If you came to this page looking for picks and predictions for the 2009 NCAA Tournament, we’ve got you covered.
Follow the link to our 2009 NCAA Tournament Game-by-Game Picks all the way through the Final Four.
Or, you can view them by region:
And if you actually came to this page to review our 2009 Big 12 Tournament predictions, pardon the interruption and continue reading below.
So, if you didn’t realize from my Big 12 Tournament Preview post earlier this week, I have always thought one thing when I look at Kansas head coach Bill Self: Jon Arbuckle. I was a huge Garfield fan when I was a kid, and Self is the spitting image of Garfield’s toolish owner.
Luckily for Kansas fans though, Self has been much more successful as a college basketball coach than Jon Arbuckle ever was…at anything.
The Jayhawks enter the 2009 Big 12 Tournament as the champions of the last three, and winners of six of the twelve Big 12 tournaments that have taken place. I don’t think many people expected Kansas to have the #1 seed this year, considering what they lost off of last year’s NCAA Championship team, but here they are.
Will Kansas achieve a very impressive Four-Peat? Or will they ar-buckle under the pressure and allow a new Big 12 Tournament champion to emerge?
Before I give you my predictions, let’s break down a few important things first: a) a few links on the Big 12 Tourney and to help you buy tickets to the Big 12 or NCAA Tournament; b) the bracket, which I will update as the games become final; and c) the current odds for each team. Here we go:
Links:
- Big 12 Tournament History: Past Champions and MVPs
- StubHub Tickets: 2009 Big 12 Basketball Tournament Tickets
- StubHub Tickets: 2009 NCAA Tournament Tickets
2009 Big 12 Tournament TV Schedule and Bracket
| Game | Date | Matchup | Time | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wed, March 11 | #9 Baylor def. #8 Nebraska 65-49 | 11:30 AM | Big 12 Network |
| 2 | Wed, March 11 | #5 Texas def. #12 Colorado 67-56 | 2:00 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 3 | Wed, March 11 | #7 Oklahoma State def. #10 Iowa State 81-67 | 6:00 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 4 | Wed, March 11 | #11 Texas Tech def. #6 Texas A&M 88-83 | 8:30 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 5 | Thu, March 12 | #9 Baylor def. #1 Kansas 71-64 | 11:30 AM | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Thu, March 12 | #5 Texas def. #4 Kansas State 61-58 | 2:00 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 7 | Thu, March 12 | #7 Oklahoma State def. #2 Oklahoma 71-70 | 6:00 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 8 | Thu, March 12 | #3 Missouri def. #11 Texas Tech 81-60 | 8:30 PM | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Fri, March 13 | #9 Baylor def. #5 Texas 76-70 | 6:00 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 10 | Fri, March 13 | #3 Missouri def. #7 Oklahoma State 67-59 | 8:30 PM | Big 12 Network |
| 11 | Sat, March 14 | #3 Missouri def. #9 Baylor 73-60 | 5:00 PM | ESPN |
And here are the odds of winning the 2009 Big Ten Championship game for each team (according to OffShoreInsiders.com):
- Oklahoma odds: +140
- Kansas odds: +150
- Missouri odds: +350
- Texas odds: +800
- Texas A&M odds: +800
- Kansas State odds: +1000
- Baylor odds: +2500
- Nebraska odds: +2500
- Field (any other team): +2500
And now, let’s break down the 2009 Big 12 Tournament game-by-game until we come up with a hypothetically predicted Big 12 champion:
Big 12 Tournament Bracket and Predictions: Wednesday Games
What a disappointment Baylor has been this season. Coming off last year’s success, Scott Drew was the favorite of some IU fans to become the new head coach in Bloomington. And with guys like Curtis Jerrells and LaceDarius Dunn back, Baylor was a trendy pick to be a Top 25 team in 2008-09. However, the Bears are 17-13 (5-11 in conference) after starting the season 12-2. Still, I think the Bears’ ability to score (despite recent struggles), and their postseason experience from last year, makes them a darkhorse in the Big 12 Tournament. Nebraska just beat Baylor 66-62 in each team’s final regular season game, but I think Baylor pulls off the mini-upset here and advances. Baylor wins.
Colorado went 1-15 in conference play and sucks. Texas only went 9-7, but this is a solid 20-10 team that will play in the NCAA Tournament. I’d be shocked if this is even a game. Texas wins.
Oklahoma State finished in the four-team quagmire at 9-7, and this is a team that can 
really score and that is playing well. In their last 7 games, OSU is 6-1 with a four-point loss to Oklahoma being the only blemish. They spanked Iowa State earlier this year and the Cyclones, losers of 5 out of their last 7, have done nothing to show they have improved since the first meeting. Oklahoma State wins.
As a die-hard Hoosiers, Texas Tech has been my 2nd-favorite team since Bob Knight took over there. Now that Pat Knight is the head coach, the Red Raiders remain a favorite of mine. Unfortunately, Tech has sucked this season, going 3-13 in conference play and not stopping anyone on D. A&M beat them twice, scoring 79 each time. Of course, Texas Tech did recently beat Kansas by 19, so anything is possible. I hope Texas Tech proves me wrong, but I think Texas A&M wins.
Big 12 Tournament Bracket and Predictions: Thursday Games
Assuming that my Wednesday picks prove true, my darkhorse Baylor will be playing Kansas in Round 2. Can the Bears win? Probably not. Kansas has really played well in conference play, minus the hiccup against Tech. They beat Baylor earlier this year, and while I think the Bears will make this a good game, I don’t think they play enough D to win it. Kansas advances.
Texas would play Kansas State in my hypothetical 2nd round. Both teams went 9-7 in conference play and both teams went 20-10 overall. However, Kansas State beat Texas in their one meeting in Austin. This game is a really toss up, so I’m going with Kansas State — because I live in Dallas and Longhorn fans can be really 
annoying. Not a very scientific way to pick a victor, I know, but there just is not much separating these two teams.
An Oklahoma-Oklahoma State matchup in the 2nd round would be fun. Most people think, and I agree, that Oklahoma is the best team in the conference. Had Blake Griffin not gotten hurt, they might not have dropped that back-to-back set against Texas and Kansas. Still, the Sooners have lost three of their last five. But they beat Oklahoma State twice during the regular season, and are now back at full health. I think Griffin and the Sooners will be on a mission to prove that they are the best team in the Big 12. Oklahoma wins.
Texas A&M-Missouri in the second round would be a rematch of both teams’ final regular season game, in which A&M won by 10 at home. In the two previous games, Missouri lost to Kansas by 25 and then beat Oklahoma by 9. Will the real Tigers please stand up? The Aggies are playing very good defense of late and have won six in a row entering the tourney. I think the Aggies score another win over Missouri and advance to the semi-finals.
Big 12 Tournament Bracket and Predictions: Friday Games
The battle of Kansas would ensure if my above predictions prove true. They played twice this season, with Kansas winning by double figures each time. And while I think Kansas State will pull of the win over Texas, the Wildcats have not scored an impressive victory since February 7th at Texas A&M. The Jayhawks will march on to the Big 12 Championship game.
Oklahoma-Texas A&M could be a very good game, and one the Aggies could win. However, Oklahoma won both regular season meetings and this would be A&M’s third game in three days. I think their Big 12 Tournament run ends here, as the Sooners and Blake Griffin will just be too much to overcome with less-than-100% legs.
Big 12 Tournament Championship Game on Saturday
It is the matchup that everyone wants to see: Kansas versus Oklahoma. You know Blake Griffin wants a chance to avenge the February 23rd loss, and a pissed off/motivated Blake Griffin is not a good thing for any opponent. Oklahoma is the best team in the Big 12 when healthy, and is still gunning for a #1 seed. I think the beat Kansas, and beat them convincingly to win the Big 12 title.
So there you go — one man’s first impression, quick hit predictions for the 2009 Big 12 Tournament. As always, I suggest that you run to your nearest bookie and bet completely the opposite way, but that’s your call. Game 1 between Nebraska and Baylor tips off in a little over an hour, so I’ll be updating the bracket above as the day and week goes on.
About Jerod Morris
