Five Reasons the Green Bay Packers Will Not Repeat

As a Vikings fan I do not like seeing the Packers do well, so obviously I was not a fan of them winning the Super Bowl last year. I definitely do not want to see it happen again.

Unfortunately for me, the Packers look like they could be even better this year and have a legitimate shot at a repeat.

Fortunately for me, I’ve found five reasons why they won’t.

green-bay-packers-super-bowlImage source: SBNation

1. Super Bowl hangover

Of the last six teams to win the Super Bowl, only the 2005 Patriots won a playoff game the following season. Both the 2006 and 2009 Steelers failed to make the playoffs altogether. Of course, the last time the Packers won the Super Bowl, they followed up by losing to the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XXXII.

In fact, that 1997 Packers team is the last team from the NFC to make it to back-to-back Super Bowls. The last NFC team to win back-to-back Super Bowls were the ’92 and ’93 Dallas Cowboys.

The NFC is notorious for parity. From 1994-2009, only three teams have failed to make the Super Bowl from the NFC: Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions, and the Washington Redskins. That means within a 16 year span, 13 different teams represented the NFC in the Super Bowl.

So while the Packers may have the most talented roster this year, recent history shows that it will be difficult to take that often envied trip to central Indiana in February.

Speaking of Indiana…

2. No NFC team has ever won a Super Bowl in Indianapolis, Indiana

To be fair, no AFC team has ever won a Super Bowl there either. Lucas Oil Stadium is hosting the first ever Super Bowl in Indiana. And while that doesn’t seem important, it could be.

Since 1990, the NFC is only 3-5 in Super Bowls played in stadiums that host AFC teams. Those wins came from the ’94 San Francisco 49ers, ’03 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the ’09 New Orleans Saints.

The NFC has had a lot more success playing in their home stadiums, going 9-4 in the same span. Maybe the Packers will have a better chance next year when the Super Bowl returns to the Louisiana SuperDome in New Orleans for a record seventh time.

3. The NFC North

The NFC North is quickly becoming one of the strongest divisions in the NFL.

ndamukong_suh-bold-predictions-2011-nfl-season-playoffsLast year we had both teams (Packers and Bears) in the NFC Championship game come out of the North, as well as the Vikings in 2009, the Packers in 2007, and the Bears in 2006. That means half of the teams to participate in the NFC Championship game in the last five years were from the North division, by far the most in the NFC.

And don’t forget about the Lions, the sexiest team in the NFL. If the 2011 Detroit Lions were a real person, they would be Kate Upton. They have a great young foundation to build around for many years to come. While I don’t think they will make the playoffs this year (like this guy does), they will definitely steal some important games within the division.

Don’t forget about last year when the Lions beat the Packers in Week 14 when Green Bay needed to win to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Yes, Aaron Rodgers left early due to a concussion (which we’ll get to in a second), but his stat line wasn’t that impressive before he was injured (7-11, 46 yards, 1 interception).

Also, as I stated yesterday, the Vikings have a serious chance at making a run at the post season this year. With three other playoff-caliber teams in the same division, every game will be important.

4. Aaron Rodgers’ lingering concussion problems

Concussions are a serious problem in the sports world, and if you don’t believe me just ask Justin Morneau and Sidney Crosby.

Even though Rodgers came back from his concussion last season with one of the greatest runs in football history (1,697 yards, 14 TD, 3 INT, 68% over the last six games), it is still something Packers fans should be concerned about. Rodgers also runs more than the average quarterback, rushing more than four times per game on average. As we all know, quarterbacks aren’t the greatest at protecting their body in the open field.

One body slam from Ndamukong Suh, a blindside hit from Julius Peppers or Jared Allen, or getting clocked in the open field by Brian Urlacher or Jonathan Vilma, and Packers fans will be watching Matt Flynn all year.

5. “Jay Cutler dominates”

When I asked my fellow writers and friends for reasons the Packers couldn’t repeat, Bears fan and MSF contributor Tyler Juranovich said this, repeatedly (and perhaps ironically…at least let’s hope):

“Jay Cutler dominates.

jay-cutler-dominatesImage source: BearGogglesOn

Talk to Tyler about this one, not me. Here are links to his facebook and twitter accounts.



About Drew Lange

Drew is a student at North Dakota State University in Fargo, ND. He is a life long Vikings fan and distracts himself from their futility by watching a lot of TV and listening to a lot of music, even though his parents don't understand the appeal. Follow on twitter (@drewlange) or send an email to d.lange9@gmail.com

Comments

  1. Amanda Lawson says:

    I didn't get nervous until I read #5.

  2. Reason 5 is a lame and weak reason. Let's be honest here Cutler is coming off an "injury" and his new go to guy isn't cutting it even when the rare instance that bum of an O-line he has actually gives him the time of day to drop back and throw.

    • I'll defend Drew (and Tyler) here a bit. The title of this post probably should have said "4 Reasons the Packers Won't Repeat (And 1 Reason They Might)". I can say with great confidence that Drew Lange doesn't think Jay Cutler is going to be standing in the way of the Packers' repeating, and even though Tyler Juranovich is a Bears fan, I don't think he does either…but it did make for a funny, ironic way to end the post.

  3. Allaboutstyle says:

    This is one of the dumbest posts I’ve read in awhile and that’s saying something considering how sports writers were scraping for a story during the lockout. Jay Cutler is not a threat to anyone but the bears. I don’t know if his mom wrote an angry letter to the NFL or what the story is, but why do people keep talking about him as if he’s accomplished something? All the guy has ever done is fold like a cheap suit when it counts. With regard to playing the SB at Lucas Oil Stadium…have you seen how well the Packers play on turf? Unless the Colts make it to the big dance the stadium will be a non-factor for whichever teams make it. Superbowl hangover is a legitimate concern as are injuries to many key players. The latter holds true for every team. Love to see how the Vikings would fair if AP were to go down? Finally, the NFC north is solid, but face it, the Packers are the best team by far. Detroit is definitely up and coming, but both the Bears and the Vikings are aging and going backward. There are real NFC contenders to dethrone the Packers, but they ain’t coming from the NFC North.

    • Wow, people are really not recognizing the sarcasm of the Jay Cutler statement. I suppose that we could call such commenters "dumb" and be insulting, but that would be a pretty classless thing to do, so we won't. At least this commenter provided legit reasons for why he disagreed with the article, so we'll give him a pass. Personally, I think that in general people underrate how hard it is to repeat. Ask the Saints. They played like their feet were stuck n cement for the first half of last season, in large part because they basically took the whole offseason off to celebrate the Super Bowl, and then came to camp feeling a bit satisfied. That's how it goes a lot of times. Will it happen to the Packers? I don't know. But there are plenty of legit reasons why ANY team won't win the Super Bowl,

      People reading this article also need to realize that the overall tone is essentially sarcastic. Drew is a Vikings fan who is deathly afraid of Green Bay running roughshod over the division this year. That some of his reasons are a little less than rock-solid was part of the point. Even with a Super Bowl hangover, the Packers are talented enough to win it all again.

    • I just wasted the last couple minutes of my life reading this worthless post. Not one of those 5 reasons is based on anything credible enough to have a big impact on the Packers not making the Superbowl.

  4. I will publicly state that my "Jay Cutler dominates" being a reason why the Packers won't repeat is absolutely just for comic relief. I don't think Jay Cutler, or any aspect of the Bears' team, will serve any serious threat to the Packers. Long time readers of MSF know we like to joke about Jay Cutler a lot on this website.

    Though, being a Bears fan, I do wish it could be possible.

  5. 5. Jay Cutler is the worst QB in the NFC North 4. Aaron is fully recovered from his concussions. There is nothing “lingering”. He also improved his judgement on when/how to slide feet first when running. If anything, there is less concern this year. 3. Yes, the NFC north is a strong division, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Packers are the best team in it. 2. The last post season game that the Packers played indoors on FieldTurf was against Atlanta in the Georgia Dome. That game was the best performance of the year, with the Packers winning 48-21. Lucas Oil Stadium is also indoors (with the roof closed) with the same FieldTurf surface. The only difference is that Indianapolis is a little over 500 miles closer to Green Bay. 1. The Packers have made back to back Super Bowl appearances throughout their Super Bowl history (’66 & ’67; ’96 & ’97; and soon to be ’10 & ’11). People in Wisconsin are immune to any type of “hangover”. This is partly why we can drink the rest of the country under the table. (See http://www.statemaster.com/graph/hea_alc_con_bin_dri-health-alcohol-consumption-binge-drinkers )

  6. drewlange says:

    Maybe I should have explained this a bit better at the beginning. I am a Vikings fan. I know the Packers are a good team. Finding reasons for them to not repeat this year is tough, as you all have stated. I can't just write a post with one reason. Are some of them a stretch? Yes, of course they are. But you can't tell me they aren't legitimate reasons. The Jay Cutler comment was obviously a joke. And I will pay everyone who comments on this page $10 if the Packers go 6-0 in the NFC North.

    The thing is, none of you provided one single reason why the Packers will repeat. Being the best team doesn't guarantee a Super Bowl berth. Ask Peyton Manning or the 07 Patriots. Hell, Green Bay barely made the playoffs last year.

  7. Dick G Kropez says:

    come on dudes you really didn't understand that the jay cutler comment was a joke? anyway, the statistics do show that a repeat is unlikely, but that being said, the odds are in favor of the packers. sure they just barely made it to the play offs, but they also had several key players on the IR. also, you really need to take a look at the coaching structure and the work ethic that the packers are built on. i don't think complacency will be a problem with green bay this year, it's just a matter of keeping the key players healthy. we'll see.

  8. drewlange says:

    Also, I'm kind of upset no one is thanking me for linking to hundreds of Kate Upton photos

  9. The Packers won't even make it outta the NFC north.

  10. This is list has some good reasons (the concussions) and some pretty tongue-in-cheek reasons. But I agree on the concussions and he already has more than one. Has had only a few, so its still in single digits. AIkman had 10 before he was knocked out and retired. So there's still some gas left in the tank.

    Another obvious thing going in favor of Green Bay is their last 4 trips to the Super Bowl. Every time they've returned the next year. Super Bowl I-II, and the two Favre Super Bowl trips in the 90's. Who's to say the trend doesn't here?

  11. "And I will pay everyone who comments on this page $10 if the Packers go 6-0 in the NFC North."

    I meant to comment on this comment when I first read this but now I'm definitely going too!

    • Also, we have a strict policy here at MSF of forcing writers to back up and follow through on wild statements like this. Even if the article is partially satirical. So if the Packers win next week, expect Drew to spend some time writing some checks…

      • Well well…it seems it's only $80 or so that Drew lost. I'm waiting to find out where to submit my postal address for payment. I will also take a more substantial reward in the fact that they will repeat. ;)

  12. wow lol this is obviously the dumbest article ive ever read snd u need to do research dont forget bout theyre repeat after the Super bowl I to then win super bowl II plus they are 7-0 so i think they will win again and like always the vikings are the worst team in the north just like the bears the only team that could stop the packers from winning would be the lions and they arent even as good as the combo of Aaron Rodgers and Greg Jennings so i think they might even repeat another time after this year

  13. johann1965 says:

    Your prediction was weak, and you don’t know what you are talking about.

Trackbacks

  1. […] claim that the Packers will lose whenever he finds one. Heck, he even has five reasons why the Packers won’t repeat. Sidenote: He struggled with these. See number 5. As a Vikings fan, this is how he survives the […]

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