Fantasy Football Week 14 Start Em, Sit Em Lineup Advice and Projections

The Week 17 start em, sit em lineup advice post is up.

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The long and winding road of the fantasy football season is now entering its stretch run, with many leagues beginning their playoffs this week or entering their final week of jockeying before the playoffs kick off in Week 16.

And I’m flying high right now after a 5-1 weekend improved my positioning in each of the leagues for which the playoffs is still a possibility for me. Hopefully you all had just as fruitful a Week 13 and are now coming to this post seeking advice to continue your runs to the championship.

As the stakes continue to rise, lets dig into the numbers and matchups to unearth the guys you should start and the guys you sit for Week 14.

Here is a quick review of last week’s picks, which was easily my most successful of the week. Nine out of ten!:

  • Start ‘em hits: Aaron Rodgers, GB; Rashard Mendenhall, PIT; Chad Ochocinco, CIN; Cincinnati Bengals D/ST
  • Start ‘em misses: Greg Olsen, CHI
  • Sit ‘em hits: Eli Manning, NYG; Beanie Wells, AZ; Terrell Owens, BUF; Kevin Boss, NYG; New York Giants D/ST
  • Sit ‘em misses:

And before we get into this week’s start em, sit em picks, here is a quick note from our sponsor, Sadler’s Smokehouse.

fantasy football week 13 start em, sit em lineup advice, projections: aaron rodgers, eli manning, mendenhall, beanie wells, ochocinco, terrell owens, greg olsen, kevin bossCertain content on MSF is sponsored by Sadler’s Smokehouse, a producer of premium pit smoked meats that are best described by Sadler’s slogan: Legendary since 1948.

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Fantasy Football

Week 14 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Lineup Advice

Week 14 Start ‘em, Sit ‘em Picks: Quarterbacks

Start ‘Em – Matt Schaub, HOU (vs Seattle)

You have to like Schaub this week. Seattle is not very good against the pass (25th in the NFL) and has not played well on the road all season long. Plus, Schaub typically saves his best performances for home games against subpar competition. Here you go!

Matt Schaub Week 14 fantasy projection: 275 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs

Update: Matt Schaub reportedly dislocated his shoulder during last week’s game, although he did return to play. I still like him this week, but you’ll want to track his injury status throughout the week.

Other start ‘em QBs for Week 14:

  • Kurt Warner should light up San Francisco’s suspect pass D.
  • Donovan McNabb is a nice start against a Giants’ secondary giving up big plays to everyone as of late.
  • David Garrard is at home and faces Miami’s 24th ranked pass D. That’s a good combo.

fantasy football week 14 start em, sit em lineup advice and projections - schaub, favre, charles, benson, crabtree, bryantSit ‘Em – Brett Favre, MIN (vs Cincinnati)

What? How can you sit Brett Favre? (I know you’re thinking this.)

And while you may look at it as an overreaction to one bad start (2 TDs, 2 INTs in the Vikings’ Week 13 loss to Arizona), I look at it not wanting to take any chances in such an important week.

We all know that Favre struggled down the stretch last year. Sure, much of that was because of injury and Favre has shown no signs of any health problems yet this season. Still, after stringing together so many good games in a row against subpar defenses (Detroit, Seattle, Chicago in Weeks 10-13) Favre struggled when he finally faced a good defense.

And guess what: Cincinnati has a good defense.

The Bengals are 12th in passing yards allowed but have given up only 13 TD passes all season, while intercepting 14 passes. Additionally, the Bengals are only allowing 15.6 yards per game.

If you don’t have a good alternative, you have to go with Favre because he’s brought you this far. But, as a for instance, if I had David Garrard this week I would think long and hard about starting him over Brett.

Brett Favre Week 14 fantasy projection: 240 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT

Other sit ‘em QBs for Week 14:

  • I’m not saying you should sit him, but at least temper your expectations for Peyton Manning this week. Denver is in town and they are very adept at containing opposing passing attacks.
  • Jay Cutler needs to hit your bench. Green Bay has a play-making secondary, which could lead to 3-4 picks for Cutler.
  • I’m still sitting Eli Manning until he shows me something positive. 11-25 against Dallas? Yuk.

Week 14 Start ‘em, Sit ‘em Picks: Running Backs

Start ‘Em – Jamaal Charles, Kansas City (vs Buffalo)

I love Jamaal Charles this week. Not only has this guy scored a TD in four straight weeks and become an absolute godsend for many fantasy owners (like me!), but he has a terrific matchup this weekend against a Buffalo Bills’ defense that would probably give up 100 yards rushing to me.

Buffalo is dead last in the NFL, giving up 172.1 yards rushing per game. They have also surrendered 16 rushing touchdowns.

Start Charles and enjoy his awesome Week 14 production.

Jamaal Charles Week 14 fantasy projection: 115 yards rushing, 3 rec, 25 yards, 1 TD

Other start ‘em RBs for Week 14:

  • After scoring two TDs last week, and with the Colts facing a Denver D that will force them to run the ball this week, I’d get Joseph Addai in your lineup.
  • Thomas Jones is a great start this week with Tampa Bay’s terrible run D on the schedule.
  • I like Rock Cartwright this week too. He’s had at least 13 carries in three straight games to go along with 13 receptions over that same stretch. Oakland’s D is prone to giving up big days to running backs.

Sit ‘Em – Cedric Benson, Cincinnati (at Minnesota)

The redemption of Cedric Benson has been one of the biggest stories of the year in fantasy football and the NFL. However, look at the numbers and this week does not look like an optimal to be starting Cedric:

  • His yards per carry averages over the last three games in which he has played: 3.4, 3.1, 3.1 (spanning 77 carries)
  • Benson has only one TD over his last three games
  • In the last three games in which he has been healthy (so not counting Week 10 when he got hurt) Benson has rushed the ball 37, 34, and 36 times.
  • This week, the Bengals face a Minnesota defense that gives up 84 yards rushing per game and has allowed only three rushing TDs.

You may have to start Benson if you don’t have two or three other running backs who get 20-25 carries per game. However, in shallower leagues or on rosters with lots of RB depth, there will be plenty of options better than Benson in Week 14. And remember that Benson does not help you with receptions.

Cedric Benson Week 14 fantasy projection: 25 carries, 79 yards, 0 TDs

Other sit ‘em RBs for Week 14:

  • Jerome Harrison is a guy I’ve touted forever, and he came through with a solid game last week, but I don’t trust him nor the Browns’ offense yet. Plus, having an angry Pittsburgh on the schedule probably isn’t conducive to RB productivity. If you’re in a PPR league, however, Harrison does have some value.
  • Kevin Smith scored a TD last week, but Baltimore is still pretty stingy against the run.
  • Felix Jones needs to remain on your bench. I am an idiot and keep starting him in leagues, thinking he’ll break out, and he never does. Luckily, I’ve been weather the lost production and still win most weeks. Don’t make the same dumb mistake yourself just because you thought Jones was a nice sleeper heading into the year. Like some people…(me!)

Week 14 Start ‘em, Sit ‘em Picks: Wide Receivers

fantasy football week 14 start em, sit em lineup advice and projections - schaub, favre, charles, benson, crabtree, bryantStart ‘Em: Michael Crabtree, San Francisco 49ers (vs Arizona)

I can’t believe I’m doing this, but I am.

Despite my aversion to rookie WRs, I am recommending that you start Michael Crabtree. This is why:

  • Crabtree has been remarkably consistent and productive for a rookie WR since ending his holdout. He has not caught less than three passes in a game, and that happened only once. He has caught four passes in three out of his seven starts, five in one start, and six in two of them. He has also had 50+ receiving yards in all but two of his starts.
  • And he has proven that he can get into the end zone, scoring once in Week 11 against Green Bay.
  • Arizona is the matchup this week, on Monday night, and the Cardinals are 30th in the NFL against the pass. They have also given up 18 passing TDs. In a game that will probably be high-scoring, because SF won’t be able to stop Arizona’s passing game, Crabtree could see a lot of targets.
  • And like Braylon Edwards, Crabtree is a guy who is all about the spotlight. He came up big in big games in college, and this is the biggest stage he’s been on in the NFL. I think he’ll respond.

So while it pains me to do this in many ways, I am now making it official and saying something I never thought I’d say this season: start Michael Crabtree.

Michael Crabtree Week 14 fantasy projection: 5 rec, 75 yards, TD

Other start ‘em WRs for Week 14:

  • Derrick Mason is a good start with Detroit on the schedule this week.
  • Hines Ward is banged up, but Pittsburgh will be able to throw the ball against Cleveland. Santonio Holmes could emerge as Big Ben’s #1 target if Ward can’t go.
  • How do you not start Robert Meachem at this point? He has scored five TDs in his last four games, despite having reception totals as follows: 1, 2, 5, 8; but hey, at least it’s trending upwards!

Sit ‘Em: Antonio Bryant, Tampa Bay (vs New York Jets)

Antonio Bryant has had 91 and 116 receiving yards over his last two games, but I think his late season re-emergence among the top fantasy wideouts is temporarily put on hold this week. Why? Two words:

Darelle Revis.

Revis leads the Jets’ top ranked pass defense and has been shutting down every WR he’s faced this week. And with Tampa Bay having a rookie at QB, I just don’t see how the Bucs mount any type of consistent passing attack this week. If they do, it will most likely be to people other than Bryant, who I’m sure will draw most of Revis’ attention.

Antonio Bryant Week 14 fantasy projection: 3 rec, 35 yards

Other sit ‘em WRs for Week 14:

  • Chris Chambers’ faces Buffalo’s very stout pass D this week and also is dealing with inconsistency at the QB position.
  • Santana Moss has caught 14 passes over the last three weeks, but he hasn’t eclipsed 68 yards and has only one TD in that span. This week he gets to face Oakland and Nnamdi Asoumuga. I’d stay away.
  • Mohammed Massaquoi caught a TD for the Browns last week, is the team’s #1 target in the passing game, and faces a Pittsburgh pass defense that is struggling…but I still won’t recommend him. The Browns’ offense has just been too inconsistent this year.

Week 14 Start ‘em, Sit ‘em Picks: Tight Ends

Start ‘Em: Heath Miller, Pittsburgh (at Cleveland)

The Browns have been giving up a lot of passing yards to opposing tight ends this season and Miller may be a bigger part of the Steelers’ gameplan than usual with Hines Ward out. He’s a very solid start.

Heath Miller Week 14 fantasy projection: 5 rec, 60 yards, TD

Other start ‘em TEs for Week 14:

  • Fred Davis caught another TD last week and continues to fill in nicely for Chris Cooley in Washington.
  • Jermichael Finley is back and caught two TDs against Baltimore on Monday night. He’s a good play against Chicago.

Sit ‘Em: Zach Miller, Oakland (vs Washington)

Zach Miller has certainly been helped out by Bruce Gradkowski’s emergence as a quality QB in Oakland. The Redskins have a pretty good defense though and I think they will be able to keep Miller out of the end zone. He’s not a bad play in a PPR league, because he’ll likely get 4-5 catches, but I don’t see a TD on the horizon.

Zach Miller Week 14 fantasy projection: 4 rec, 40 yards

Other sit ‘em TEs for Week 14:

  • John Carlson has caught four passes over his last three games. Keep him benched or release him.
  • Jeremy Shockey has 10 catches over his last four games and no touchdowns. See John Carlson.

Week 14 Start ‘em, Sit ‘em Picks: Defense / Special Teams Units

Start ‘Em: Baltimore Ravens D/ST (vs Detroit) and Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST (at Cleveland)

It has not been the greatest of seasons for two AFC North defensive units that are typically week-in, week-out stalwarts for fantasy owners. However, things are looking good for owners of the Ravens and Steelers this week, as they face two of the most inept offenses in the NFL in Week 14.

I know that Cleveland has been doing better lately on offense, but I still see Pittsburgh having some success in getting sacks and forcing turnovers. Plus, Cleveland will still struggle to get 20+ points, which will help out of the Steelers’ value.

In Baltimore, facing a turnover-prone rookie is always a good thing. Add to that the fact that Detroit doesn’t really have a running game, and it adds up to what should be a pretty solid day.

Pittsburgh D/ST Week 14 fantasy projection: 14 pts or less, 3 sacks, 2 TOs

Baltimore D/ST Week 14 fantasy projection: 14 pts or less, 3 sacks, 3 TOs

Other start ‘em D/ST units for Week 14:

  • The Jets have an outstanding matchup against INT-machine Josh Freeman and the Bucs.
  • Green Bay’s play-making secondary is a nice play against Jay Cutler and the Bears.

Sit ‘Em: Denver Broncos D/ST (at Indianapolis)

Denver may very well slow down Peyton Manning and even get an INT or two against him, but I still wouldn’t want to entrust my D/ST spot to a defense going up against the greatest QB of our generation. Not in Week 14. Look elsewhere.

Denver Broncos D/ST Week 14 fantasy projection: 24 pts or more, 1 sack, 1 TO

Other sit ‘em D/ST units for Week 14:

  • I have a feeling the Giants-Eagles game will be high scoring on Sunday night. Just a hunch.
  • Dallas’ D is facing the red-hot Philip Rivers and San Diego. Be careful.

And that’s it for this week. The comment section is yours. I’ll try to answer questions as quickly as possible, and I apologize to those I missed on Sunday. My weekends can be sporadic, so try to get your questions in by Friday if you can.

Best of luck in Week 14. Let’s win some championships!

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* – Brett Favre photo credit: Jeff Wheeler/Minneapolis Star Tribune/MCT via NJ.com

* – Michael Crabtree photo credit: Paul Sakuma / AP



About Jerod Morris

I love words. I write for Copyblogger and founded MSF, The Assembly Call, & Primility. I practice yoga, eat well, & strive for balance. I love life. Namaste. Say hi on Twitter, Facebook, & G+.

Comments

  1. Ok WR- V Jax, D Jax, Welker, Maclin, Garcon, Manningham (Pick 4)
    RB- B Jacobs, Benson, Maroney, McCoy, DAW (Pick 3)
    Denver or Philly Defense

    • WR – VJax, Welker, DJax, and Garcon (and here's why I like Garcon – he has been red hot, obviously has Manning's trust, and Reggie Wayne could be blanketed by Champ Bailey this weekend. Could be an opportunity for Garcon to make some big plays.)

      RB – DAW (if he's healthy), Jacobs, Benson, Maroney, McCoy

      Philly's D for sure

  2. Hey Jerod!

    Sitting in 3rd place and looking to lock up my playoff spot this week! Need some help.

    Have to start 2 QBs – have P. Manning, Matthew Stafford, Josh Freeman and Chris Redman. Also available are Caulpepper, Moore (Car), and Boller.
    I gotta go with Manning though his sitting could kill me in playoffs (week 15 and 16).
    Assuming all others will go, how would you rank 'em?

    Need 3 Running backs (2 plus flex) out of:
    DeAngelo Williams (hopefully he plays)
    Cedric Benson (vs. Williams wall)
    Jamaal Charles (YES – vs. Buff)
    Tim Hightower
    Rock Cartwright

    If you recommend Cartwright over Benson, can you give me your expected stat line for him (we have weird rules – ex – get 1 points for every rush).

    Thanks for all your help; you've been a HUGE help in getting me to the cusp.

    Question for a friend's team – go with Henne over Cassell this week?

    • Manning and Redman, if Redman plays. If not, I'd go Stafford, if he plays. And then if not…you have to go with Freeman against the Jets, which is rough. I like the bench guys as follows: Culpepper, Moore, Boller…but not any more than Redman or Stafford.

      RB: DAW (if he plays)
      RB: Charles
      RB: Benson (if you're in a point per rush league, he has to play)
      The fourth would be Cartwright.

      Yes, yes, yes…Henne over Cassel.

      Best of luck this week!

      • Thanks, Jerod.

        Much appreciated.

        I'm just holding out hope right now that Redman plays. Stafford/Culpper's matchup is not appealing. Obviously, neither is Freeman's (uggg as in ugly).

      • Do you like any of the bench guys – Cullpepper, Moore or Boller – more than Freeman (hoping it doesn't come down to that)?

        Thanks again, Jerod.

        • Considering that Freeman is going up against the Jets and Darelle Revis, I think I pretty much like anyone over him. The more I think about it, the more I really don't want Freeman starting for me. The other options aren't great, but I think I'd pick whichever one you're most comfortable with and roll with it. How about Moore against New England? Steve Smith might be able to get deep for a TD against a struggling secondary.

          • Good ponit. I think I'd go Moore over Freeman this week. What about Kellen Clemens (NYJ) who looks like he's going to start for Sanchez this week? Where would he fit in this mess of a QB situation in which I find myself? A better play than say Cullpepper or Moore? Probably not better than Redman, right?

          • Clemens is interesting because Tampa Bay doesn't have a great D. Honestly, there isn't much separating them. Because of his experience and matchup, I'd be inclined to play him over all of those guys actually.

  3. Hi Jerod!

    Thanks again for all help in weeks past …

    How would you rank these RBs this week:
    Stephen Jackson, Marion Barber, Pierre Thomas, Jonathan Stewart, Justin Forsett?

    What about these WRs – Sims-Walker, Meachem, Hester, Manningham, Roy Williams, Chris Chambers, Hakeem Nicks, Pierre Garcon, Louis Miller (Oak). (The last few are available FAs). Any little bit of an edge would help in what should be a close matchup. WRs get PPR.

    Thanks again for all your help in weeks past!

    • RBs: SJax, Jonathan Stewart (esp. if DAW is out), Forsett (I think he gets more touches this week against Houston), PT, Barber.

      WRs: Sims-Walker, P. Garcon, R. Williams, Meachem, Manningham, Nicks, Murphy, Hester, Chambers

  4. Whats up Jerod, (For Week 14…First Round of playoffs for me)

    Made into playoffs in 5th place…I lost this last week (week 13) 107 to 121,,,Hard week!!!…but I stayed in the top six..in our league this week was the end for playoff battle. This is the the first round of playoffs for me. Need some help though! My 3rd WR spot has been a problem all year! Really need your advice…I got AUSTIN COLLIE vs. DENVER…D. HENDERSON vs. ATLANTA…JASON AVANT vs. NY GIANTS….LAVERNEOUS COLES vs. MINNESOTA…(DOUBTFUL ABOUT THIS ONE)……WHAT DO U THINK JEROD…REALLY COULD USE SOME ADVICE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Also>>>> V. Shiancoe (vs. CIN) or Fred Davis (vs.OAK)>>>>What your thoughts?

    —–Thank U Jerod! Appreciate it
    A.J.

    • Yeah, that's tricky. I don't like Avant as much because Desean Jackson should be back. And I do like Collie some, but I think I'll go with Devery Henderson. Atlanta is prone to giving up big plays and Henderson is the Saints' big play WR.

      I actually like Davis if you're in a PPR league. He has TDs in two straight games and gets more targets than Shiancoe. If it's a TD league, however, you can't argue with Shiancoe's 9 TDs this year.

  5. Hey Jerod,

    I could sure use your advice again. My WR's are my biggest delimma this week, and I'm a bit bearish on MSW because his lackluster production over the past couple of weeks (though not all his fault). Oh…it's a PPR league.

    WR2 & Flex WR (Pick 2) = Rice, S.Smith (NYG), Mechem (favorable matchup and hot right now), MSW (disappointing the last two weeks), and Garcon (pretty hot right now)

    RB2 (Pick 1) = J. Charles (the fumbles concern me…but playing well), Moreno, and K. Smith (Det)

    Thanks in advance!

    • RB: Moreno; I love Jamaal Charles, but Moreno has been really running the ball well lately. Charles has a great matchup, but Moreno's is pretty good too, plus he has a more balanced offense around him.

      WRs: Sidney Rice and Steve Smith. I like MSW a lot this week, but Rice and Smith are too good to deal with MSW's inconsistency. Same with Meachem. He's not getting enough targets and catches for him to keep this TD pace up.

  6. Hello,

    Thanks for all the help this year it snuck me in as a wildcard and now who knows what can happen. TE question for you in PPR as our add drop will be disabled in 2 more days. Which 2 of 4 would you take going forward? Also which one would you start this week? T. Heap, F Davis, K. Boss, Z. Miller. Also any inside info on Slaton's condition?

    Thanks

  7. Jerod, I was able to finish 1st at 10-3 in my 12 team league! This site really helped me focus on making good decisions and playing the right matchups. Thanks!! I'm playing an opponent in the first round who has favorable matchups(r mendenhall@ Clev, J Charles(Bills) ,V Davis(Ariz)& C Johnson(Stl), V Davis(Ariz)..ugggh) so I'm going to need to put up good points this week. I need 1 Qb, 2rb's,2 wr's, 1 flex(wr/rb),TE,K & Def non PPR league

    QB King Peyton(Den)/Cutler(GB) RB's J. Addai(Den)/M. Forte(GB)/L. Maroney(Car)/J. Stewart(@NE)__WR's Senor Ocho Cinco(@Minn)/I can see for miles Austin(SD)/D. Driver@Chi)A Collie(IND)__TE Celek(@NYG)/Winslow JR(JETS) K Akers DEF Broncos/Colts

    I'm thinking Peyton/and Addai for RB BUT have no clue who to put in RB#2. For my wr's I'm thinking of going w/ Ocho,Miles Austin and Driver(flex) . Also, I'm thinking of going w/ Celek over Winslow Jr and the Colts def for now. I can play Stewart if DAW can't play again BUT assuming he does play he may not get enough carries. Maroney has a decent matchup BUT not sure if Bellicheck will use him as much now

    • Great to hear George!

      QB: Peyton
      RB: Addai
      RB: JStew (especially if DAW is out…if DAW plays, I'd give consideration to Forte, but he hasn't played very well against GB. And you don't credit for his receptions if it's a non-PPR league. I'd still go JStew.)
      WR: D. Driver
      WR: Ochocino
      Flex: Austin
      TE: Celek
      K: Akers
      DEF: Colts

      • If DAW plays Stewart will still get touches but I'm a little worried that Bellichak will concentrate hard on shutting the Panther running game down. When I went to the JET/PANTHER game a few weeks ago I was surprised at how easy they shut the Panther running game with DAW and Stewart playing, Delhommes 4 INT's notwithstanding. Do you think Maroney being the lead back may be able to have a better chance of scoring points this week? The Pats need to win after the embarassing loss last week. Also The Panther run Def isn't great. I saw Thomas Jones torch them for over 100 yards and a TD.

        The Tenn def is available on waivers in my league and they are playing at home against St' Louis. Do you think they could be a better matchup than playing the Cot Def against Denver?

        What do you think of Jerome Harrison or Kenny Britt as far as scoring potential over the next 4 weeks?

        Thanks again!!!!!!!!!

  8. Hey Jerod,

    Thanks for the advice this season as I am in 1st place for the playoffs. My lineup this week depends on if Turner returns or not as Benson faces Minnesota. If Turner is unavailable to play this week, I have Chris Johnson starting but I also have Jonathan Stewart. Should I keep Stewart or pursue Jamaal Charles off the waiver wire dropping Stewart? Charles' week 14 and 15 matchups seem to be more favorable than Stewart's which could help me until Turner gets back.

    Since I'm in a non-ppr 2RB/2WR/1 Flex and considering my RB situation should I play 3 WR this week? I have Wayne, Colston, Sidney Rice, MSW, and Miles Austin. Robert Meachem is available on the waiver wire (assuming I can pick him up) so dare I drop MSW for Meachem? That seems like a dumb move but considering his emergence and the Saints' attempting to run the table, he seems to be gaining targets for the fantasy playoffs…thoughts?

    Sorry for the novel but wanted to get your thoughts on my situation. Thanks man!!

    • Wow, though one. I would not want to drop Stewart to get Charles…but would love to have Charles. Is there are anyone else you could get rid of?

      Yes, I'd play 3 WRs, and I might do it every week if those are your options. I don't even really know how to choose between them. I'd go Wayne, Colston, and Rice and be terrified that the two top scorers would be on the bench! Those three are your most consistent performers though.

      I would not drop MSW for Meachem. Love Meachem, but he just doesn't get the targets to warrant it in my mind.

      • Hey Jerod,

        I ended up dropping the Bengals D/ST (I have Ravens and Saints) and picking up Jamaal Charles. As it is, I have Chris Johnson, Benson, Charles, and Jonathan Stewart for this weekend's games. I also have Michael Turner who will end up being a game-time decision. Would you start Charles over both Benson (due to his match-up) and Stewart (due to Deangelo returning)? All of this of course assuming Turner does not play this week.

        Thanks man!!

        • Yes, I would start Charles over both, mainly because of the matchup. Buffalo is just terrible against the run. Obviously if Turner is healthy and back, he's gotta play, but you have to decide how healthy he sounds from the reports.

  9. hey, jarod,
    still some of the best fantasy insight on the web. thanks again for all of the help this year. i'm currently sitting in first, but i'm playing a team that can put up just a ton of points this week (they have MJD, DAW, moreno, rice, meachem, GB def, and rivers…scoring machines). anyway, i'm a bit mixed up on which of my receivers to start this week. what do you think? thanks again!

    QB: rodgers
    RB1: peterson
    RB2: charles
    FLEX: cartwright
    WR1: TO (i had him early in the year, cut him, and then picked him back up. i don't feel confident, but i like the targets he's getting. even last week against revis.)
    WR2: m. austin (can't feel confident about this but romo did look pretty good last week and i just have a feeling the SD is about to crumble. not sure why.)
    TE: witten
    DEF: Min

    BENCH: harvin (i know, i know…he's a rookie, but i've been kicking myself half the season for not playing this guy)
    BENCH: crabtree
    BENCH: d. jackson
    BENCH: burleson
    BENCH: s smith (NYG)
    BENCH: snelling
    BENCH: forsett

    • Thanks for the kind words Mikey. Always appreciated.

      I think you have to get Desean Jackson in there, assuming he plays (which he should). The Giants are giving up lots of big plays, and that's DJax's M.O. I would play him for T.O.

      Miles Austin has had two big weeks in a row, so feel good about playing him. And I think at this point that Percy Harvin has to be in your lineup. He has at least five catches and a TD in three straight games. I like him more than Rock Cartwright actually. While I love Cartwright's matchup, he's still never proven to be a top-flight fantasy producer like Harvin is emerging to be. If you're nervous about Harvin or Austin, throw Steve Smith in there because he is less prone to having a dud game, but he also doens't have the high ceiling. If you're going up against an opponent with that kind of firepower, you've gotta take your best shot.

      • thanks, jarod. that is awesome. i'm with you on rock…i love the matchup, but i liked his matchup last week too. i'm just starting to think that the 'skins had him as a third stringer for a reason…he's just not that good.

        and anyone who tells me to bench TO is ok in my book. i've ridden this guy way too many games this season just hoping. i'll probably keep him on the roster, but this week is just too big to risk it.

        i'm with you on smith, too. assuming jackson is a no-go, i'll probably toss smith in.

        thanks again. your site has has been an ENORMOUS help this year.

  10. hey jerod- do you like Rivers or McNabb this week? And I got 3 RBS to play, 4 to choose from (not PPC)… Maroney, LT, Ricky Williams, and Benson. Any thoughts?

    Great site, thanks for all the help this year.

    • Rivers. He has just been too hot to sit, regardless of matchup. Plus, who do you fear more having a clunker? McNabb is more volatile and I like to reduce volatility.

      LT, Ricky Williams, and Benson. I'm back to not trusting Belichick with his RB rotations again now that he has more healthy options. You have three guys who will get 20-25 carries and you have to play them.

  11. Who would you start this week… Celek or Witten at TE

  12. Thank you!!!

  13. Yes, I like Tennessee's D against St. Louis.

    I'm not a huge fan of either Harrison or Britt. Harrison has a lot of potential, but goes in and out of the coaches' dog house. I've been touting him as a sleeper for a long time and pleading with the Browns to get him the ball more. Maybe they do and he has value…but I'm not willing to put my faith in it. As for Britt, I still don't trust VY enough as a passer yet.

    Now, onto your RB question, I simply don't trust what Belichick will do with his RBs right now. He has Sammy Morris healthy and Kevin Faulk back there and we know he likes to rotate RBs and go with a hot hand. While Maroney had that nice TD streak, he's still averaging less than 4 yards per carry. I'd feel more comfortable with either Stewart or DAW than Maroney right now.

  14. Hey I am in 2nd in this league and going into play-offs and I have some advice to seek from you.

    QB- Brees
    WR- Steve Smith (Car), MSW, Meachem, Maclin, Manningham, R Williams (pick 3)
    RB- R Rice, R Williams, J Charles, Pierre Thomas (Pick 2)
    TE- Witten
    K- Longwell
    DEF- New Orleans, Pittsburgh (Pick 1)

  15. steven hixson says:

    Hey jerod. who should i line up? holmes sims-walker or T.O. driver is my #1 and i need 1 of those 3 im conflicted cause Fitspatrick loves to go to T.O But holmes might have the #1 slot if ward dont play. And sims-walker can blow it up at any time. i benched mcCoy at the last second for stewart last week. should i use 1 of them or hightower. Thank you in advance.

    • I like Santonio Holmes. He's been hot lately and Ward may be out, meaning more targets.

      I'd play Stewart myself. All are inconsistent but I like JStew the best.

  16. Jerod,

    I have to win this week to get in the playoffs. Once again, I seek your advice. No flex, no ppr.

    QB – Vince Young
    WR – Randy Moss
    WR – Robert Meachem
    WR – Hines Ward
    RB – Adrian Peterson
    RB – Ray Rice
    TE – Vernon Davis
    K – Rob Bironas
    DEF – Jets

    Bench: Alex Smith, Matt Hasselbeck, Jeremy Maclin, Roy Williams, Nate Burleson, Jamaal Charles, Saints Def.

    I really would like to get Charles into the lineup. Crazy as it sounds, I'm thinking about benching Peterson. The Bengals D has been tough, in addition to that Favre is killing his value. Rice seems like the more logical of the 2 to bench, but he's playing Detroit. Which two RBs would you start? Charles has outscored those 2 the last 4 wks.

    Also, if Ward doesn't play, which WR would you start in his place?

    Would you change QBs or DEF? Thanks in advance.

    • I'd go Smith at QB. Did you realize he has 7 TDs and 1 pick in his last three games? Plus Arizona is 30th against the pass…and it will Monday night even more exciting for you!

      Ward's injury scares me. I'd start Roy Williams because he is getting lots of red zone targets right now.

      Otherwise, I'd go with what you have. I like Charles, but not over Rice against Detroit in a must win.

    • Yeah, I was thinking Alex Smith may be good down the stretch. This week he has a good match, next week he's in Philly (wont be using him there) but week 16 he plays detroit.

      I know Joe Flacco has been terrible lately, but had some really good games earlier this year against weaker defenses. I dropped Flacco to get Smith. He cleared waivers. Could still get him. Since Flacco is playing Detroit this week I'm tempted to get Flacco back and drop Hasselbeck. Probably wont

      But, do you think Smith is a better start this week over Flacco?

      • I think Smith is a good start this week. If push came to shove, I'd start Flacco over him because Detroit is that bad, but that Smith v Detroit matchup in Week 16 is pretty tasty. Flacco has a decent matchup in Week 15 too (Bears) so you wouldn't really miss Hasselbeck. I'd do it, start Flacco this week, then go with Smith next week.

  17. I'd also like to ask you about a second team this week. Again, no PPR or flex.____QB – Philip Rivers__WR – Andre Johnson__WR – Mike Sims-Walker__WR – Sydney Rice__RB – Ricky Williams__RB – Chris Brown__TE – Antonio Gates__K – Gostkowski__DEF – Philly____Bench: Kyle Orton, Derrick Mason, Hakeem Nicks, Marion Barber, Michael Turner, Heath Miller. ____Which 3 WRs would you start?____Which 2 RBs? if Turner plays would you start him or Chris Brown (now that Slaton is on IR).____And would you start Miller over Gates this week?____Not really feeling too good about the Philly start, but the best available pickup in this league may be Seattle ONLY if Schaub is out. If Shaub is out, would you start Seattle over Philly? ____Thanks as always. Good luck this week with all of your teams!

    • I'd start the three WRs that you have listed. At RB, yes, I'd go with Turner over Brown if he plays. At TE, Miller is tempting, but Gates is on fire right now and I'd stick with him.

      No, I would not start Seattle's D. Stick with Philly.

  18. I forgot Miles Austin. Would you Start Garcon over him??

  19. I'm stacked at WR Jerod. Here's what I have and how I would rank them going into this week considering their match-ups 1. Fitzgerald 2. Sims-Walker 3. Miles Austin 4. Percy Harvin. I need the best two. PPR league. How would you rank em?
    My biggest dilemna is at D/ST. I have killed it all year having both the Bungholes and Denver. You already know my problem there. It's the first week of playoffs so trades are cut off. Which one would you start? Or should I go into the slim pickins waiver wire and grab another team? Tenn is already gone. How bout Wash vs Raiders?

    • I'd go with Fitz and Sims-Walker. Tough to sit Austin and Harvin but MSW has the better matchup.

      I'd go with Cincy's D. I think they can slow down Minnesota, who has been struggling more than you'd think running the ball. That said…yes, I'd rather have Washington's D against the Raiders if you can get them.

      • Yeah I think you're right Jerod. It's going to be wierd to do this but I'm going to pick up Wash's D. Their run and pass stats are actually impressive, the only thing is they have not scored a single TD off a turnover, kick return or punt return. How is that possible already into week 14? THEY MUST BE DO! If they can't do it against the raiders than……..

  20. Hello, need some help… Here is my lineup, need to know if I should make adjustments.

    QB – Peyton Manning
    RB1 – Maurice Jones-Drew
    RB2 – Jamaal Charles
    WR1 – Reggie Wayne
    WR2 – Andre Johnson
    WR3 – Roddy White
    TE – Brent Celek
    K – Lawrence Tynes
    D – Philly

    Bench – LeSean McCoy / Kevin Walter / Ahmad Bradshaw / Marshawn Lynch / Cedric Benson / Terrell Owens

    Thanks!

  21. Also available at D/ST is the Seahawks. With Schaub probably out and Slaton now on the IR. Also available is KC who is hosting the Bills, and both Miami and JAX playing eachother @ JAX……I CAN"T BELIEVE IT'S COME DOWN TO THIS!!! Thanks for any help Jerod and anyone else who wants to throw in some ideas.

  22. Sorry, this is a PPR league

  23. Hi Jerod.
    First week in the playoffs. I am sitting number one and hope to keep it that way.
    Let me know what you think of my line up possibilities.
    Thanks! Mary

    QB: Drew Brees
    RB: Thomas Jones vs TB
    RB: Joseph Addai vs Den
    WR/RB: Sims – Walker vs MIA – I am having a hard time with this spot. I feel like any option is a risk.
    WR: Roddy White vs NO
    WR: Vincent Jackson vs Dal
    TE: Brent Celek vs NYG
    D/ST: Colts vs Den- I am trying to get the Jets of waivers, but probably not likely since I am last.
    K: Kaeding vs Dal

    Bench:
    RB: Tim Hightower vs SF
    RB: Chris Brown vs Sea
    RB: Deangelo Williams vs. NE
    TE: Greg Olsen vs GB
    WR: Miles Austin vs SD
    D/ST: Chargers vs Dal

    • Congrats!

      QB Brees
      RB Deangelo Williams (he's playing)
      RB Thomas Jones
      WR/RB Addai
      WR Roddy White
      WR Miles Austin
      TE Celek
      D/ST Colts

      I think you need to sit VJax and MSW until they bust out of their slumps, especially when you have the hot-again Miles Austin as an option. And Deangelo Williams needs to be in your lineup. He's healthy.

  24. On the RBs for this team, add in the mix Quinten Ganther. So would you start Turner (even if he plays is it worth the gamble, last time he came back and reinjured the ankle), Brown, Barber or Ganther to go along with Ricky Williams?

    • I think I accidentally deleted one of your comments…thought it was showing up twice. I may have to get rid of this commenting system. It looks slick, but causes lots of headaches.

      As for Ganther, I love the RB matchup for Washington…but the guy is just so unproven. Still, Brown may get caught in a three-man rotation in Houston with Foster and Moats, and Barber has been struggling to produce like the #1 back we expected.

      So with all that said, here is how I would rank the backs if Turner is healthy upon further review: Turner, Barber, Ganther, Brown

      • Good deal. Barber has been a huge disappointment this year. I had him in '06 and '07. Always thought to myself why does Dallas even fool with starting Julius Jones, let Barber start and carry the load, imagine his numbers if he were the main guy. Now I miss the days of them throwing him in in the redzone. He was a touchdown machine those two years.

        Thanks for ranking them, makes it an easier decision. Will use accordingly depending on Turner playing.

  25. ok im having a RB issue
    i can start 2
    D.Williams (Obvious)
    J.Stewart
    M.Forte
    J.Snelling
    J.Norwood
    J.Forsett

    with fortes production way down from last year do i take a gamble its win or go home for me now with the playoffs

    just to throw it in im curious about my Wr's also just wanna see what your suggestion is
    i can start 3
    L.Fitzgerald (Obvious)
    Colston (Obvious)
    V.Jax (should be obvious but he has been horrible for me lately)

    on my bench i have Collie and Avant would you leave it how it is?

    im starting Heap over Shockey and Rivers over Mcnabb this week also tell me what you think

    • Chris, I would think long and hard about playing DAW and JStew. Seriously. Matt Forte has struggled against Green Bay during his short career, and there is no telling how many touches Justin Forsett will actually get.

      But, in the end, I'd probably go DAW and Forsett. Julius Jones is historically terrible on the road and it could lead to more carries for Forsett…if you trust Jim Mora. Forsett should be playing more already and isn't, so who the hell knows what'll happen.

      If you are in a PPR league, I'd go with Forsett, with Forte the next best option.

      If it's non-PPR, I'd go with JStew, then Forte. It's the playoffs. You have to make sure that you get touches.

    • Oops, forgot the WRs. I would start VJax despite his struggles. Avant goes back to being the #3 WR this week.

      I agree with Heap and Rivers.

  26. streetdebauch says:

    trying to sneak into the playoffs this week. gotta tackle the top team in the league though. need help with my recievers. i need to start 3, and not a PPR league. R White v NO, Andre Johnson v SEA, M Austin v SD, Steve Smith (car) v NE. Currently i'm starting the first 3, what do you think?

  27. hi jerod. you have been such a great help to me all season. so here goes. i would really like to win this week against a co-worker who is a bit of a douche.
    my starting roster
    p manning
    moreno
    maroney
    avant
    85
    britt – flex
    d/st colts
    todd heap
    tynes/kicker

    my bench ….MSW felix jones colts d/st gostkowski/kicker and kyle orton.
    would you make any changes??

  28. Hi Jerod,

    I'm going over all the details this week even more so since it's playoff time. My matchup may be close this week and it could come down to getting points from other areas. I'm trying to figure out what Defense I should start out of the following:

    COLTS(on my roster now) home against Den
    TENN(on my roster now) home against St. Louis
    DENV(on my roster now) away at Indi
    CARDS (avail on waivers)away against San Fran
    BILLS (avail on waivers)@ KC

    Who has the best chance of putting up good points? I like Tenn's matchup BUT I can also see their secondary giving up cheap TD's later in the game if Tenn is blowing them out. They played INDI ok last week though. The Cards D looked decent against MINN as well.

    THANKS a bunch!

    • Great question George. I'd stay away from the Indy-Denver game because the other matchups are so nice. Not a big fan of the Cardinals because they are somewhat up and down and SF's passing game has been clicking lately (7 TDs last three weeks).

      That leaves Buffalo or Tennessee. I'd go with the Titans, mainly because Buffalo simply cannot stop the run, which could lead to a big day for Jamaal Charles. I know Buffalo's secondary is very good, but I'm scared of starting the league's worst run D if I'm in a must-win situation.

      Tennessee is the safer and better pick. They have struggled against the pass, but can STL really pass enough to take advantage? I don't think so.

  29. Jerod,

    I just picked up Quinton Ganther from the waiver wire for some RB depth. He's going to be the lead RB this week against the Raiders.The matchup is decent. I can't believe I drafted Forte 3rd in our entire league and he's going to have to sit on the bench this week in the playoffs because I don't trust him.

    Do u think Ganther is worth a shot for my RB2 slot over JSTEW, MARONEY or FORTE? In my league each playoff round is 2 weeks so I just need to at least stay close to my opponents point total this week then catch him next week since my matchups will be better next week.

    thanks again!!!!!!!!!!

    • Wow. Tough one, but I would probably pull the trigger on it, assuming that nothing changes regarding Ganther's expected role this week. Oakland just provides a very inviting run defense. If you get cold feet about it, I would probably go with Stewart. He's coming off a solid game, and will still get touches even with DAW back.

  30. Ok…TO or P. Garcon? I trust Manning more as a QB but looking at matchups, Denver is stronger than KC's Defense …

    hmm? :)

  31. hi jerod. you have been such a great help to me all season. so here goes. i would really like to win this week against a co-worker who is a bit of a douche.

  32. Thanks Jerod!

    I agree. Ganther is a good sneaky play this week. The Redskin Offense has looked decent lately as well so they should get plenty of opportunities to pile yardage and TD's against Oakland. They are fighting for jobs on that team and should be hungry to win. Also, all year the backups to Portis(Betts and Cartright) have been successful in the lead RB role against the mediocre/bad teams.

  33. Hey Jerod,

    Due to MSW's possible absence, I'm considering S.Smith (NYG) or Garcon. Righ now, I'm favoring Garcon, but Smith is always consistent. Which would you advise?

    Thanks!

  34. hey jerod how are ya ?! im in a little bit of a pickle here , i have to play my wife this week and win to keep my spot in the playoffs she is 9-4 and im 7-6 heh yeah go figure ,,, what in your opinion would be my optimun lineup ,, we play qb 3 wr 2 rb 1 te 1 k and def/special teams

    qb-drew brees
    wr—colston//harvin//ocho//m.auston//g.jennings//deshawn jackson(need 3)
    rb—T jones//s.jackson//j.charles//de.williams(need 2)
    te— Celek (with shiancoe/boss or finley avail)
    k— keeding
    def/specteams– min( with cincy and nyjets avail)

    • First off, I think your optimal move here would be to let her win. Obviously from a competitive standpoint this is sacrilege, but don't you think you might end up happier this way in the long run? ;-)

      JK…if you're like me, it doesn't matter who is playing…you're going for the W. In that case…

      QB Brees
      WRs (tough decision!) Colston, Austin, DJax – the injury concerns with Harvin and Ocho tip the scales for me
      RB DAW
      RB Charles (this is also a tough decision. SJax injury concerns and lack of practice, plus Tennessee's solid run D, concern me. Could make a strong argument for him though)
      TE I actually like Boss here. Philly is giving up lots of points to opposing TEs. But, honestly, I think you could flip a coin between all four. Very similar this week. Go with who YOU like best.
      K Kaeding
      DEF Jets (love the matchup against TB, Freeman)

    • NO-Saints_f0-$H0 says:

      I think you should start for WR Ocho, Austin, Colston

  35. Hi Jerod,

    Your advice helped me sneak into the playoffs. Thanks for that. Can you help me with my flex/wr? I'm starting Fitz of course, but which two players would you recommend for my flex/wr? Steve Smith-NYG, Pierre Garcon, Devery Henderson, Justin Forsett. Also, need help with me Def. Which team would you start – Cin, Arizona or wire teams KC, Texans, Jags, Raiders. Finally, which QB would you choose Vince Young or Matt Hasselbeck? Jason Campbell, Henne, Orton, Cassel are on the wires. Thanks for the help and hopefully I'll be back next week.

    Dan

    • Dan, glad to hear!

      I like Garcon and Smith. I'm encouraged that Jim Mora says that Justin Forsett will get more touches, and I think he'll have a really good week, but I love Garcon this week and you simply can't sit Smith. He's too consistent.

      Wow…tough question there on the defenses. I'd probably go with Arizona because of how good they looked last week against Minnesota.

      I'd go with Hasselbeck. I trust him more than Young. And even though SEA isn't great on the road, Houston doesn't have a great D and the game could easily be a high scoring one.

  36. Richellstrom says:

    What WR Should i start?>?
    Miles Austin or Robert Meachem

  37. Quick question. I don't think it would be a good idea to sit Peterson ever, but I have MJD and Rice. Those 2 are going to have big games, and Peterson is playing Cinci. Do I sit Peterson? And I'm having trouble deciding on my WR's. Fitzgerald is a no brainer, but after that I'm struggling. Ocho, VJax, Austin, Boldin. I have to start 3. Thanks in advance.

    • Be bold. If you're in a PPR league, sit Peterson. He hasn't exactly been lighting it up recently. I think you are justified.

      I'd go with Austin and Boldin myself. Ocho has struggled recently against everyone not named "the Lions" and VJax is struggling as well.

    • VDavis or Gates at TE? Last time I was on the fence I sat Davis and paid for it.

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