Monday Night Football: Jets-Dolphins Preview, Analysis, and Prediction

dolphins-jets point spread pick, prediction - monday night football analysis, preview - miami-new yorkEditor’s Note: AJ Kaufman’s weekly MNF coverage on MSF is sponsored by Sadler’s Smokehouse, a producer of premium pit smoked meats that are best described by Sadler’s slogan: Legendary since 1948.

Sadler’s premium meats are perfect for tailgating on Saturday, for grilling out at home on Sunday, or for when you are hosting a group of friends, or even just the family, on Monday night.

With a variety of delicious choices (beef, pork, ribs, turkey, brisket, and more) and availability at grocery stores throughout the U.S., Sadler’s meats are the tasty, convenient choice when you want to watch the big game and eat well while you’re doing it.

Check out Sadler’s Monday Night Football Recipe of the Week: Sadler’s Smokehouse Baked Beans

Each week, you can also listen to the MSF Monday Night Football Podcast, brought to you by Sadler’s. Follow the link to listen to the MSF Podcast on iTunes, or use the in-page player below to listen while you read.

Jets-Dolphins MNF Preview Podcast presented by Sadler’s

(FYI…audio player may take a second or two to load)

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Monday Night Football Preview

New York Jets (3-1) at Miami Dolphins (1-3)

  • Jets-Dolphins Date: Sunday, October 11th
  • Jets-Dolphins Kickoff Time: 8:30 PM
  • Jets-Dolphins TV Network: ESPN
  • Jets-Dolphins Announcers: Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski, and Jon Gruden
  • Jets-Dolphins Point Spread: Jets -1.5
  • Jets-Dolphins Over-Under: 36.5
  • Jets-Dolphins Spread Pick by MSF: This is a huge game for the Dolphins. They can slowly but surely sneak their way back into the AFC East discussion with a win and a New England loss on the road to Denver. The question, of course, will be whether or not Chad Henne can handle the Jets’ immense pressure; and, whether or not the Dolphins can effectively operate their Wildcat offense against Rex Ryan and his defensive madmen. I’d really like to say yes — and the presence of turnover machine Sanchez gives me hope — but I think the Jets’ D will good enough to overwhelm Miami on Monday night. Jets-Dolphins free pick: Jets -1.5

Jets-Dolphins MNF Preview and Analysis

The big story this week was the Jets acquisition of Braylon Edwards from the Browns. Edwards will presumably take over the role vacated by Chansi Stuckey (who was traded for Edwards), with Edwards eventually starting opposite Jericho Cotchery.

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This trade certainly makes sense from the Jets’ perspective as the talent with Edwards is undeniable. Though his hands have always been suspect, he has all the tools to be a number one receiver, and with an offensive as potentially potent as the Jets, Edwards can possibly become one of the top receivers in the league.

So how will this trade affect the Jets against the Dolphins this coming Monday? It likely won’t–at least not positively. Edwards says he’ll suit up this week, but he figures to be used as a decoy, if at all.

Meanwhile, New York lost their number two receiver. That loss should be mitigated by the fact that Stuckey was only the third receiving option on the team (behind Crochery and Purdue’s own Dustin Keller), but I do think it hurts the Jets by putting more pressure on a rookie quarterback coming off his worst game as a pro.

Arguably the most dangerous weapon on the Jets, Leon Washington was more or less phased out of the game last week, as he received just eight total touches. Coach Rex Ryan previously said that he wants Washington to see around 20 touches a game, and expressed disappointment that Washington was not more involved last week. Expect Washington to be more involved this week.

But whereas Washington will likely see more touches in the week to come, it appears as though incumbent starter, Thomas Jones (13 carries last week), will see fewer. This is just speculation, but after the Jets went with rookie Shonn Green over Jones down the stretch in New Orleans, it appears as though the team may be looking to go “younger” at running back. From my unbiased perspective I don’t like or dislike the Jets), this is probably the right move.

Defensively, Darrelle Revis has developed into a top shut down cornerback that, by season’s end, may widely be considered the league’s best. Last week, he didn’t allow a single completion to Marques Colston. This is especially significant this week as Chad Henne will be making just his second NFL start at quarterback. Consequently, I’d expect a run and wildcat-heavy offensive output from the Dolphins.

dolphins-jets point spread pick, prediction - monday night football analysis, preview - miami-new yorkTurning to Miami, Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown are looking like one of the best 1-2 punches in football right now, but they have arguably their toughest test ahead of them this week, facing a Jets team with an excellent front four. Furthermore, I’d expect the Jets to often bring an eighth man in the box and force Miami to try and beat them through the air.

A big disappointment this season has been the lack of progression from Ted Ginn Jr. He was expected to be a top caliber receiver for the Dolphins and a big play threat, but he found himself struggling to even get on the field last week, showing little proof that he’s capable of being anything more than a mediocre receiver.

The Dolphins will likely be without Joey Porter this week , and I expect that they will struggle to make up for his absence, as Porter has the athleticism from the linebacker position to cover Dustin Keller and chase down Leon Washington. His replacement, Cameron Wake, despite his three sack performance last week, likely does not.

Jets-Dolphins MNF Prediction

Despite being 1-3, Miami leads the NFL in rushing yards after four games, and the Dolphins are also the league’s best in third-down efficiency. However, Miami is 31st in the league against the pass, so with his expected “bad rookie” game out of the way, and his growth from it, look for Mark Sanchez to rebound Monday night.

Though Miami wants to pressure Sanchez, Rex Ryan also loves to blitz and will be especially apt to do so versus an inexperienced signal caller for the opponent. 

Jets-Dolphins prediction: I believe the Jets win this game, though covering the point spread may be tough.

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* – Braylon Edwards photo credit: Michael Monday/The Star-Ledger via NJ.com

* – Ronnie Brown & Ricky Williams photo credit: Scott Cunningham/Getty Images via SI.com




About AJ Kaufman

A former schoolteacher and military historian, A.J. now works in public relations. As an MSF columnist since 2009, he supports anything baseball-related. Raised in San Diego, A.J. has since resided in numerous parts of America, including Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Nebraska, New York, Ohio and Washington State. After departing the coasts in 2005, he's traveled the back roads of all 50 states and prefers the Heartland. Married to Maria, A.J. is the author of three books and enjoys reading presidential biographies.

Comments

  1. Cant wait to see this game. MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL IN MIAMI BABY! GO PHINS!

    • Turned out be a pretty good one. The demise of the Phins was a little premature, huh? Ronnie and Ricky are rolling and Chad Henne looks pretty damn good.

      • Chad Henne Looked pretty damn good indeed. and now the fish are only one game out! Interesting….

        • Henne looked great last night! Seems to me like somebody said before the game that people were giving Sanchez too much credit and not giving Henne enough credit. If only there was audio record of such a prescient statement…

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