Tonight the college football season ends in Pasadena, California and a new national champion will be crowned.
Although Boise State can reasonably hold its undefeated record up as evidence that it deserves to be in the championship conversation, all that really matters is what happens on the field tonight between two old-school college football powerhouses: Alabama and Texas.
The Alabama Crimson Tide boast Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram and a man at the helm, Nick Saban, who is on his way to building one of the most impressive college football coaching resumes ever.
The underdog Texas Longhorns feature college football’s all-time winningest quarterback in Colt McCoy, as well as the knowledge that their own very program recently authored a BCS championship game upset against a heavily favored opponent.
Yep…regardless of who you’re rooting for, or if you even have a specific rooting interest at all, if you like college football even one iota, this is going to be a good one.
Here are the particulars for tonight’s BCS National Championship Game (presented by Citi!):
BCS National Championship Game: Alabama v Texas
- BCS Championship Game Alabama-Texas TV: ABC
- BCS Championship Game Alabama-Texas Kickoff Time: 8:30 PM ET
- BCS Championship Game Alabama-Texas Announcers: Brent Musburger and Kirk Herbstreit
- BCS Championship Game Alabama-Texas Location: Pasadena, CA
- BCS Championship Game Alabama-Texas Spread: Alabama -4
- BCS Championship Game Alabama-Texas Over-Under: 46
- Official Website: BCS Championship Game
The initial point spread for the Alabama-Texas game was Alabama -5. Seeing as how it is now -4, that tells you that a lot of bettors have been putting their money on the Longhorns. If you watched the two teams play in their respective conference championship games – Alabama spanked Florida while Texas almost blew a close lead to Nebraska – you might wonder how anyone in their right mind could be betting on Texas.
I think there are a couple of objective reasons why Texas could very well defeat the odds and win this game, or at the very least keep it very close.
First, you can’t discount the importance of experience at the QB position. As mentioned above, no QB in college football history has more winning experience than Colt McCoy. Even though the Longhorns’ offense has struggled at times this year, McCoy’s experience is important.
Secondly, we’ve seen all too often how BCS favorites often do not live up to the hype in the big game, especially when the Heisman Trophy winner happens to be on their sideline. A prime example is USC and Reggie Bush in 2005, when they were defeated by Texas and Vince Young. A lot of people have been bringing that game up over the last few weeks and it’s a valid comparison in some ways, though certainly not all.
There are all kinds of stats that could be crunched, matchups that could be analyzed, and objective reasons to choose one team or the other in this game. Ultimately though, a lot of those things usually end up not mattering in college football championship games, especially when there has been such a long layoff for both teams between their last game and when they take the field tonight.
Something that we often see in bowl games is teams struggling a bit with the rhythm of their passing game. The long layoff cited above is a primary reason why this can happen. Considering how shaky Colt McCoy looked against Nebraska, and how long it’s been since he’s dropped back at game speed, I’m concerned that the Texas offense could end up being hamstrung unless they can run the ball better than they’ve showed.
Alabama, on the other hand, relies on their running game. I know all about the Heisman jinx in BCS games, but the ‘Bama running game is more than Mark Ingram. Even if he struggles, I think they have a better shot to move the ball on the ground than Texas does, which is why I feel safer picking the Crimson Tide to win.
As for the spread, I’ll go with Texas there. I have too much respect for Colt McCoy and Mack Brown to think they won’t be able to keep it close. I think we’re in for an epic matchup tonight, one that will be decided by a field goal, and ultimately I think that extra tally ends up on the side of Alabama.
BCS National Championship Game Alabama-Texas spread pick: Texas +4
BCS National Championship Game Alabama-Texas prediction: Alabama 24 | Texas 21
What do you think?
Who will win tonight's BCS National Championship Game between Alabama and Texas?
- Alabama (62%, 195 Votes)
- Texas (38%, 120 Votes)
Total Voters: 315
* – Nick Saban photo credit: Derick Hingle/Icon SM via SI.com