Fantasy Football Sleeper Focus – NFL Week 9

fantasy football sleeper focusHello fantasy football owners, NFL Week 9 is now upon us! Five more games until the playoffs start in most leagues, lets make sure we get in!

I want to send a special thanks to Chad Thompson in Canada. Chad, thank you for your support, and tell those around you the same. I think it’s time that the NFL gives Canada two teams, since they have no problem flying players all over the world to play regular season games. And as I told you, you should feel comfortable not only having both Titans running backs, but starting them as well, I would.

The Fantasy Football Sleeper Focus has generated so much traffic for questions over the last week, that I am going to dedicate this week to answering those questions, as I see that a lot of owners have the same concerns.

When you submit a question, I would greatly appreciate it if you can tell me where you are from, so I have an idea of what markets I am reaching. Thanks in advance.

Dave writes:

Thanks again for the great TE advice last week, H. Miller helped me out as I won by 3 points. I have another tough question for week 9. I have Drew Brees on bye as well as Steve Smith and Colston. I have dropped Miller and picked up Chad Pennington over both Jeff Garcia and Matt Ryan who were both available on waivers. Do you agree with that move? I have also dropped Jeremy Shockey and picked up Ted Ginn Jr. I dropped Minnesota’s defense as I also have Buffalo which should have a favorable schedule coming up and potential suspensions in MN scare me. I have picked up Donnie Avery. My rambling question is this: I will be starting DeSean Jackson this week and have an open WR spot to fill with one of Ginn, Avery, or Lavernous Coles. Who do you go with?

I’m glad that my Heath Miller advice pushed you over the top for a win last week, that’s fantastic! What’s funny is all of the experts are jumping all over the Chad Pennington and Ted Ginn Jr. kick. I am not in such a hurry to anoint Chad Pennington as the save-all QB, and here is why: Chad Pennington has crippled me in previous years, and after being burned by him so many times, I would like to see him produce consistently. That is what wins fantasy football championships: consistency.

Without consistency, you are bobbling three or four players with average talent into your lineup with difficult starting decisions, and if you luck is like mine, you have the top performer looking up off chad pennington fantasy footballof the bench, just like David Garrard last week. Speaking of consistency, Garrard has been just like the David Garrard of 2007 again. If this guy had an average receiver to throw to, he would be lights out.

I like Jeff Garcia’s match up this week against the Chiefs, and if you are in a keeper league, I love Matt Ryan. This rookie looked like a veteran against two great pass rush defenses, those being the Bears and the Eagles. Matt Ryan faces the Raiders this week. His only drawback would be if the Falcons open up a 14 point lead and pound the ground game at them to close it out. I have a feeling though that they may let Ryan air it out to continue his development, we will see. Chad Pennington has a plethora of lousy pass defenses he is about to face, I just have a hard time trusting him.

Your WR issue is even more difficult. Donnie Avery is on fire, but he is playing a good Cardinals “D.” Despite that, he is obviously Marc Bulger’s favorite target, this year’s Issac Bruce if you will. If Chad Pennington does not fail you, Ted Ginn is worthy of a start, and Laveraneus Coles is “consistent”, but has only had one monster game this year. If you are comfortable with Pennington, Ted Ginn would be a good start against the Broncos defense that made Matt Cassel look like a carbon copy of Tom Brady.

Fantasy Football Operating Tip #1

As a side note, when you, all of you make your lineup for the week, look at your opponents when you make your decision. If it appears that you are going to get throttled, you have to take chances on what players on your team can produce the most points, or as I say, has the highest ceiling. If you are the heavy favorite, you can play a conservative, or consistent lineup, to ensure your win. Scout your opponent, it will make your decisions easier.

Molly writes:

I have Washington Def for week 9 against Pit. The current available Def on Waiver are: NE, Dal, Jac, Sea, Ari, Den, Cle, Mia, Oak, Atl, Kc, Stl, Det, Cin. I’m thinking Jac against Cin. Thoughts?

I think that is a great idea. Jacksonville has a great D line which can dominate a game. They are coming off of a difficult loss to the Browns and this is a must win for them to stay in the wild card race. Automatic NO WAYS are the Patriots, Cowboys, Seattle, Arizona, Denver, Oakland, KC, Detroit and the Bengals because of who they are playing or how lousy their defense is, or both.

The Cleveland Browns have a good match up at home versus the Ravens, they just have to stop the run. The downside to the Browns is that the Ravens defense can score touchdowns, which will hurt the Browns D score.

Atlanta is playing a lousy Raiders team with their running back crew looking like a local Emergency Room, but this team did score on the Ravens, which I thought would never happen. At any rate, the Raiders are a mess. Miami’s defense is good, but so is the Broncos offense, so I would not start them either.

To answer your question, I like the Jags or the Falcons out of this group.

There are a ton of difficult decisions this week as far as matchups are concerned. Get your questions in to clinton portis fantasy footballme by posting your questions on this site in the comments below, or you can reach me at profootballinsight@live.com. Again, please list where you are from.

I will leave you with this brain teaser for the week…. Clinton Portis is the NFL’s leading rusher. He is playing the Steelers #3 run defense this week on Monday night. Do you start Clinton Portis or bench him? Why or why not? I am looking forward to the debate.

Thanks again for the growing support, and feel free to head on over to the Week 9 Fire and Ice Fantasy Football Forum for additional advice and discussion.

Kurt Fraschetti

To opt-in for email updates regarding Fantasy Football content, or general updates from Midwest Sports Fans, please use the form below. Your updates will begin immediately:

Share This Article:


Email Article Email Article



  • Pingback: Fantasy Football Week 9 Wide Receiver Tips | Breaston-Galloway-Plaxico- Ted Ginn

  • http://www.midwestsportsfans.com JRod

    Chad Pennington has really been a pleasant surprise for the Dolphins. I will be interested to see if Ted Ginn can keep it up. He obviously has talent and speed, but is he a good enough route runner to be a consistent fantasy threat? I don’t know. Having a solid QB who is accurate definitely helps Ginn’s long-term potential though.

    As far as your question regarding Clinton Portis, I have on rule of thumb when it comes to RBs: NEVER sit your studs. I don’t care if Clinton Portis were facing the ’01 Ravens or ’85 Bears. He has been the most consistent back in the NFL this year, and you just can’t sit him. I guess if you also had Brian Westbrook, LT, and Marion Barber on your team then you might think about it — but who has options like that? Chances are, Portis is your fantasy MVP this year. Even if he only goes for 50 yards but gets a TD, that’s still decent production. The ceiling and consistency are too high. You can’t sit Portis.

    I have a question for you though: Who would you rather have for the rest of the season — Kellen Winslow or Steve Heiden?

  • http://profootballinsight.webs.com fraschetti

    JRod,

    From a fantasy stand point, that is a very easy answer, a healthy Kellen Winslow. As a Browns fan, and wanting a winning product on the field, the offense looks more like last years model that I wish I saw more of when Steve Heiden is on the field. Look at the quality wins the Browns had without K2 in the lineup…. The undefeated Giants and the Jags in their house. I follow numbers and those are numbers I like to see!

    I agree with your thoughts on not sitting your stud. I will say this about L.T. though, when you draft your squad, you have to have a strong team around him, since the past two years, he does not produce like himself until the second half of the season.

    Kurt

  • Pingback: Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleeper Focus | Cedric Benson - Brad Johnson - Defenses

  • Pingback: NFL Week 9 Preview | TV Schedule - Announcers - Point Spreads - Over/Under

  • Allen

    Kurt,

    Your articles are great every week. One quick issue, Warner or Manning this week, and what do you think about Tim Hightower this week?

    Thanks.

    Allen (Boston)

  • http://profootballinsight.webs.com fraschetti

    Allen,

    Both should have good games. I look for Warner to have a better game against the poor St. Louis pass defense. In addition, I am sure Warner wouldn’t mind breaking one off into his old team.

    I don’t know what your other options other than Hightower, but he has tremendous upside. He is a touchdown vulture, and rumor has it that is workload is going to increase to determine if Edgerrin James is expendable at the end of this season.

    Thanks for the line and your location. Do you miss Manny yet?

    Kurt

  • Joe Argabright

    Kurt, I’ve got DeSean Jackson and Calvin Johnson, who should I go with? I know it sounds like a silly question, but Jackson seems to blow up for a big game more than Johnson and Jackson’s got DNabb throwing him the ball instead of Orlovsky. Johnson’s up against Chicago’s D, which has been bad against the pass this year, and Jackson’s up against Seattle, who is equally bad against the pass. I’m torn…

    The fantasy sleeper of the week in my mind (and the guy I might use instead of both Jackson and Johnson) is St. Louis WR Donnie Avery. He has produced fantastically in the last few weeks, and last week had 160 plus yards. Going against Arizona’s porous pass D this week should be a good matchup in Avery’s favor. Do you see this the same way?

    I’ve been trying to throw in an unproven guy who’s been producing into my lineup every week, as this year has been so unpredictable in fantasy terms. I had pretty good luck last week, but It’s mostly hit or miss. For example, last week I cut Ted Ginn after a season of disappointment, only for him to go for a career game. Go figure! But I’ve also had quite a bit of good luck with guys like Mewelde Moore, Correll Buckhalter and Tim Hightower after week 3 or 4. There are a lot of capable backs in the league who have had chances to shine when injuries have struck their teams’ starters.

    You didn’t post any sleepers this week to answer questions, but we need to know… Who are your sleepers this week?

    Love the post, keep up the good work!!

  • http://profootballinsight.webs.com fraschetti

    Hey Joe,

    As far as Jackson vs. Johnson, I like Jackson in this for several reasons, a few of which you already stated. If you wide reciever can get the ball thrown to him is a big issue, and I will take McNabb over Orlovsky any day. There are also more playmakers around Jackson then Johnson. You cannot double team the entire Eagles offense, but you can take Calvin Johnson out of a game.

    As far as Donnie Avery is concerned, my first question is, what did Torry Holt ever do to Marc Bulger. Holt never gets the looks he should from Bulger, but with Warner and Fitzpatrick, Holt was a fantasy god. Avery has appeared to take Issac Bruce’s place as Bulger’s go to target. Arizona is a scary team, on paper their pass defense isn’t the greatest, but this Arizona team appears to have something special this year. I look for Warner to play out of his mind this week against his old team. I do like Avery over Johnson this week, but he and Jackson are a toss up, although I do like the Eagles matchup this week.

    As far as sleepers are concerned this week, I still love Tim Hightower, especially after the rumors flying out of Arizona that they will give Hightower more carries to see if Edggerin James is expendable after this year. I do look for the production of Moore and D. Rhodes to drop off tremendously after their starters coming back. If Sammy Morris does not go, I like Ben Jarvis-Green and Kevin Faulk to have decent games, and Justin Fargas if in need might be a good play with D. McFadden on the shelf again. If Reggie Wayne does not go, I expect A. Gonzalez to get more looks as well.

    Thanks for the positive feedback, it is greatly appreciated.

    Kurt

  • Dicknutz

    Hey, i’m in a must win situation. Who would you dress:

    Orton or Ryan
    Welker or Royal
    and
    Winslow or Fasano?

    The guy i’m playing has been hot lately and his matchups could mean bit points. Thanks.

  • Amber

    Kurt,

    I was totally victorious last week scoring 122 points! Highest scoring in my league. Thank you!!

  • Amber

    I do have another dilemma….as I have a real suspect RB and now thanks to T.O., WR pics.

    RB’s:
    Mewelde Moore-I think Willie’s back :-( looks bad for my boy.
    Leon Washington-Sexy last week, but Buffalo defense is a sleeper this week.
    Fred Taylor-Iffy all the way around…
    BenJarvus Green-Ellis or Foulk??

    WR’s:
    T.O.-(Bench time??) With Whitten potentially out….it looks real bad
    Roscoe Parrish-with Reed hurt, he’s expected to start
    Steve Breaston-Boldin is officially back…

    Decisions, decisions

  • http://profootballinsight.webs.com fraschetti

    Hi Amber,

    Thats awesome that you exploded last week, and I am glad I could help. Onto your newest issue.

    Moore from Pittsburgh is going to take a big fantasy hit with the return of Willie Parker. I do think that he will still see action with as productive as he was, but not nearly the extent at which you saw the last few weeks.

    Leon Washington, he is either a home run or a strike out each week. There is no consistency with him, and can carry you to victory or kill you, depending on how he is used by his team that week.

    Fred Taylor, see Leon Washington.

    Ben Jarvus-Green had a good week last week with his touchdown, Faulk had a better week. Facing Indi should be much more of a challenge for both of these two.

    I still cannot understand how Dallas is struggling to be productive on Offense. TO’s numbers are baffling to me, and being a divisional game, the Bills, Jets game should be a struggle for both teams. Parrish does have an upside, I struggle with the TO decision still, thank god he is not on my roster!

    When you narrow down your decision, let me know.

    Kurt

  • http://profootballinsight.webs.com fraschetti

    Hi Dicknutz…

    All of your questions are like picking two equals. You can flip a coin week in and week out on this group and they would flip flop on who was the top performer for that week. These selections are based on several factors…

    I like Orton over Ryan
    Welker over Royal
    and Winslow over Fasano….. Winslow has to show up for his own value before this season ends!

    Good luck this week.

  • Pingback: Kellen Winslow Week 9 Fantasy Update | Fan Poll: Should He Play Against Ravens?