As a Vikings fan I do not like seeing the Packers do well, so obviously I was not a fan of them winning the Super Bowl last year. I definitely do not want to see it happen again.
Unfortunately for me, the Packers look like they could be even better this year and have a legitimate shot at a repeat.
Fortunately for me, I’ve found five reasons why they won’t.
Image source: SBNation
1. Super Bowl hangover
Of the last six teams to win the Super Bowl, only the 2005 Patriots won a playoff game the following season. Both the 2006 and 2009 Steelers failed to make the playoffs altogether. Of course, the last time the Packers won the Super Bowl, they followed up by losing to the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XXXII.
In fact, that 1997 Packers team is the last team from the NFC to make it to back-to-back Super Bowls. The last NFC team to win back-to-back Super Bowls were the ’92 and ’93 Dallas Cowboys.
The NFC is notorious for parity. From 1994-2009, only three teams have failed to make the Super Bowl from the NFC: Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions, and the Washington Redskins. That means within a 16 year span, 13 different teams represented the NFC in the Super Bowl.
So while the Packers may have the most talented roster this year, recent history shows that it will be difficult to take that often envied trip to central Indiana in February.
Speaking of Indiana…
2. No NFC team has ever won a Super Bowl in Indianapolis, Indiana
To be fair, no AFC team has ever won a Super Bowl there either. Lucas Oil Stadium is hosting the first ever Super Bowl in Indiana. And while that doesn’t seem important, it could be.
Since 1990, the NFC is only 3-5 in Super Bowls played in stadiums that host AFC teams. Those wins came from the ’94 San Francisco 49ers, ’03 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the ’09 New Orleans Saints.
The NFC has had a lot more success playing in their home stadiums, going 9-4 in the same span. Maybe the Packers will have a better chance next year when the Super Bowl returns to the Louisiana SuperDome in New Orleans for a record seventh time.
3. The NFC North
The NFC North is quickly becoming one of the strongest divisions in the NFL.
Last year we had both teams (Packers and Bears) in the NFC Championship game come out of the North, as well as the Vikings in 2009, the Packers in 2007, and the Bears in 2006. That means half of the teams to participate in the NFC Championship game in the last five years were from the North division, by far the most in the NFC.
And don’t forget about the Lions, the sexiest team in the NFL. If the 2011 Detroit Lions were a real person, they would be Kate Upton. They have a great young foundation to build around for many years to come. While I don’t think they will make the playoffs this year (like this guy does), they will definitely steal some important games within the division.
Don’t forget about last year when the Lions beat the Packers in Week 14 when Green Bay needed to win to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Yes, Aaron Rodgers left early due to a concussion (which we’ll get to in a second), but his stat line wasn’t that impressive before he was injured (7-11, 46 yards, 1 interception).
Also, as I stated yesterday, the Vikings have a serious chance at making a run at the post season this year. With three other playoff-caliber teams in the same division, every game will be important.
4. Aaron Rodgers’ lingering concussion problems
Concussions are a serious problem in the sports world, and if you don’t believe me just ask Justin Morneau and Sidney Crosby.
Even though Rodgers came back from his concussion last season with one of the greatest runs in football history (1,697 yards, 14 TD, 3 INT, 68% over the last six games), it is still something Packers fans should be concerned about. Rodgers also runs more than the average quarterback, rushing more than four times per game on average. As we all know, quarterbacks aren’t the greatest at protecting their body in the open field.
One body slam from Ndamukong Suh, a blindside hit from Julius Peppers or Jared Allen, or getting clocked in the open field by Brian Urlacher or Jonathan Vilma, and Packers fans will be watching Matt Flynn all year.
5. “Jay Cutler dominates”
When I asked my fellow writers and friends for reasons the Packers couldn’t repeat, Bears fan and MSF contributor Tyler Juranovich said this, repeatedly (and perhaps ironically…at least let’s hope):
“Jay Cutler dominates.“
Image source: BearGogglesOn