Fantasy Football Week 1 Bold Predictions: Addai, BJGE, McCoy, Mendy, Marshawn and more

We all know Fantasy Football is about making the right roster moves every week. When you’re in a larger league, it is also about making bold predictions on players and knowing when to pull the trigger.

Every week this season I’ll be doing my best to help you make these moves by providing a list of bold predictions. I will miss some of these, but I assure you they will be based on facts and research. Some gut feelings- yes, but only backed by facts.

1. Did you know that the NFL has based their schedule around the Colts/Patriots matchup for nearly the last decade? It is an epic game that has held AFC seed implications for years. You know what game may be even more important to the Colts this year? Every game against the division favorite Houston Texans.

With Kerry Collins at the helm, expect the Colts to be running a ton of screen plays, short passes, and check-downs.  Addai is healthy and going to be hungry. I expect 80 all purposed yards and a TD in his attempt to control the Texans.

2. Outside of Hollywood executives looking to begin the new hit series “The Law-Firm: Superhero for justice” BenJarvus Green-Ellis flew under the radar despite being consistent and productive. Against division rivals, Green-Ellis turned it on. I fully expect 100 yards and a TD from him to start the season.

3. McNabb, McCoy, and McLobster…. One of them will not be coming back with a vengeance this week. I fully expect 250 yards and two TDs minimum from each. Percy Harvin and Greg Little would be in my line up for sure.

4. Packers and Saints are both known for their prolific offense and ball movement. Rodgers and Brees are amazing, but this first game of the season will not see the high scoring action you may expect. In fact, I would bet one of these elite QBs just barely breaks the 200 yards mark. For all you bettors, I would be taking the under on 47.

5. In Rashard Mendenhall’s five games against the Ravens, he has averaged less than 60 YPG. In Michael Turner’s three games against the Bears, he has averaged less than 45 YPG. You likely spent a first or second round on both of these guys, but these stats are going to hold true again this year. Don’t expect more!

You’re better off playing later picks Matt Forte who I predict to have 80 total yards with two receptions, or Marshawn Lynch who I predict to have 100 total yards with 4 receptions.

 

Bonus year long predictions:

  1. Addai will play 13 games and be a top fifteen back.
  2. Blount will be a top five fantasy running back this year.
  3. Peyton Manning will still manage a top ten QB finish this year, but will be tenth.
  4. Kenny Britt will be a top ten WR.


Comments

  1. I think you're nuts. Kenny Britt has no one to throw him the ball and even if he does, he'll screw up and do something to get arrested or get suspended by Roger Goodell.

    P.S. Good luck with the "Peyton Pick" as he rides the pines.

  2. Marshawn Lynch is going to be a beast this year.

  3. Im not saying that Kenny Britt will or will not have a great year but I hate when people bring up the "who will be trowing him the ball" classic statement. I live in Detroit and If I was out throwing the ball at Ford feild Calvin Johnson would still have a great year. OK, maybe not me but you get my point. Fitzgerald and Steve Johnson have also proved that theory wrong. A talented WR can have a great year if he truely is a talent regardless of who is lining up behind center. Is Kenny Britt the real deal. I dont know. I do know I wanted to draft him this year but my draft stratagy did not allow me to get him. (I grabbed Jennings and V.Jackson early) We will see.

    Aaron

    • Zach Harbison says:

      I have to agree with you here Aaron. A talented WR learns how to get open and in the best zone of their QB. Hasselback is very intelligent on the field. Britt is an amazing athlete and if he can stay healthy he is going to break off for big this year. I’m really high on Britt this year. In fact Aaron, I would look at the team that took Britt and see if you could get him and another decent player for Jennings. I love Jennings from a skill set, but there are so many mouths in GB. Look at last night, Cobb came out of no where to prove he is another amazing WR that they will throw in the mix. While he’s amazing, Jennings has too many up and down weeks for my blood. I figure Britt soon will become a steady, every week producer.

      Wes,
      this article was written before the updated release on Peyton. Obviously I would take that back if I could!

      PSTT,
      Completely agree. Beast year for sure.

  4. I refuse, I repeat, I REFUSE TO BENCH MY STUD'S I am not going to bench Mendenhall just to see him go off, I benched Hillis last year against the Ravens and he torched them, I never bench my studs, incidently I had a great night from Rodgers so even if Mendenhall has a bad game I'll still make up for it on Rodgers monster game :)

  5. Zach, what do you think about starting Julio Jones this week vs. Bears? I'm light on WRs with a couple other Top 25-30 options.

    • Zach Harbison says:

      Tough call here, Tom. From a skill set, I love Julio Jones. While the Bears allowed 225 YPG in the air last year ranking them just outside of the worst ten, they are still a very tough team to find a passing rhythm against. I would like Julio a lot more if there wasn't so much hype around him. But the hype, the fact that it's the first game of the year, that the Bears are good at home, and that he's ultimately still a rookie all scare me. I would stay away from him until week 3 so we can see what role he's really playing. If you have other options you want to put on here, I'll be happy to help you scrape something together.

  6. How bad of a prediction(s) were on the packer game , glad i didnt take your advice and took the over! The games and players ultimately decide the any fantasy relevance anybody that trys to predict everything is an idiot its a totao guessing game.

    • Zach Harbison says:

      They were pretty bad. But history has shown that defense normally prevails during week 1 and 47 was a high line. I'll take being an idiot there.

      Then again, wouldn't playing fantasy football and betting on football means you're trying to predict the game, right?? Hmmmm

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