MNF Preview: Patriots-Saints Spread, Analysis, and Pick

titans-texans spread pick, analysis, prediction - monday night football - tennessee at houstonEditor’s Note: AJ Kaufman’s weekly MNF coverage on MSF is sponsored by Sadler’s Smokehouse, a producer of premium pit smoked meats that are best described by Sadler’s slogan: Legendary since 1948.

Sadler’s premium meats are perfect for tailgating on Saturday, for grilling out at home on Sunday, or for when you are hosting a group of friends, or even just the family, on Monday night.

With a variety of delicious choices (beef, pork, ribs, turkey, brisket, and more) and availability at grocery stores throughout the U.S., Sadler’s meats are the tasty, convenient choice when you want to watch the big game and eat well while you’re doing it.

Check out Sadler’s Monday Night Football Recipe of the Week: Sadler’s Smokehouse Beef Brisket and Bow-Tie Pasta

Visit the Sadler’s Smokehouse website: Sadler’s Smokehouse

——————–

Monday Night Football Preview

New England Patriots (7-3) at New Orleans Saints (10-0)

  • Patriots-Saints Date: Monday, November 30th
  • Patriots-Saints Kickoff Time: 8:30
  • Patriots-Saints TV Network: ESPN
  • Patriots-Saints Announcers: Mike Tirio, Jon Gruden, and Ron Jaworski
  • Patriots-Saints Point Spread: Saints -3
  • Patriots-Saints Over-Under: 56
  • Patriots-Saints Spread Pick by Jerod: This game will definitely push the 56-point line and be very similar to the Week 10 matchup between the Patriots and Colts. Because the Saints are at home, I like them to win this game. But this is still a Saints team that we haven’t seen win big games yet. The Patriots are a team that we’ve seen do it time and time again, even with the loss to the Colts. When it gets right down to it, it’s really hard to pick the Saints when Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are standing on the other sideline. The Patriots failed to end the Colts’ undefeated start, but I don’t think they fail this time. Patriots-Saints free pick: Patriots +3

Saints-Patriots Analysis

ESPN (and most of the media) is treating this game like it’s the Super Bowl, and for obvious reasons: these teams are a combined 17-3, New Orleans is living in perpetual post-Katrina adoration, and therefore a great story, and New England is New England. To me, as a historian, I like the British vs. French angle of these two cities/regions, but nonetheless, there are tons of real storylines.

saints-patriots spread pick, prediction, analysis - new england at new orleans - monday night footballThe Saints defense is so banged up that they signed Mike McKenzie to account for that, but he hasn’t had enough time to learn Gregg Williams’ system, and given the Patriots spread-type offense, he will probably be on the field a lot. Expect the Patriots to try and expose his rustiness and inexperience.

Robert Meachem has come on as of late. He has the size and talent to be a significant piece of the Saints’ passing game, but given their plethora of options, he had yet to emerge. With three touchdowns in his last two games, the Saints may rely on him more as the year goes on, which should take pressure off of Marques Colston.

Reggie Bush, whose role is akin to Kevin Faulk on the Pats’ side, is questionable this week. His spot in the offense has declined (in terms of touches), but that has allowed the Saints to utilize him more in red zone opportunities. Limiting Bush’s touches has also maximized his explosiveness, and the Saints are clearly a more versatile and dangerous team with him on the field.

That said, with Bush out last week, the Saints ran Mike Bell out on the field, and he responded in a big way (75 yards and two touchdowns). It will be interesting to see how they use Bell this week if Bush does play, but I assume that he earned himself a more sizable role in the offense going forward.

Overall, will the Pats defense be able to do what no team has this year, and stop Drew Brees and company (37 ppg, 48 touchdowns) from putting points on the board en masse? While Brees is on pace for about 4,400 yards passing, New Orleans actually has four more rushing attempts (324) this season than passing attempts (320). Note that New England is near the bottom of the NFL in the always-important Red Zone defense.

saints-patriots spread pick, prediction, analysis - new england at new orleans - monday night footballThen again, Tom Brady will be fairly confident taking on an inexperienced New Orleans’ secondary. On the flip side, the Saints lead the league in three takeaways, defensive pass efficiency rating and, according to the Times-Picayune, “attitude adjustment” under new defensive coordinator, Gregg Williams.

Laurence Maroney was supposed to be the long term answer for the Patriots at running back when they drafted him in the first round, yet the Patriots signing of Fred Taylor in the beginning of the year indicated that the Pats were ready to abandon the original plan. Injuries forced Maroney out of the doghouse and back into action, where he’s seized the opportunity.

The biggest knock on Maroney was that he didn’t run with conviction — that he spent too much time shuffling his feet at the line of scrimmage instead of making a cut and running north to south — but Maroney, who is built like a downhill runner, seems to have finally gotten the message and has 356 yards and six scores over his last five games. With more stability in the running game, the Patriots offense will be nearly unstoppable on a weekly basis, though is that really a change from years past?

(Both teams do have significant injury concerns as well.)

Saints-Patriots Prediction

The Pats probably have the best shot at ending the Saints perfect season (one some feel resembles the 2007 Patriot team’s) as any remaining squad on their ledger; but in such a raucous atmosphere, can they? New England has yet to win a true road game this year. That’s a futile stat no other AFC team can claim, and yet, because they’re the Pats, few realize it.

Though the Patriots came into Indianapolis and nearly won, I don’t see it here, and I generally trust my gut over anything. I see many reasons — some aforementioned — this sets up as a winnable game for New England, and though they may have more to prove, I think it’ll be the Saints’ night.

Saints-Patriots Pick: Saints

*********

* – Drew Brees photo credit: The Creole Tomato

* – Tom Brady photo credit: Babble.com



About AJ Kaufman

A former schoolteacher and military historian, A.J. now works in public relations. As an MSF columnist since 2009, he supports anything baseball-related. Raised in San Diego, A.J. has since resided in numerous parts of America, including Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Nebraska, New York, Ohio and Washington State. After departing the coasts in 2005, he's traveled the back roads of all 50 states and prefers the Heartland. Married to Maria, A.J. is the author of three books and enjoys reading presidential biographies.

Comments

  1. Patriotgirl says:

    That picture of Tom Brady is HOT!

  2. I don't really care about the score, as long as I can just look at that man…

  3. Ewww, I don't like Brady at all
    Nor do I care much for the Pats

  4. Peyton Manning all the way!!!!

  5. Tom Brady is HOT!! GO PATRIOTS!!__

  6. Who Dat! The game tips in Saints favor because of one random but important fact. No team has ever faced this much excitement, this much enthusiasm, and this much inspiration (spiked with alcohol) than the Patriots will face tonight. All things being equal and God being a loving God, Saints win out tonight.

  7. STPSO Deputy says:

    WHO DAT BABY!!!! GEAUX SAINTS!!!!!

  8. I have recently started a site, the info you offer on this site has helped me tremendously. Thanks for all of your time & work.

  9. utilize
    bogner onlineshop [url=http://bognerskijacken.greencoenv.com/]bogner onlineshop[/url]

  10. I will right away snatch your rss feed as I can not in finding your e-mail subscription hyperlink or e-newsletter service. Do you’ve any? Kindly permit me recognise so that I may subscribe. Thanks.

  11. Hey, just exploring a few sites, appears a pretty wonderful platform you are utilizing. I am just at this time making use of WordPress for a couple connected with our internet sites however trying to alter at least one to some sort of platform a lot like the one you have being a demo function. Something in particular you should propose about it?

  12. Helped me a lot, just what I was searching for : D.

  13. As a web-site owner I believe the subject matter here is reallygreat. I thank you for your time. You should keep it up forever! Good Luck..

  14. Right here is the perfect webpage for anyone who wishes to find out about this topic. You know so much its almost hard to argue with you (not that I actually will need to…HaHa). You certainly put a brand new spin on a topic that’s been discussed for a long time. Wonderful stuff, just excellent!

  15. Heya i am for the first time here. I came across this board and I find It really useful & it helped me out a lot. I hope to give something back and aid others like you aided me.

  16. The extension of this is of course to soak these small square baits in whatever additives you wish. Begin getting a big salad bowl and placing a large amount of lettuce inside. I also decided to go with a golden yellow, rather than a bright yellow.

  17. Thanks for the sensible critique. Me & my neighbor were just preparing to do a little research about this. We got a grab a book from our local library but I think I learned more from this post. I am very glad to see such excellent info being shared freely out there.

  18. no experiense, still virgin, i want also 2 know the answer

  19. Touche. Outstanding arguments. Keep up the great spirit.

  20. Wow, marvelous weblog layout! How long have you ever been running a blog for? you make running a blog look easy. The whole glance of your site is great, as neatly as the content material!

  21. I was recommended this blog by my cousin. I am not sure whether this post is written by him as nobody else know such detailed about my trouble. You are incredible! Thanks!

  22. Resize system and data partition in Windows 2003 with Partition Magic Server Edition. He cites examples like Compaq that had released an Android netbook earlier and ASUS had used the platform in all-in-one devices. We asked some of the neighbors what they had done, and other than stuff insulation in the openings in the winter and plastic on the outside, they had all given up on finding replacements that were not going to break the bank.

  23. Hello there I am so thrilled I found your web site, I really found you by accident, while I was searching on Digg for something else, Anyhow I am here now and would just like to say thanks a lot for a fantastic post and a all round thrilling blog (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to browse it all at the minute but I have book-marked it and also added your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read a lot more, Please do keep up the awesome work.

  24. Hmm is anyone else encountering problems with the pictures on this blog loading? I’m trying to figure out if its a problem on my end or if it’s the blog. Any responses would be greatly appreciated.

  25. Exceptionally wonderful write-up. I unquestionably get pleasure from this web site. Proceed the Great hard work!

  26. We stumbled over here from a different website and thought I should check things out.
    I like what I see so now i’m following you. Look forward to looking at your web page repeatedly.

  27. I really love your website.. Pleasant colors
    & theme. Did you make this website yourself? Please reply back as I’m
    attempting to create my very own website and would love to find out where you got this from or exactly what the
    theme is named. Many thanks!

  28. Now I am going away to do my breakfast, after having my breakfast coming yet again to read additional news.

  29. Hi! Someone in my Facebook group shared this website with us so I came to check it out. I’m definitely loving the information. I’m book-marking and will be tweeting this to my followers! Outstanding blog and wonderful design and style.

  30. pretty practical stuff, overall I consider this is worth a bookmark, thanks

  31. the shoulder bags that my girlfriend uses are always made up from natural leather`

  32. Hello to every body, it’s my first pay a visit of this webpage; this webpage contains awesome and actually fine
    data for readers.

  33. Great blog here! Also your web site loads up very fast!

    What host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host?
    I wish my site loaded up as fast as yours lol

  34. I am regular reader, how are you everybody? This post posted
    at this website is in fact pleasant.

  35. It’s really a cool and useful piece of information. I’m satisfied that you just shared
    this useful info with us. Please keep us up to date like this.
    Thanks for sharing.

  36. It’s truly very complicated in this busy life
    to listen news on Television, thus I just use internet for
    that purpose, and get the hottest information.

  37. Howdy this is kind of of off topic but I was wondering if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding skills so I wanted to get guidance from someone with experience. Any help would be enormously appreciated.

  38. I will immediately grasp your rss as I can’t find your email subscription hyperlink or
    newsletter service. Do you have any? Please allow me know in order that I may just subscribe.

    Thanks.

  39. Howdy I am so grateful I found your weblog, I really found you by mistake, while
    I was looking on Digg for something else, Regardless I am here now and would just like to say thank
    you for a remarkable post and a all round thrilling blog (I also love the theme/design), I
    don’t have time to look over it all at the minute but I have
    saved it and also included your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read much
    more, Please do keep up the fantastic job.

  40. We are a bunch of volunteers and starting a new scheme in our community. Your site provided us with valuable info to work on. You have performed an impressive task and our entire community will be thankful to you.

  41. Hi, Neat post. There is an issue with your website in internet explorer, would check this?
    IE still is the market leader and a good part of people
    will miss your excellent writing due to this problem.

  42. Your mode of explaining everything in this paragraph is in fact fastidious, every one be able to effortlessly understand it, Thanks a
    lot.

  43. Thanks for your posting. One other thing is the fact that individual states in the United states of america have their very own laws that affect property owners, which makes it extremely tough for the our lawmakers to come up with the latest set of recommendations concerning foreclosures on property owners. The problem is that a state has own guidelines which may work in a damaging manner with regards to foreclosure guidelines.

Speak Your Mind