If you’re reading this post right now, one of three things is happening:
One, you are in your league’s championship round and looking for some advice as you try to make the most important lineup decisions of the season. We congratulate you, and we’re here for you. Skip ahead and start soaking in the analysis as you go for your league’s equivalent of The Shiva.
Two, you are in your league’s semifinal round, which means that you play your championship in Week 17. We’re still happy to help you make lineup decisions, but just know that we vehemently disagree with how your league is setup and blame you personally for going along with it.
Or three, you are devastated after a bad beat in Week 15 and engaging in the masochistic act of still reading fantasy football analysis even though you have nothing left to play for. This is pathetic and you should should be ashamed of yourself. Get over it man (or woman). Still though, we feel your pain. We’ve been there. So we welcome your wandering eyes as well.
I suppose you could also be in some kind of keeper league that uses the consolation bracket to help determine next year’s draft order (something we do highly encourage as a great idea) or a league in which money is doled out for third place (a less great idea). Either way, we group you with the first set of folks who still need advice even in Week 16.
Okay, onto this week’s Start/Sit picks…for anyone and everyone who may have stumbled upon this post today.
Fantasy Football Week 16 Start em, Sit em QBs
Start Em QB – Matt Moore
Matt Moor-ino has been very solid the past seven games for which he’s been healthy, putting up at least 13 points in six of them. He’s not at all a high-profile name, but if you don’t have a top 12 QB, or Tim Tebow, I would look at giving Moore the nod in Week 16.
His best WR, Brandon Marshall, has been a TD-machine as of late, and they will also be playing the porous New England passing defense.
If you don’t have another option, look at Moore. You might even be able to pick him up off of the waiver wire.
Matt Moore fantasy football Week 16 projection: 285 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 30 yards rushing
Other Start Em QBs:
- Tim Tebow – On the road in Buffalo…depending on weather…he may RUSH for 100 yards…and throw in a few TDs as well.
- Mike Vick and Tony Romo – Let’s just say, I don’t think there will be a lot of great defense in this game on Saturday.
Sit Em – Ryan Fitzpatrick
Hopefully, you got off of the Fitzpatrick bandwagon in week six…but he is still the #12 ranked fantasy QB and presents a LITTLE value from week to week based on matchups.
Not this week.
The Denver defense is incredibly over-rated (They are ranked 22nd overall, Tebow-haters. That’s a fact. Don’t try to argue against it.), but they have been much better against mediocre offenses. Fitzpatrick should have plenty of trouble against Denver’s speedy linebackers. Most of Buffalo’s offense has come on the ground lately, anyways…don’t expect that to change in week 16.
Ryan Fitzpatrick fantasy football Week 16 projection: 225 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs
Other Sit Em QBs:
- Andy Dalton – This is not your “beginning-of-the-year-Cardinals-secondary” (stats forthcoming).
- Carson Palmer – We should all just sit him out of principle at this point, don’t you think?
Fantasy Football Week 16 Start em, Sit em QBs
Start Em RB – CJ Spiller
Spiller has had GREAT days two of the last three weeks, including his monstrous 28-point performance last week. If the weather is bad in Buffalo this weekend, look for Spiller to have another breakout.
On wet/slippery/cold fields, the offense ALWAYS has the advantage – especially shifty playmakers like CJ Spiller.
CJ Spiller fantasy football Week 16 projection: 75 rushing yards, 4 receptions, 50 yards receiving, 1 TD
Other Start Em RBs:
- Kendall Hunter – Look for Hunter (who has looked absolutely AWESOME at times) to carry a little larger load down the stretch run of the season as Jim Harbaugh tries to keep Frank Gore fresh for the post-season.
- DeAngelo Williams – Favorable matchup against Tampa Bay, and plus, doesn’t he seem to KILL everybody in the fantasy playoffs like every single year?
Sit Em RB – Marshawn Lynch
Man. What a tough one. I absolutely LOVE Beast Mode. He’s been an absolute fantasy stud the past several weeks. This brings us to the age-old quandary, “Do you play the stud, or do you sit him because of the matchup?”
98% of the time, I would say you should always play the stud. But this year’s San Francisco run defense is FAR from ordinary. Through 14 weeks games, they have not allowed one single rushing touchdown all year!
It’s possible you have NO other options at RB and are forced to start Lynch, but if you have 2 or 3 other guys you like, don’t hesitate to sit Lynch against one of the best run defenses ever – that’s not hyperbole.
Marshawn Lynch fantasy football Week 16 projection: 60 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 12 receiving yards, 0 TDs
Other Sit Em RBs:
- Mike Tolbert – I think Mathews gets most of the touches this week.
- Ryan Grant – The Bears’ defense is great, and they will keep Grant blocked in all day.
Fantasy Football Week 16 Start em, Sit em WRs
Start Em WR – Plaxico Burress
A complete hunch…but I think this is one of those weeks where he has like 4 catches for 28 yards…and TWO touchdowns.
He’s been pretty quiet lately, and the Giants will definitely be focusing on stopping the Jets’ running game. I think the Jets will counter by trying to give Sanchez some easier throws…and as bad as he is at times, Sanchez can throw that fade on the sideline very well. Look for Plax to get several looks in the red zone this week.
Plaxico Burress fantasy football Week 16 projection: 4 receptions, 28 yards, 2 TDs
Other Start Em WRs:
- DeSean Jackson, Laurent Robinson, Miles Austin, Dez Bryant – Yes, I’m predicting at least 10 points for ALL of these WRs this week.
- DeMariyus Thomas – He’s actually the #1 WR in fantasy over the last three weeks. Tebow loves him, and he should have another good day in Buffalo this week.
- Victor Cruz – Read below.
Sit Em WR – Hakeem Nicks
Darrelle Revis is an awesome CB…but he’s slightly less awesome when he has to move inside and cover the slot WR. I expect Revis to stay outside and try to shut down the Giants’ deep threat this week. Victor Cruz will be the primary beneficiary as Eli will have to check down to him constantly.
Nicks MIGHT get free on one or two deep balls, but if he doesn’t (or if he drops them when perfectly thrown, like he did last week), he will be a fantasy disappointment in Week 16.
Hakeem Nicks fantasy football Week 16 projection: 4 receptions, 45 yards, 0 TDs
Other Sit Em WRs:
- Brandon Lloyd – Against Pittsburgh AND he’s banged up AND the Rams have QB issues.
- Reggie Wayne – I’m finally turning on him…he’s just nothing without Peyton Manning. It’s a good thing it took me sixteen weeks…
Fantasy Football Week 16 Start em, Sit em TEs
Start Em Tight End – Greg Olsen
Cam LOVES his tight ends in the red zone, and look for Olsen to be the recipient this week.
Greg Olsen fantasy football Week 16 projection: 3 receptions, 40 yards, 1 TD
Sit Em Tight End – Owen Daniels
The big fella is banged up, and I expect Houston to pull him as soon as they can tonight against the Colts. If they get up big, look for all of Houston’s studs to sit.
Owen Daniels fantasy football Week 16 projection: 2 receptions, 25 yards, 0 TDs
Fantasy Football Week 16 Start em, Sit em D/STs
Start Em Defense – ARIZONA CARDINALS
This is my game-changing pick of the week.
Did you know that the Cardinals defense has been improving all year, and that in the last seven weeks, they have only allowed EIGHT touchdowns.
I’ll let you guess where that ranks, league-wide.
Anyway, they will be playing a good Cincinnati team, but a team whose offense is definitely not “lights out” by any means.
If you don’t have one of the top three defenses, go ahead and swoop up the Arizona defense…to the surprise of everyone. And then dominate them this week to win your league.
Sit Em Defense – Detroit
All flash, no substance…especially against a rejuvenated San Diego offense. I would stay away from BOTH defenses in this game.
Best of luck in Week 16 everyone! We’ll be here all week answering questions in the comment section, and we will have our weekly live chat on Saturday this week. We’ll see you then!