two weeks.
Some of it will focus on analysis of the teams and the game itself, some of it will focus on the history of the big game, and some of it will focus on the Super Bowl’s more whimsical side – like the post Brian wrote last week outlining ten best (and three worst) Super Bowl commercials of all-time.
In this post, as I do every week in our weekly Bettor’s Guides, I will provide the initial line for the game and my quick pick.
For the record, I went 1-1 last week. I nailed the Giants game, but Baltimore keeping it as close as they did surprised me. So after a lackluster 115-113-8 record in the regular season, which did feature a furious late season finish to get over .500, I am now 7-3 in the playoffs. Basically I’m the Giants of NFL spread picks this year.
Onto Super Bowl 46.
- Super Bowl 46 Date: Sunday, February 5th
- Super Bowl 46 Time: 6:20 ET
- Super Bowl 46 TV: NBC
- Super Bowl 46 Announcers: Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth
- Super Bowl 46 Point Spread: Patriots -3
- Super Bowl 46 Over-Under: 55
Super Bowl 46 Spread Pick
Considering how hot the Giants are, and how out of sync the Patriots’ offense looked against Baltimore, and what happened the last time these two franchises met up in the Super Bowl, I thought there was a decent chance that the Giants might be favored. Not so.
Which is great news for those who think the Giants are going to win.
I’m taking the three points and not even thinking about it. Frankly, I’d have taken the points (or even laid one or two) if San Francisco had won yesterday. The reason is that I simply am not that impressed with the Patriots…not with their secondary so shaky, Tom Brady looking off and perhaps injured, and the reality that Baltimore was the first team with a winning record they defeated all season long; and you could make the case that Baltimore outplayed them.
In addition, the matchups seem to strongly favor the Giants. To slow down the Patriots’ offense, you have to get pressure from your front four on Tom Brady. The Giants do that as well as anyone. On offense, the Giants like to move the ball through the air with their big play receivers. The weakness of the Patriots’ defense is its secondary. Based on those to phases of the game, I’m just not sure Brady can do enough to overcome the surging Eli Manning, who has become one of the NFL’s best players.
Of course, any time you have Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, you have a chance to win. So I’m not saying this is a done deal. But I feel pretty comfortable about the Giants in this one.
Giants-Patriots Spread Pick: Giants +3
Who ya got?