Ticking clock of Manning’s prime and repeated examples of Jim Caldwell’s incompetence should compel Colts to strongly consider head coach alternatives.

What I am about to propose might just be crazy. It might even seem nonsensical. It certainly is not backed up by statistics, and it definitely is not likely or perhaps even within the realm of possibility based on the conservative culture of the NFL and, more specifically, the Indianapolis Colts.

Yet, in these knee-jerk moments after the Colts elimination from the playoffs, I cannot help but feel that the wild notion I am about to discuss might just be…right.

I’ll state my case and then let you be the judge.

And here is the case I will attempt to make: the Indianapolis Colts should fire a coach who in two seasons is 24-8 in the regular season, has been to the playoffs both years, and is damn close to having a Super Bowl victory on his resume.

I told you it might seem nonsensical. Now let me see if I can convince you that I’m right.

fire-jim-caldwell-super-bowlWinning football games in the NFL is very difficult to do, even when you have one of the best signal-callers in the history of the game calling your signals. Yet that is what Jim Caldwell has done in the two seasons since he was hand-selected by previous coach Tony Dungy to lead the Indianapolis Colts into this new decade. And based on the numbers, Caldwell has succeeded.

If I were writing this post in defense of Caldwell, there is a plethora of evidence I could cite to defend him against wild and crazy suggestions that he should be fired.

  • The numbers I already stated are a good start: 24-8 regular season record; two playoff appearances; one Super Bowl appearance.
  • The Colts were 14-0 last season, and very well might have gone 16-0 had they not made the decision to sit starters during the season’s final two weeks. Two more wins would have made Jim Caldwell one of three coaches in NFL history to finish the regular season undefeated. He would have joined an exclusive club that includes NFL royalty Don Shula and Bill Belichick.
  • The Colts were 6-6 this season, teetering on the brink of collapse, with an injury list filled with players the team was counting on coming into the season. Yet they somehow righted the ship, won four straight, and captured yet another AFC South crown. The coach has to get some credit for that right?

I will sum up the defense of Jim Caldwell with one fact: in the history of the NFL, few head coaches if any have have been more successful during their first two years as Jim Caldwell has been.

So then why can I not shake this nagging feeling that the Colts need to make the seemingly unthinkable decision of relieving Caldwell of his head coaching duties?

A head coach with Caldwell’s already voluminous list of accomplishments should not be mocked and derided. Yet time and again, including right here on this website, Caldwell’s coaching acumen is called into question. Of course, making decisions based on bloggers’ opinions and Twitter sentiment would be foolish, so this is really beside the point.

What is germane to the point is that perhaps it is time for the Colts to peel back the layers of those blog opinions and Twitter sentiment to see why they exist. And if you want the quintessential example of why so many people are critical of Caldwell despite his resume, look no further than last night.

Here is a quick recap, from a Pro Football Talk article titled “Jim Caldwell’s timeout explanation doesn’t make sense.

With 29 seconds left, the clock running and the Jets having the ball at the Colts’ 32-yard line, Indianapolis coach Jim Caldwell made a surprising decision: He called timeout.

The TV cameras caught the look on Peyton Manning’s face on the sideline, and Manning was obviously thinking the same thing many of us were thinking: “What in the world is Caldwell doing?”

You know the rest – the Jets used the extra play gifted by Caldwell to hit Braylon Edwards for an 18-yard completion that set up a chip shot game-winning field goal for Nick Folk – but I’m not sure the result is really what is important. Everything you need to know about my opinion of Jim Caldwell as the Colts head coach is summed up in the two sentences blockquoted above.

First off, Caldwell’s decision is more than just erroneous and misguided. It is downright negligent. There is literally no rational basis, defense, or explanation for taking a timeout there. None. In that moment, most people who have completed one season playing Madden were more fit to manage the clock than Jim Caldwell. This may sound like hyperbole, but it’s not.

Further complicating matters, Caldwell offered up an explanation for calling the timeout that makes such little sense I am not even going to post it here. Instead, just look at the picture below for a visual representation of Caldwell’s timeout excuse:

head-up-ass-jim-caldwell

Actually, a better image to represent Caldwell’s decision to call a timeout would be the reaction of his quarterback, which – as has been pointed out all over the sports Interwebs today – really says it all. (And the video says even more.)

peyton-manning-reaction

And you know what may actually be worse than the fact that Caldwell made such a bad decision last night? The fact that he made a similar decision earlier in the season, yet apparently did not learn from it at all. This is why I think Caldwell’s error cannot just be chalked up as a normal error (one in which there are reasonable options on both sides but the wrong option was chosen) or a brain fart (where a coach makes a boneheaded decision he almost immediately regrets).

What happened last night was negligence. Gross coaching negligence. Even the prettiest of regular season records does not inoculate a coach from rebuke and accountability for stupidity – yes, stupidity – of this magnitude, especially when it has become an easily recognizable and uncorrected pattern.

Let’s go back to Manning now, because it is his presence as the quarterback of the Indianapolis Colts that really is the crux of my feeling for why the Jim Caldwell Era in Indianapolis needs to end.

I have already stated why, in normal circumstances, discussing Jim Caldwell’s firing would be ludicrous. His head coaching accomplishments in two years are preposterously good. Yet, the key phrase in that sentence is normal circumstances. These are not normal circumstances because Peyton Manning is not a normal football player. He is a transcendent football player with an other-worldly ability to manage an offense. Unfortunately, he sometimes has to compete against 11 defenders and the ineptitude of his own head coach.

You know who never has to compete against his coach’s ineptitude? Manning’s chief “rival” for the title of Greatest QB Right Now (And Maybe of All-Time): Tom Brady. In Bill Belichick, Brady has a coach who provides significant value to him. What makes Brady and Belichick so special is that their sum is so much greater than either would be individually. It is a synergy that, like Walsh-Montana, comes along maybe once in a generation.

I am not saying that Jim Caldwell needs to be Bill Belichick to be deserving of being Peyton Manning’s coach, and there isn’t another coach out there who comes close to Belichick that the Colts could consider as an alternative anyway. However, at a minimum, Manning should expect a coach who complements his greatness, who provides value to him, and who can manage the defense, special teams, and the clock so that Manning can manage his offense. Jim Caldwell failed to do this last night, in one of the few situations during his Colts tenure when he has been on point to make a really important decision that could decide the outcome of a game. And he failed spectacularly.

Colts fans and non-fans alike often joke that the Colts should just name Manning the head coach. He pretty much coordinates his own offense, and no one believes that Caldwell’s opinions wield anywhere close to as much power in the Colts organization as do Manning’s. The rub is that, had Manning been the head coach last night, he never would have called a timeout in that situation. His reaction proved it.

Would the Jets still have won without the timeout? Maybe, although the stats suggest that Nick Folk (who was 5-11 on kicks of 40 or more yards this season) would have missed a 50-yard field goal more often that he would have made it. What has to grate at Manning, his teammates, and every Colts fan in the world, is the fact that Folk was one egregious Caldwell decision away from having to attempt his game-winner from that longer distance, rather than from just 32 yards away. A “car on ice” loss indeed.

Okay, it’s time to take a step back now. I do not want you to be too distracted by the trees as I try to get you to see the forest. Plenty of coaches make bad decisions. Caldwell made an indefensible decision last night and has made others during his tenure, including a pretty poor challenge call early last night as well. Does that really supersede his sterling record and mean he is not fit to coach the Colts?

Five years ago, perhaps not. Five years go, the now 34-year old Manning was still in his 20s. He still had at least a decade of supreme QB play left him. At that time, there remained ample time for patience, be it with a young player or an inexperienced coach, because the clock had not begun ticking towards the twilight of the Manning Era.

The clock is now starting to tick, ever so softly, and it creates the extreme reality where winning 75% of your regular season games and going to a Super Bowl is not enough to save a your job if you are a head coach with little on your resume besides wins that Peyton Manning led you to. Looked at from the perspective of the Colts organization, when you have a Peyton Manning, and you know that he has at max just 3-5 years of his prime left, you have to view the qualifications of your head coach differently.

To me, there are three things the head of the Indianapolis Colts needs to do:

  1. Offer Manning some kind of game-planning or overall strategic value.
  2. Ensure that the defense and special teams are at a minimum adequate to ease the pressure on Manning.
  3. Manage games with competence.

I’ll be nice and say that the case can be made that Caldwell succeeds at #2. The Colts defense, for the most part, is adequate. Fairness demands that I acknowledge the injuries Indy suffered on that side of the ball this year. As for special teams, well, let’s just they are up and down, but injuries contributed to that too. Even with that point generously granted though, Caldwell still fails at the majority of the above criteria. To my knowledge, Caldwell does not offer Manning much game-planning or strategic value, and he certainly has proven time and again that he is at best below average as a game manager.

So, for all those who would cite Caldwell’s numbers as a reason for why it is ludicrous to suggest he should be fired, my question to you is: were those numbers and accomplishments achieved because of Caldwell or in spite of him?

Put another way, if there were a metric that measured coaches the way VORP (Value Over Replacement Player) measures baseball players, what would Caldwell’s VORC (Value Over Replacement Coach) be? Isn’t it at least reasonable to consider what an average replacement coach could have done with the division-winning machine and Hall of Fame QB that Caldwell inherited?

Caldwell’s underwhelming head coaching history prior to becoming the Colts head coach (26-63 in 8 seasons at Wake Forest) certainly suggests that Caldwell brought no special abilities – at least none he had proven – to the job. And while I will grant that comparing college football to the NFL is in many ways apples to oranges, wouldn’t you think that a good head NFL head coach could at least achieve reasonable success on the college level? Caldwell did not, which provides a little more weight to the side of scale that I think is tipping in the favor of Caldwell needing to go.

It is important to note that I grew up as the son of a college football coach. While my dad never got to be a head coach, I still have a pretty good understanding of the pressure coaches are under and the lack of control they often have to determine the outcomes that they will ultimately be responsible for. I explain this only to lend the following context to this article: I do not call for a coach to lose his job easily. In fact, my tendency is to give coaches the benefit the doubt, perhaps more than they deserve in many cases.

I also believe that, to be taken seriously, anyone who calls for a coach to be relieved of his duties should offer up legitimate alternatives. It is easy to say that Jim Caldwell needs to go, but what if there is no one else available who could be reasonably expected to do the job better?

For example, many IU basketball fans are frustrated with Tom Crean’s won/loss record and the team’s seeming lack of on-court growth. Fine. I am too. But to those who think Crean should be fired, I ask the following two questions: a) who could have done better in the little over 2.5 years Crean has had the job, given what he inherited; and b) what alternatives are presently available that offer more proven potential for the future? (For the record, the latter question, when actually answered, always elicits a good discussion about Brad Stevens, though it has yet to change my opinion.)

This point of having a replacement in mind before calling for a coach to be fired is of significant importance now that the Colts are entering this particular offseason. Let’s just start listing off a few names:

  • Bill Cowher – Super Bowl champion
  • Jon Gruden – Super Bowl champion
  • John Fox – Super Bowl participant, multiple playoff appearances

All three of those guys have much stronger coaching resumes than Jim Caldwell. Is there anyone who does not think that any of these three guys would offer Peyton Manning and the Colts more value and leadership from the head coaching position than Caldwell? Reasonable minds certainly could disagree, and the comment section is yours to debate this, but in my mind all three of these guys are slam dunks as being better head coaches for the Colts than Jim Caldwell.

Inevitably, the discussion will turn, as it should, to continuity. One of the greatest predictors of sustained success in the NFL is GM-Head Coach-QB continuity. Look around the league and its history and this fact is undeniable. One of the reasons Caldwell was hired in the first place was to maintain continuity in the transition from the highly successful Tony Dungy Era. I get that, and I think for that very reason hiring Caldwell was the right move at the time. After he led the Colts to a Super Bowl in his first season, keeping him for another season was not even in question and shouldn’t have been.

fire-jim-caldwellNow? I think it’s open for debate.

As great as Jim Caldwell’s resume in Indianapolis is, he is also the first coach since 2002 to preside over a team that won less than 12 games. Is that a damn near ridiculous criticism to state, and damn near a ridiculous standard to hold a head coach to? Absolutely. But guess what: Peyton Manning is damn near the greatest football player in NFL history, and his brilliance deserves a coach who, if not Belichickian, at the very least is competent. If you have the opportunity to replace a head coach who at times is incompetent with a head coach who could, without question, be considered at a minimum good – as Cowher, Gruden, Fox, and others all are – don’t you have to at least explore the possibility?

(As a quick but relevant aside: should the current labor uncertainty, and the fact that a new coach might not have a full offseason to implement his system and learn his team, factor into this? Of course. But Manning already has the offense covered, so for the Colts such a concern is only about half of what it is for most teams. Still, I’d be remiss if I did not acknowledge that I have taken this reality into account.)

Let’s look at this another way: if the Colts have the chance to replace a current offensive lineman with a better one this offseason, won’t they do it in a heartbeat? Of course. The same goes at every position. Comparing the head coach to a normal player is another apples to oranges comparison, with drastically different ramifications, but the underlying motivation is not; and that motivation is to improve the pieces around Peyton Manning so you can maximize his quarterbacking genius while you still have it.

On the Indianapolis Colts, the head coach is just a piece around Peyton Manning – at least it is when the head coach is Jim Caldwell. If Bill Polian and Jim Irsay have an opportunity to get a better piece, or perhaps even someone who is an asset to Peyton Manning rather than a periodic liability, don’t they have an obligation to do so? I think they do, even as crazy as I know that sounds to say when the current piece (Caldwell) has such strong numbers. But last night, and in other games during Caldwell’s tenure, the Colts’ chances for winning have been needlessly lessened by his incompetence as their head coach.

For most franchises, those with lower measuring sticks of success, that wouldn’t be enough for a coach to lose his job. For the Indianapolis Colts, given their limited time left with Peyton Manning, it should be. At the very least, the possibility of replacing Jim Caldwell with a better, more proven head coach should be discussed in great depth by the Colts’ decision-makers, especially considering the names available on the current coaching free agent list.

The Colts’ 2010 season ultimately ended last night with the stench of head coaching negligence hanging over it. If Indianapolis begins next season with Jim Caldwell as its head coach, without at least seriously exploring the possibility of replacing him, then the 2011 season will begin with the same stench, this time wafting from the front office. And it will again be up to Peyton Manning to hold his nose as he tries yet again to deliver the sweet smell of success to the Colts organization and its fans. That would be as unfortunate as it is unnecessary.

**********

Now tell me what you think. Vote in the poll below and leave your comment. I’m hoping this topic generates a lively and worthwhile discussion.

What should Bill Polian and Jim Irsay do with the Colts head coach position?

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Update: A few hours after posting this article, friend of MSF @TheGallyBlog directed my attention to this article from Colts blog Stampede Blue. It discusses Jason Whitlock’s prediction that Jon Gruden will be brought in to replace Jim Caldwell as the Colts head coach. For what it’s worth, here is Whitlock’s full tweet:

Prediction: Jon Gruden is named coach of the Colts within a month. Manning window closing and can’t leave it to an amateur.

As noted by Stampede Blue in its article, Peyton Manning is now a free agent, and has maximum leverage to demand a new coach if he wants one. Would he? Who knows. I’m sure it would be explained differently to the media if that is what happens. Who knows. It is all conjecture at this point, and it remains very, very unlikely that the Colts will even consider a coaching change. Still, it’s very interesting to consider and it will be interesting to see if anything surprising ends up happening.

Update: This morning before I wrote this post I read Gregg Doyel’s spot-on take regarding the idiocy of Caldwell’s timeout call. I forgot to link to it when I posted this however. Wanted to correct that.

Update: For those of you who disagree with me, and I know there are more than a few of you out there, the good folks over at I See Deadline People wrote a very thorough and fair counter to my Jim Caldwell argument. Read it here.

* – Jim Caldwell confetti photo credit: Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images via Life.com

* – Jim Caldwell at podium photo credit: AP via SI.com



About Jerod Morris

I love words. I write for Copyblogger and founded MSF, The Assembly Call, & Primility. I practice yoga, eat well, & strive for balance. I love life. Namaste. Say hi on Twitter, Facebook, & G+.

Comments

  1. Caldwell made the same horrible timeout call against the Jaguars in their first game earlier this year. The fact that a man could make the same losing call two times in one season is grounds for firing alone. The team did it's job, the coach lost the game for his players. Fire him. Fire him now

    • I don't know that Caldwell "lost" this game or the Jags game for the Colts, but what is important is that he certainly did not affect would he could control to put them in the best possible position to win it. It is a minor difference, but an important one I think. Either way, it still suggests that the Colts' sterling the record the last two years is more in spite of Caldwell than because of him. Why not find a replacement who will be able to do more than just get out of Manning's way? Especially when Caldwell cannot even do that.

  2. He is way to passive, always takes the ultra conservative decisions offensively as well. How do you explain the run decision on 3rd and 7 with under 2 minutes remaining in Jets territory. I dont care what defense you are up against you allow the best player on your game an oppurtunity to ice the game with a first down… wind the clock down then kick 30-45 yard FG.

    And yes the timeout was obviously atrocious you dont give them an extra play with the assumption you can still get the ball back. You take the lead with under a minute left and give your D a chance to win the game right there.

    • I agree, and you bring up an interesting point. I take it for granted in my argument above the Manning has the offense covered – but I cannot imagine that Manning wanted to run on 3rd and 7, even if running had been successful in similar situations earlier in the game. You are absolutely right that Manning should be given the chance to make a play and ice the game. That he wasn't falls on the coaches.

  3. Bryan Boettcher says:

    Caldwell's tenure should have ended the moment he pulled his starters against the New York Jets last season. That day will remain one of the darkest in franchise history and it was the first of many times that Caldwell went against his quarterback's wishes (last night was only the most recent example). Your Brady-Belichick example is spot on.

    I disagree with your notion that the defense and special teams have been adequate in two years and in fact I’ll throw in the offensive line and running game as other areas that Caldwell has failed Peyton Manning. The Colts were the worst running team in the league last year, the same year that Peyton should have had a perfect season. That’s incredible.

    Peyton was perfect in the Super Bowl until he threw that interception, yet he was working to tie the game on that possession. How is that possible? A 5-yard false start stalled a drive, Garcon’s dropped pass, a successful onside kick attempt and a defense with no answer for Drew Brees. The Colts continue to fail Manning.

  4. Bryan Boettcher says:

    This season, the Colts ranked 23rd in scoring defense and 20th in total defense. Our running game improved from last to 29th. Did losing Clark and Collie hurt us? Yes, but not Manning who was the league’s leading passer. Peyton doesn’t need big-name receivers. He doesn’t need a coach (anyone else think we’d be better off if #18 was the only person allowed to call timeouts?). Instead, he continues to be tripped up by those around him. It was Vanderjagt for a few years, then it was a pourous defense, not it’s special teams and a coach that can’t manage the clock.

    If only Peyton could tackle.

    • Excellent points Bryan. I actually agree with you regarding the Colts D and special teams…I decided to give Caldwell a bit of the benefit of the doubt there just to highlight that, even if you grant him that, the weight of the evidence STILL suggests he should be gone. I'm glad you brought the numbers though to show that even in these areas, the only ones that can even really be argued about, Caldwell STILL fails.

  5. Wow, a thorough piece. You won't see anything approaching this kind of sentient analysis from the mainstream cliche sports media. You nailed every angle with accuracy and fairness.

    All that said, I don't necessarily endorse this 'radical' idea, even though Coach Caldwell's decisions were undeniably AWFUL last night. He's a Dungy 'legacy' hire, and we've known this since day one. Overall, he's not an NFL-caliber coach.

    That said, as your defense of him noted, 10 wins and a division title in 2010 is pretty decent with all the injuries — not to mention 16-1 in 2009 (2 losses at end dont count), so I'd give him another year — esp considering failure like Marv Lewis & others kept their jobs.

    Polian/Irsay are not going to fire him. They're afraid of the backlash (as if there'd be so much). Irsay, in particular, is an unsavory character, not mature enough to own/run an NFL team. Clueless. Emabrrassing.

    • Thanks AJ. I agree that Caldwell will not be replaced. In fact, I think there is little to no chance of it happening, in large part because Irsay/Polian will look at like you have here. And maybe that is right. I don't know. As I said in beginning, blogger sentiment shouldn't guide decision making. However, it seems to me that such thinking is myopic, and what Peyton Manning's greatness demands right now is decisive action that will improve the team and provide the best possible shot at maximizing his abilities over next 3-5 years. I think Caldwell has shown enough that we know he isn't the best answer to do that, and I just don't think the Colts have another season to "waste" simply because keeping Caldwell is the easy thing to do.

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  6. Let's point out a few other blunders that we can certainly attribute to the Caldwell's staff:

    1:31 into the game someone in the booth told Caldwell to challenge, while all of us watching the replay saw that it didn't hit Holmes. Even if it did hit Holmes I'm doubtful if the Colts would have been rewarded a fumble recovery since the play was blown dead.

    Remember the Super Bowl? Just before halftime Manning got the ball back with 3 timeouts and over a minute left. Caldwell kept a leash on him. Three runs and punt. Eerily similar last night, Manning got the ball back :45 left with 2 timeouts(because of Caldwell's challege)

    Special Teams: I was pulling my hair out watching these plays.
    Blair White lets a punt go into the endzone then scoops it up then grabs it and takes off. Thankfully, play was whistled dead. Still a bonehead move.
    Taj Smith going for a block, 5-minutes left and the Colts are losing, runs into the punter. Why is there a block on? Set up a return and get the ball back for Manning.
    :57 left in the game. Colts 16 Jets 14. The Jets have 2 timeouts. The Colts give up a 47 yard return. Where was the squib kick Caldwell? Don't put the ball into the hands of a return man.

    Caldwell doesn't call the defensive plays. Caldwell doesn't call the offensive plays. I am assuming he has no influence over the Special Teams either. But he IS the head coach and he can say squib it here or do not go for the block here.

    I am tired of seeing him on the sidelines looking confused, lost, and like he doesn't know whats going on.
    Give me a headset I can watch the game from the sideline just like him.

  7. JEFF FISHER

    I think it's time for Jeff to pull that Manning jersey out of the closet. Just think about it – there is no other coach that fits perfectly in everything that the Colts are looking for. And lets be honest – Fisher and the Titans have had a pretty rocky relationship as of late.

    • Wow, what an idea there. Perhaps those Fisher pictures with the Manning jerseys were foreshadowing???

      As intriguing an idea as that would be, Fisher will be back in Tennessee next year and I think he would much rather beat Manning than join him (though this could change if the chance was ever legitimately there).

    • I like the idea of Fisher and have been thinking of that myself. He's a man of good character that fits much better with the Colts than with the Titans.

    • If the Colts keep Caldwell I wouldn't be surprised if Peyton doesn't just abandon ship and go play for Jeff Fisher. They have great special teams, average defense, young talented WR's, decent offensive line and Chris Johnson. Most important they have a coach that knows how to manage/win ball games.
      This next contract will pretty much be for the remainder of his career.
      Do you really think he'll sit idly by while his team keeps this coach? I wouldn't blame Manning one bit.

      • I don't think that would ever happen. Peyton IS the Colts, so they'll give him whatever he wants financially, and he simply would never leave. His image is too important to him to ever be viewed as jumping ship. Plus, he's a loyal guy. He stayed at Tennessee (college) and he'll stay in Indy.

  8. Skip Collins says:

    GREAT article! Time for Caldwell to go and for management to step up and give Peyton the same support tha John Elway received in Denver!

  9. caldwell is a jets lover and a trader for the colts

  10. michael Williams says:

    Its ime for Caldwelll to GO! He has made the same mistake twice this season by calling a timeout in the final seconds to help the opponent. He is out of his league…he couldnt cut it at Wake Forest, so why does Irsay think he can make it in the NFL. If I made the same mistake at work twice in the same year that cost so much I would be fired. So Irsay PLEASE FIRE CALDWELL. Lets not waste the final third of Mannings career on a dud of a coach.

  11. Good article, but I would gladly trade you Norv Turner (rehired) for Caldwell. Under Norv's watchful eye, the Chargers fielded the worst special teams in the NFL Special teams alone kept the Chargers out of the play-offs although the team was decimated by injuries as were the Colts.

    • But here's the thing about Norv: he would actually give Manning something, as his brilliance in developing and coaching QBs is well known. Now, Norv has not proven he can lead a team to a Super Bowl, so it's probably a lateral move at best for the Colts, and perhaps even a negative because you lose the Caldwell continuity. But I bet Manning would become a better player. Whether or not the Colts would be better is the question. Tough to answer. Not enough of a slam dunk for me to say that he'd be better than Caldwell (though I suspect he would be).

  12. Very, very good article. I hope you are getting paid to write because you are better than most of the talking heads. BTW, I agree 100% that Clueless Caldwell needs to go and go now, before it is too late.

  13. jamesd123 says:

    Calwell is a simpleton and a fraud and should be fired. Colts will continue to go downhill and by next year it will be too late to clean up his mess. Fire him now!

  14. (Very insightful article) Here's my opinion for what it's worth.The man looks absolutely clueless on the sidelines I'm sorry to say and this is coming from a person that lives in the Boston area. I'm curious if Bill Belichick had made that same decision around here (not that he would mind ya) with the sports media and sports fans around here they would hang him out to dry. A coach is there to help a team not hinder it and all you have to watch is Peyton Mannings reaction to that call and I think it speaks for itself.

    • Thanks for the comment Joe. The think about Belichick making that same call is that he has more skins on the wall than Caldwell and has earned the benefit of the doubt. If Bill Belichick tells you the sky is purple, you have to believe him right now based on his history. If he does it over and over and the sky doesn't turn out to be purple, eventually he'll lose that credibility. Caldwell has never earned it. He took over the controls of an already well-oiled machine with his job description basically being: don't screw it up. From my vantage point very far removed from the team, it looks like he has screwed it up one too many times for it to be acceptable when you have Peyton Manning as your QB.

      • No problem Jerod….. but I have to say that well oiled machine is getting rustier as we speak and will get even worse I'm sorry to say if there's no one to grease the wheels once in awhile. Let me ask you this question Jerod how can a team play for a coach if they don't trust and respect his coaching ability in what seems to be the case here. Coach (Caldwell) was handed the job like you say and thats where the fault lies,if Jim Caldwell had to apply for that job like any other open coaching position at that time do you think he would have got it on his own merits and let me answer that….. no.The only way he's handed that job is with the help of Tony Dungy.In my opinion he's way over his head in this job and I think it's starting to show.This is just one person's opinion.

  15. Funny how now we are not able to speak what we feel…Peyton could not work under any type of coach, other then a "teddy-bear" passive coach like Brother Caldwell. What other coach would allow the QB to dismiss and change all his plans and desires at the line of scrimmage. Bellichet and most would not tolerate the primma-donner. You all know this. The Colts will never have an Alpha male coach until Manning is placed in check.

  16. This article is what I have been saying since Caldwell was "hired." It's absolutely the only thing I am not grateful for in Tony Dungy's time with the Colts. He was so desperate to make sure there was another African American head coach in the NFL that he pushed Caldwell on the Colts. There is no chance this should have happened. When you have an organization like the Colts, and a QB like Manning, you absolutely have to open up the interview process and make sure you get it right. I just can't help but feel like we are letting Manning's twilight days go to waste. I know given the right situation he can deliver another 1-2 Super Bowl titles. If they want to keep him next year because of the uncertainty, fine. But if he fails to deliver a Super Bowl next year he's gotta go. Remember the Chargers once fired Marty Schottenheimer for going 14-2 and losing in the playoffs. It's been done before. A regular season record should guarantee a coach nothing.

  17. Your article is outstanding with valid points, indeed. I agree that a coaching change would enhance the Colts' chances of maximizing the remaining years with Peyton Manning, who will likely break every major NFL passing record by the end of his illustrious career.

    However, I would be greatly shocked if Irsay and Polian pull the plug on Caldwell. I watched in total disbelief when the Colts were denied a chance at NFL immortality as the starters were pulled from the regular season game with the lead and still an spotless record . The psychological impact of that most egregious and arrogant move by Caldwell/Polian was splattered all over the psyche of even this year's team. For Irsay and Polian to fire Caldwell now would be an admission that they made a mistake last year in depriving their players — who primarily play the game, for crying out loud, TO WIN — the opportunity to capture an undefeated season. Polian and Caldwell have NEVER been able to be intellectually honest with anyone about the err of their ways in that move last season. Unless Irsay can show some true independent leadership — he is the team's owner and one would think wants the best for his team — and resist the dictatorial ways of Polian, I don't see Caldwell being canned.

    I wondered after Peyton and his mates had that opportunity for football immortality yanked from them last season — by their own management, no less — that Manning might some day insist that he be promised such a stunt would never be pulled on him and his team again. Now with his contract negotiations soon to be fully under way, I truly hope he insists on such philosophical and strategic changes — even asking for a new head coach. We can only hope as Colts' fans, huh?

    Thanks for the intriguing post. I look forward to reading more of your material.

    • Thank you for the comment. Well said. There is no way Irsay and Polian get rid of Caldwell. I don't even think they'll consider it. And while Irsay has some positives as an owner – namely, that he doesn't meddle – it also means that Polian holds all the cards in Indy, and he is not living up to his rep these last few years. They are all failing Manning, who is a prodigy, a genius, and a savant…but how still needs leadership above him; at the very least, he needs a confidant that he respects and who can challenge him. He has not had that, and it's limiting his potential. He wants to do it all, but that does not maximize his talents.

  18. I like how you compared Brady and Belichick and montana and walsh. Caldwell is not in the picture in terms of that relationship. I see saturday and manning or clark and manning as more of a relationship. It leaves alot to the imagination of also what peyton is thinking with all the decisions caldwell has made during the season. I do agree with some of the others in that peyton might be different with another head coach who is more controlling but you also have to remember that good coaches bring out the best in their players. All I have seen since dungy left is a man on the sidelines looking like he would rather be fishing than coaching. Peyton is the one getting on players butts, peyton is the one taking responsibility for the losses, peyton is the reason they win a portion of there games. Where is caldwell at post game saying anything more than mumbling into the mic. Another big problem is that if your waiting for the colts to start having losing records to fire caldwell then you will have to wait for peyton to retire because peyton is a winner and hes going to be winning as much as he can as long as he can.

    • VERY well said. This is why Caldwell's won/lost record will never be a good measurement of him. Peyton will win games for Colts based on his talent and will. The question is: do you have a coach who is maximizing Peyton's talents and that of the roster? I say no, despite 24-8.

  19. mr. football says:

    I 100% agree with this article. The way you wrote it is exactly what i have been thinking!! We can do better at the coaching position and we dont have the time to "see" if caldwell is gonna work. I myself would like to go after jeff fisher. But any of the 3 you listed would be better than what we have. Jim caldwell…nice guy,very knowledgable, not a coach!

    • Thank you for the visit and comment. And yes, Caldwell seems like a kind and decent man, and a very good guy to have on a successful coaching staff. But he is NOT a head coach. One look at Peyton's face last night showed that. Tom Brady would NEVER make that face, even if he disagreed with Bill Belichick. They are always on the same page.

  20. Caldwell seriously needs to go. He is an embarassment to the organization and a completely inadequate head coach. By keeping Caldwell the Colts and Manning can kiss any chance of another super bowl good-bye. He has no idea what he is doing and should have never been hired in the 1st place. Let's face it, he was hired because of Dungy and he's black, thats it! Irsay and Polian are doing a disservice to the fans for keeping this moron and making us wallow in mediocrity.

    • I will also note that he was Peyton Manning's QB coach and there is something to be said for continuity, as the team proved by winning 14 straight last year. It's been for the most part downhill since the decision to rest the starters though, and at some continuity has to give way to making sure you have the best man for the job.

      • Yes they did win 14 and how many times have we seen a new coach take a team to the SB because of a previous coach building that team. Decisions made this year on the field and in the admin have put this team into this situation. I love watching colts football, and when I mean colts football I mean peyton throwing for 4+ tds and mathis and freeney tearing up the opposing QB. To me that is colts football, and it has been something I was waiting to see all this season and never got to. As a little league baseball coach I always help the kids with 3 things that I believe are majorly important as a coach.Those are to provide direction, purpose and motivation. Watching caldwell and hearing his press conferences I feel as though he is missing out on some basic coaching skills needed to coach any type of team, much less a pro football team.

  21. Some of you guys are so ignorant, did u guys ever notice that we have the worst o line in the NFL mannings last play of the game was an incomplete pass to Blaire White was incomplete because he threw it on the ground, and if our o line was better he wouldn't have to roll out. I'm a colts fan but I realize we need to stop making excuses for making he sucks under pressure and has his whole career. I hear people saying why did caldwell call a pass play? Hw doesn't call the plays and manning had the last say anyways and he decided to throw the ball, it wouldent have mattered though because the jets would have called a timeout anyway. Caldwells timeout wasent even that ban anyway considering we needed to let are d line Catch their breath as well as trying to organize are two undrafted corners one in their first year and the other in their second. We also had. A safety in who was like 5th string andundrafted rookie.

    • Running on our final drive (3rd and 6) forces JETS to call their LAST time out. Fast forward to 2nd down for the Jets, clock ticking, down to 29 seconds, not sure Caldwell calls time out there. Jets were NOT moving fast at that point, but with no timeouts left, Sanchez MOST LIKELY gets to the line more quickly and RUNS a play, exactly what Caldwell wanted for them to do. If they pass-it would be a quick out to the sideline. If they pass incomplete, clock stops regardless. If they spike, clock stops. If they run there, clock is still running, it's third down, what do you do? You probably run your FG unit out there, or you spike the ball on third down, in order to then run your FG unit out. Either way, it is a harried situation allowing for more opportunity to screw it up. So, in hindsight, the best play was for the Colts to run on that third down to leave the Jets with ZERO timeouts once they got the ball back. This is how the COLTS have ended games in the past. You want them to pass for the first, but they run, forcing time outs.

  22. Excuses for manning*

  23. injuries do not excuse stupid decisions by Caldwell, he has done this twice in one season, please fire him before Peyton's career is over. Few teams have the opportunity the colts have to make it to the super bowl and win, Jim Caldwell only hurts the chance to win the close games.

  24. EXCELLENT ANALYSIS!!!!!! There are many articles & blogs on this topic but I believe this is the most thorough one I've seen.
    I agree with everything you said except I would like to clarify one point.
    You stated that"…in one of the few situations during his Colts tenure when he has been on point to make a really important decision that could decide the outcome of a game. And he failed spectacularly."
    I don't even see this as an opportunity for the head coach to make an important decision.
    ALL JIM CALDWELL HAD TO DO WAS NOTHING.
    Do nothing & make a young, inconsistent kicker make a 45-50 yard FG on the road with the game on his shoulders. Apparently, Caldwell cannot even differentiate between Adam Vinatieri & Nick Folk. AV is the greatest clutch kicker ever & has been kicking better than ever this season– I knew he would make his 50-yarder. Folk has never been under that kind of pressure before, is 5 of 11 beyond 40 this season & made only one 40+ FG since week 6– I'd say 50-50 chance of connecting from 45 & out.
    Still haven't seen Folk's kick cuz I walked immediately after Caldwell called timeout. Game over.

  25. PMbestever says:

    PM and the Colts will not win another SB with Caldwell wearing the headcoach headset. Highschool coaches make more halftime adjustments and in-game strategic changes than the meek Caldwell. Is he a stand-up guy with a demeanor that exudes kindness? Yes, which is exactly what I want in grand father or after-school volunteer. NOT MY HEADCOACH! PM has a few years left, but needs a headcoach that will bring a winner's attitude and mental toughness to this team. This team is very forgiving and tolerates incompetence- a reflection of the coach. Some say that PM would not tolerate a strong minded HC. Think again. PM only wants one thing and that is another SB ring. They had their chance last year and this year they could have advanced at least one game in the playoffs with a chance against the Steelers. PM is not so proud that he would not subjigate his pride to the increased possibility of winning another SB under a strong HC. (Gruden or Cowher: I'd take either).

  26. Very well written. I couldn't agree more right down to who should replace him! Get him out before he does any more damage.

  27. Topper Harley says:

    The Colts will only go south until Caldwell is outta there. He needs to go. I stopped being a Colts fan because of this. It is too frustrating and too obvious to see what needs to happen, and Polian lost my respect the previous year when he sat his starters and was afraid to pursue a perfect season. That decision left an indelible stamp of cowardice on this team that still hangs over the players like a miasma, and it shows every time they get involved in a big game. In fact, it must be something integral of Polian himself–an ability to be very good, but a fear of ever being great–that rubbed off on this team years ago, because even years ago they were like this in big games. I'll say more: Until Caldwell is gone, and also until POLIAN himself is gone, the Colts are dead to me.

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    In December of 2017, Donald Trump made history by recognizing Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. Why is this big news? Because by this the Jewish people of Israel are now able to press forward in bringing about the Third Temple prophesied in the Bible.

    Jewish Rabbis have publicly announced that their Messiah will be revealed in the coming years who will be a leader and spiritual guide to all nations, gathering all religions under the worship of one God.

    Biblical prophecy tells us that this Jewish Messiah who will take the stage will be the antichrist “who opposes and exalts himself above all that is called God or that is worshiped, so that he sits as God in the temple of God, showing himself that he is God” (2 Thessalonians 2:4). For a time he will bring about a false peace, but “Therefore when you see the ‘abomination of desolation,’ spoken of by Daniel the prophet, standing in the holy place (Matthew 24:15)…then there will be great tribulation, such as has not been since the beginning of the world until this time, no, nor ever shall be” (Matthew 24:21).

    More importantly, the power that runs the world wants to put a RFID microchip in our body making us total slaves to them. This chip matches perfectly with the Mark of the Beast in the Bible, more specifically in Revelation 13:16-18:

    “He causes all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on their right hand or on their foreheads, and that no one may buy or sell except one who has the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his name.

    Here is wisdom. Let him who has understanding calculate the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man: His number is 666.”

    Referring to the last days, this could only be speaking of a cashless society, which we have yet to see, but are heading towards. Otherwise, we could still buy or sell without the mark amongst others if physical money was still currency. This Mark couldn’t be spiritual because the word references two different physical locations. If it was spiritual it would just say in the forehead. RFID microchip implant technology will be the future of a one world cashless society containing digital currency. It will be implanted in the right-hand or the forehead, and we cannot buy or sell without it. Revelation 13:11-18 tells us that a false prophet will arise on the world scene doing miracles before men, deceiving them to receive this Mark. Do not be deceived! We must grow strong in Jesus. AT ALL COSTS, DO NOT TAKE IT!

    “Then a third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, “If anyone worships the beast and his image, and receives his mark on his forehead or on his hand, he himself shall also drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out full strength into the cup of His indignation. He shall be tormented with fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels and in the presence of the Lamb. And the smoke of their torment ascends forever and ever; and they have no rest day or night, who worship the beast and his image, and whoever receives the mark of his name” (Revelation 14:9-11).

    People have been saying the end is coming for many years, but we needed two key things. One, the Third Temple, and two, the technology for a cashless society to fulfill the prophecy of the Mark of the Beast.

    Visit http://WWW.BIBLEFREEDOM.COM to see proof for these things and why the Bible truly is the word of God!

    If you haven’t already, it is time to seek God with all your heart. Jesus loves you more than you could imagine. He wants to have a relationship with you and redeem you from your sins. Turn to Him and repent while there is still hope! This is forever…God bless!

    “EITHER HUMAN INTELLIGENCE ULTIMATELY OWES ITS ORIGIN TO MINDLESS MATTER OR THERE IS A CREATOR…” – JOHN LENNOX

    We all know God exists. Why? Because without Him, we couldn’t prove anything at all. Do we live our lives as if we cannot know anything? No. So why is God necessary? In order to know anything for certain, you would have to know everything, or have revelation from somebody who does. Who is capable of knowing everything? God. So to know anything, you would have to be God, or know God.

    A worldview without God cannot account for the uniformity and intelligibility of nature. And why is it that we can even reason that God is the best explanation for this if there is no God? We are given reason to know or reject God, but never to know that He does not exist.

    It has been calculated by Roger Penrose that the odds of the initial conditions for the big bang to produce the universe that we see to be a number so big, that we could put a zero on every particle in the universe, and even that would not be enough to use every zero. What are the odds that God created the universe? Odds are no such thing. Who of you would gamble your life on one coin flip?

    Is there evidence that the Bible is the truth? Yes. Did you know that the creation accounts listed in the book of Genesis are not only all correct, but are also in the correct chronological order? That the Bible doesn’t say the Earth was formed in six 24-hour days but rather six long but finite periods of time? That the Bible makes 10 times more creation claims than all major “holy” books combined with no contradictions, while these other books have errors in them? The Bible stood alone by concurring with the big bang saying, “In the beginning God created the heaven and the earth” (Genesis 1:1); and says our universe is expanding, thousands of years before scientists discovered these things. Watch a potential life-changing video on the website listed below with Astronomer(PhD) Hugh Ross explaining all these facts based on published scientific data. He has authored many books, backed even by atheist scientists.

    Jesus came to pay a debt that we could not; to be our legal justifier to reconcile us back to a Holy God; only if we are willing to receive Him: “For the wages of sin is death…” (Romans 6:23).

    God so loved the world that He gave us His only begotten son, so that whoever believes in Him, through faith, shall not perish, but have everlasting life. Jesus says if we wish to enter into life to keep the commands! The two greatest commands are to love God with all your heart, soul, strength, and mind; and your neighbor as yourself. All the law hang on these commands. We must be born of and lead by the Holy Spirit, to be called children of God, to inherit the kingdom. If we are willing to humble ourselves in prayer to Jesus, to confess and forsake our sins, He is willing to give the Holy Spirit to those who keep asking of Him; giving us a new heart, leading us into all truth!

    Jesus came to free us from the bondage of sin. The everlasting fire was prepared for the devil and his angels due to disobedience to God’s law. If we do the same, what makes us any different than the devil? Jesus says unless we repent, we shall perish. For sin is the transgression of the law. We must walk in the Spirit so we may not fulfill the lusts of the flesh, being hatred, fornication, drunkenness and the like. Whoever practices such things will not inherit the kingdom (Galatians 5:16-26). If we sin, we may come before Jesus to ask for forgiveness (1 John 2:1-2). Evil thoughts are not sins, but rather temptations. It is not until these thoughts conceive and give birth by our own desires that they become sin (James 1:12-15). When we sin, we become in the likeness of the devil’s image, for he who sins is of the devil (1 John 3:8); but if we obey Jesus, in the image of God. For without holiness, we shall not see the Lord (Hebrews 12:14).

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    In December of 2017, Donald Trump made history by recognizing Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. Why is this big news? Because by this the Jewish people of Israel are now able to press forward in bringing about the Third Temple prophesied in the Bible.

    Jewish Rabbis have publicly announced that their Messiah will be revealed in the coming years who will be a leader and spiritual guide to all nations, gathering all religions under the worship of one God.

    Biblical prophecy tells us that this Jewish Messiah who will take the stage will be the antichrist “who opposes and exalts himself above all that is called God or that is worshiped, so that he sits as God in the temple of God, showing himself that he is God” (2 Thessalonians 2:4). For a time he will bring about a false peace, but “Therefore when you see the ‘abomination of desolation,’ spoken of by Daniel the prophet, standing in the holy place (Matthew 24:15)…then there will be great tribulation, such as has not been since the beginning of the world until this time, no, nor ever shall be” (Matthew 24:21).

    More importantly, the power that runs the world wants to put a RFID microchip in our body making us total slaves to them. This chip matches perfectly with the Mark of the Beast in the Bible, more specifically in Revelation 13:16-18:

    “He causes all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on their right hand or on their foreheads, and that no one may buy or sell except one who has the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his name.

    Here is wisdom. Let him who has understanding calculate the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man: His number is 666.”

    Referring to the last days, this could only be speaking of a cashless society, which we have yet to see, but are heading towards. Otherwise, we could still buy or sell without the mark amongst others if physical money was still currency. This Mark couldn’t be spiritual because the word references two different physical locations. If it was spiritual it would just say in the forehead. RFID microchip implant technology will be the future of a one world cashless society containing digital currency. It will be implanted in the right-hand or the forehead, and we cannot buy or sell without it. Revelation 13:11-18 tells us that a false prophet will arise on the world scene doing miracles before men, deceiving them to receive this Mark. Do not be deceived! We must grow strong in Jesus. AT ALL COSTS, DO NOT TAKE IT!

    “Then a third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, “If anyone worships the beast and his image, and receives his mark on his forehead or on his hand, he himself shall also drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out full strength into the cup of His indignation. He shall be tormented with fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels and in the presence of the Lamb. And the smoke of their torment ascends forever and ever; and they have no rest day or night, who worship the beast and his image, and whoever receives the mark of his name” (Revelation 14:9-11).

    People have been saying the end is coming for many years, but we needed two key things. One, the Third Temple, and two, the technology for a cashless society to fulfill the prophecy of the Mark of the Beast.

    Visit http://WWW.BIBLEFREEDOM.COM to see proof for these things and why the Bible truly is the word of God!

    If you haven’t already, it is time to seek God with all your heart. Jesus loves you more than you could imagine. He wants to have a relationship with you and redeem you from your sins. Turn to Him and repent while there is still hope! This is forever…God bless!

    “EITHER HUMAN INTELLIGENCE ULTIMATELY OWES ITS ORIGIN TO MINDLESS MATTER OR THERE IS A CREATOR…” – JOHN LENNOX

    We all know God exists. Why? Because without Him, we couldn’t prove anything at all. Do we live our lives as if we cannot know anything? No. So why is God necessary? In order to know anything for certain, you would have to know everything, or have revelation from somebody who does. Who is capable of knowing everything? God. So to know anything, you would have to be God, or know God.

    A worldview without God cannot account for the uniformity and intelligibility of nature. And why is it that we can even reason that God is the best explanation for this if there is no God? We are given reason to know or reject God, but never to know that He does not exist.

    It has been calculated by Roger Penrose that the odds of the initial conditions for the big bang to produce the universe that we see to be a number so big, that we could put a zero on every particle in the universe, and even that would not be enough to use every zero. What are the odds that God created the universe? Odds are no such thing. Who of you would gamble your life on one coin flip?

    Is there evidence that the Bible is the truth? Yes. Did you know that the creation accounts listed in the book of Genesis are not only all correct, but are also in the correct chronological order? That the Bible doesn’t say the Earth was formed in six 24-hour days but rather six long but finite periods of time? That the Bible makes 10 times more creation claims than all major “holy” books combined with no contradictions, while these other books have errors in them? The Bible stood alone by concurring with the big bang saying, “In the beginning God created the heaven and the earth” (Genesis 1:1); and says our universe is expanding, thousands of years before scientists discovered these things. Watch a potential life-changing video on the website listed below with Astronomer(PhD) Hugh Ross explaining all these facts based on published scientific data. He has authored many books, backed even by atheist scientists.

    Jesus came to pay a debt that we could not; to be our legal justifier to reconcile us back to a Holy God; only if we are willing to receive Him: “For the wages of sin is death…” (Romans 6:23).

    God so loved the world that He gave us His only begotten son, so that whoever believes in Him, through faith, shall not perish, but have everlasting life. Jesus says if we wish to enter into life to keep the commands! The two greatest commands are to love God with all your heart, soul, strength, and mind; and your neighbor as yourself. All the law hang on these commands. We must be born of and lead by the Holy Spirit, to be called children of God, to inherit the kingdom. If we are willing to humble ourselves in prayer to Jesus, to confess and forsake our sins, He is willing to give the Holy Spirit to those who keep asking of Him; giving us a new heart, leading us into all truth!

    Jesus came to free us from the bondage of sin. The everlasting fire was prepared for the devil and his angels due to disobedience to God’s law. If we do the same, what makes us any different than the devil? Jesus says unless we repent, we shall perish. For sin is the transgression of the law. We must walk in the Spirit so we may not fulfill the lusts of the flesh, being hatred, fornication, drunkenness and the like. Whoever practices such things will not inherit the kingdom (Galatians 5:16-26). If we sin, we may come before Jesus to ask for forgiveness (1 John 2:1-2). Evil thoughts are not sins, but rather temptations. It is not until these thoughts conceive and give birth by our own desires that they become sin (James 1:12-15). When we sin, we become in the likeness of the devil’s image, for he who sins is of the devil (1 John 3:8); but if we obey Jesus, in the image of God. For without holiness, we shall not see the Lord (Hebrews 12:14).

    The oldest religion in the world is holiness through faith (James 1:27). What religion did Adam and Eve follow before the fall? Jesus, Who became the last Adam, what religion does He follow? Is He not holy? He never told us to follow the rituals and traditions of man but to take up our cross and follow Him (Luke 9:23). There are many false doctrines being taught leading people astray. This is why we need the Holy Spirit for discernment. Unlike religion, holiness cannot be created. It is given to us from above by the baptism of the Spirit. Jesus is more than a religion; He is about having a personal relationship with the Father. Start by reading the Gospel of Matthew, to hear the words of God, to know His character and commandments. Follow and obey Jesus, for He is the way, the truth, and the life!

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